Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/02/2026
Aston Villa are bookies' favourites - Photo by IMAGO / Cody Froggatt / Sportimage
🔥 Our Hot tip

Match result - Draw

Both teams have failed to win their last two games.

Both Aston Villa and Brighton are hoping to bounce back from disappointing results in the Premier League last time out when they meet at Villa Park on Wednesday night. Indeed, Villa were held to a 1-1 draw at Bournemouth, while Brighton lost 1-0 at home to bitter rivals Crystal Palace.

The Villans now have a lot of work to do in terms of the title race with both Arsenal and Manchester City above them winning, and are perhaps looking over their shoulder. The Seagulls are also peering behind them after falling down the table, and they are just eight points clear of the dreaded relegation zone.

Aston Villa vs Brighton prediction: Both sides to play out a draw?

Key stats

  • Villa have only won once in three home games in all competitions.
  • Brighton have only lost once in four away matches.
  • The last five H2Hs have produced a total of 22 goals.

Correct score prediction: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton

With both teams struggling for form at the moment, we can see them playing out a draw here. The most recent H2Hs have been entertaining with plenty of goals for either side too, so we can see a similar pattern emerge.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Villa favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
  • AWAY: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As shown by the implied probabilities, Villa have been installed as the favourites with bookmakers to bounce back and claim all three points on home soil. Interestingly, both a draw and a Brighton win on their travels are rated at 27% each.

Also, feel free to check out our dedicated Today’s betting tips page, as well as our Premier League predictions & betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Plenty of goals

As mentioned before, the last few H2Hs have produced plenty of goals, with 22 in total across the previous five. In those meetings, Villa have won three of them, while there has also been one draw and one Brighton victory.

England Premier League 03/12/25

Brighton

Brighton

3
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

4

England Premier League 02/04/25

Brighton

Brighton

0
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

England Premier League 30/12/24

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

2
Brighton

Brighton

2

England Premier League 05/05/24

Brighton

Brighton

1
Aston Villa

Aston Villa

0

England Premier League 30/09/23

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

6
Brighton

Brighton

1

Aston Villa preview: No fresh concerns

Villa have reported no fresh concerns in their squad at the time of writing. Key midfield trio Boubacar Kamara, Youri Tielemans and John McGinn are all still injured.

Predicted lineup: Martinez (GK); Cash, Konsa, Mings, Digne; Onana, Luiz; Sancho, Rogers, Buendia & Watkins

Last five results:

  • Bournemouth 1-1 Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford
  • Aston Villa 3-2 RB Salzburg
  • Newcastle 0-2 Aston Villa
  • Fenerbahce 0-1 Aston Villa

Brighton preview: Couple of doubts

Both Jan Paul van Hecke and Yasin Ayari are still doubts for Brighton through injury. The Seagulls also have a number of other squad players on the treatment table.

Predicted lineup: Verbruggen (GK); Veltman, Boscagli, Dunk, Kadioglu; Baleba, Gross; Gomez, Rutter, Mitoma & Welbeck

Last five results:

  • Brighton 0-1 Crystal Palace
  • Brighton 1-1 Everton
  • Fulham 2-1 Brighton
  • Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth
  • Manchester United 1-2 Brighton

Player to watch: Morgan Rogers

Morgan Rogers player to watch
Morgan Rogers is a key player for Aston Villa – Photo by IMAGO / Every Second Media

Morgan Rogers scored for Villa against Bournemouth, although it was not enough to get his side the win. He is still a big threat though, and with two goals in his last three appearances, Brighton will do well to keep him quiet.

epl predictions today

Adam is a lead writer on Football Whispers. He is a big Arsenal fan, and also follows his local club Wealdstone, made famous by The Wealdstone Raider, who he has interviewed. Adam also follows darts, boxing, cricket and tennis, among many other sports.