Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction, odds & betting tips 16/03/2025
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 total goals

Each of Arsenal's last four Premier League matches have produced fewer than three goals.

Arsenal will welcome Chelsea to the Emirates Stadium on Sunday, 16 March looking to close the gap on Liverpool to 12 points to keep their faint hopes of winning the Premier League alive.

The Gunners have seen their hopes of winning the Premier League disappear in recent weeks and although their focus is now on the Champions League, a London Derby should be enough to warrant maximum effort from the players.

Chelsea, meanwhile, are still in a good position to finish inside the top four. A win at the Emirates would be the kind of statement victory that Enzo Maresca is searching for.

As part of this week's round of Premier League betting tips, check out our Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction below.

Arsenal vs Chelsea prediction: Possible low-scoring affair?

Key Stats

  • Arsenal haven't scored more than one goal in any of their last three league matches.
  • Chelsea have only scored more than one goal in one of their last four league matches.
  • BTTS hasn't happened in two of the previous three matches between these clubs at the Emirates Stadium.

Correct score prediction: Arsenal 2-0 Chelsea

Arsenal were emphatic in this fixture last season, beating Chelsea 5-0 and while we don't think the Gunners can repeat that scoreline, we think they will win to nil once again. Chelsea's attacking qualities have been lacking in recent weeks with Cole Palmer, in particular, struggling. A steady 2-0 win for Arsenal feels likely on Sunday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Arsenal go in as favourites

  • HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
  • DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
  • AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Arsenal vs Chelsea odds are weighted towards the Gunners which shouldn't come as a surprise given they are six points above Chelsea and playing at home. Ladbrokes have given Arsenal a 55.6% chance of winning the match on Sunday while Chelsea have been given just a 23.8% chance of picking up all three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: The Gunners dominate

Arsenal have an excellent recent record in this fixture and they are unbeaten in their last six matches against Chelsea (four wins, two draws). The last time the two clubs met was back in November when they played out a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea's last win over Arsenal came in August 2021 when they won 2-0 at the Emirates Stadium.

TEST Fixtures 07/03/25

Arsenal

Arsenal

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

TEST Fixtures 06/02/25

Arsenal

Arsenal

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 10/11/24

Chelsea

Chelsea

1
Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 23/04/24

Arsenal

Arsenal

5
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

England Premier League 16/03/24

Arsenal

Arsenal

0
Chelsea

Chelsea

0

Arsenal preview: Momentum needed

Arsenal may no longer have much chance of winning the Premier League but they are still in the hunt in the Champions League. In order to give themselves the best chance of winning their tie with Real Madrid next month, they could do with finding their best form over the next couple of weeks so they can go into the tie full of confidence.

Predicted lineup: Raya (GK), Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Lewis-Skelly, Rice, Partey, Odegaard, Nwaneri, Martinelli, Trossard

England Premier League 11/05/25

D

Liverpool

Liverpool

2

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

UEFA Champions League 07/05/25

L

PSG

PSG

2

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

England Premier League 03/05/25

L

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

2

Arsenal

Arsenal

1

UEFA Champions League 29/04/25

L

PSG

PSG

1

Arsenal

Arsenal

0

England Premier League 23/04/25

D

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

2

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

Chelsea preview: Discontent is rising

Chelsea may well be on track to finish inside the top four this season, but there are sections of the Chelsea fanbase that are growing tired of Maresca and his ultra-safe tactics. The restrictive nature of Maresca's philosophy has seemingly put the shackles on the mercurial Palmer but a win at the Emirates would earn the Italian some goodwill.

Predicted lineup: Sanchez (GK), James, Fofana, Colwill, Cucurella, Fernandez, Caicedo, Sancho, Palmer, Nkunku, Neto

England Premier League 11/05/25

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Chelsea

Chelsea

0

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

England Premier League 04/05/25

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

3

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

W

Djurgarden

Djurgarden

1

Chelsea

Chelsea

4

England Premier League 26/04/25

W

Everton

Everton

0

Chelsea

Chelsea

1

Player to watch: Cole Palmer

Cole Palmer
Photo by Imago

For the first time in his Chelsea career, Cole Palmer is having a run of disappointing performances in a blue shirt. Palmer missed a penalty for the first time in his career last weekend and he is now ten matches without a goal in all competitions. Can he respond with a big performance against Arsenal to get back on track?

england premier league predictions

Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.