Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction, odds & betting tips 05/10/2025
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 goals

Three out of burnley's last five Premier League matches have produced fewer than three goals.

Aston Villa will take on Burnley in the Premier League on Sunday, 5 October, with Unai Emery's men beginning to show a bit of life after a poor start to the season.

The Villains have now won their last three matches in all competitions, and were impressive in their midweek triumph over Feyenoord in the Europa League.

Burnley won't just roll over for Villa this weekend, though, which makes this an intriguing match to follow.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction below.

Aston Villa vs Burnley prediction: The visitors to take a point

Key Stats

  • Aston Villa have drawn 50% of their Premier League matches this season.
  • Burnley would have drawn three of their last four Premier League matches but for last-minute goals.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in four of Aston Villa's six league matches this season.

Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 1-1 Burnley

Burnley have deserved far more than they have got so far this season, and that luck is bound to change at some point. While Villa have improved in recent weeks, there are still question marks around them from an attacking point of view.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa are strong favourites

  • HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 9/2  (5.50) – 18.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Aston Villa vs Burnley odds are weighted in favour of the home team, which shouldn't come as too much of a surprise given the overall values of the two squads. Ladbrokes have given Villa a 63.6% chance of winning the match, while Burnley have been given an 18.2% chance of victory.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Villa

Aston Villa have a good recent record against Burnley, winning three and drawing one of their last four matches against the Clarets. Burnley's last win at Villa Park was over a decade ago in May 2015.

England Premier League 30/12/23

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3
Burnley

Burnley

2

England Premier League 27/08/23

Burnley

Burnley

1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

England Premier League 19/05/22

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

1
Burnley

Burnley

1

England Premier League 07/05/22

Burnley

Burnley

1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

England Premier League 27/01/21

Burnley

Burnley

3
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2

Aston Villa preview: Martinez to miss out

Emiliano Martinez went down in the warm-up before the club's match with Feyenoord on Thursday night, and the Argentinian is expected to miss out again here. Martinez joins Ross Barkley, Tyrone Mings, Youri Tilemans and Amadou Onana in the treatment room.

Predicted lineup: Bizot (GK), Cash, Konsa, Torres, Digne, Kamara, McGinn, Guessand, Buendia, Rogers, Watkins

Last five results

  • Feyenoord 0-2 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 3-1 Fulham
  • Aston Villa 1-0 Bologna
  • Sunderland 1-1 Aston Villa
  • Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa

Burnley preview: No new absentees

Scott Parker will have the same players available to him that he had for the clash with Man City, but given that the Clarets lost that one 5-1, changes are expected. Parker remains without Zeki Amdouni, Connor Roberts and Jordan Beyer due to ongoing injury problems.

Predicted lineup: Dubravka (GK), Walker, Esteve, Ekdal, Laurent, Hartman, Larsen, Hannibal, Cullen, Anthony, Foster

Last five results

  • Man City 5-1 Burnley
  • Burnley 1-2 Cardiff
  • Burnley 1-1 Nottingham Forest
  • Burnley 0-1 Liverpool
  • Man Utd 3-2 Burnley

Player to watch: Emi Buendia

Emi Buendia
Emi Buendia – Photo by Imago/Orange Pictures

Emi Buendia has been a key part in Aston Villa's return to form in recent weeks, with the former Norwich man scoring two goals and providing one assist in his last two outings for the Villains. Buendia spent last season on loan at Bayer Leverkusen but has instantly come back into the Villa starting XI, indicating that Unai Emery is a fan.

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Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.