Arouca vs Benfica prediction, odds & betting tips 06/01/2023

Arouca
06/01/24 - 18:00

Finished

0

-

3

Benfica

Arouca - Benfica

Portugal Primeira Liga - Estadio Municipal de Arouca

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

We're bringing you our Portugal League predictions for Benfica's trip to Arouca on Saturday. Benfica sit a point behind local rivals and league leaders Sporting Lisbon and can't afford any slip-ups this weekend as Porto are just two points behind the Eagles in third.

Arouca vs Benfica prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Benfica to Win-to-Nil

  • Benfica have won each of their last nine encounters with Arouca.
  • Benfica have kept clean sheets in each of their last five games against Arouca.

Another reason that we have backed Benfica to win to nil as our main prediction for this game is that Benfica have managed to keep clean sheets in three of their last four league games.

Latest odds

Head to Head

07/01/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Arouca

Arouca

Benfica

Benfica

0

0

07/01/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Arouca

Arouca

Benfica

Benfica

0

0

31/10/23

Portugal League Cup Portugal

Arouca

Arouca

Benfica

Benfica

0

2

31/01/23

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Arouca

Arouca

Benfica

Benfica

0

3

05/08/22

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Benfica

Benfica

Arouca

Arouca

4

0

Last Five - Arouca

01/03/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Chaves

Chaves

Arouca

Arouca

1

5

W

23/02/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Famalicao

Famalicao

Arouca

Arouca

2

3

W

18/02/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

Arouca

Arouca

1

0

L

12/02/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

FC Porto

FC Porto

Arouca

Arouca

2

3

W

03/02/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Portimonense

Portimonense

Arouca

Arouca

1

2

W

Last Five - Benfica

29/02/24

Portugal Cup Portugal

Sporting

Sporting

Benfica

Benfica

2

1

L

25/02/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Portimonense

Portimonense

Benfica

Benfica

0

4

W

22/02/24

UEFA Europa League UEL

Toulouse

Toulouse

Benfica

Benfica

0

0

D

18/02/24

Portugal Primeira Liga Portugal

Vizela

Vizela

Benfica

Benfica

1

6

W

15/02/24

UEFA Europa League UEL

Toulouse

Toulouse

Benfica

Benfica

1

2

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%
  • DRAW: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
  • AWAY: 4/9 (1.44) – 69.2%

Benfica are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 69.2%, and we totally agree with the bookmakers on this selection. For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Arthur Cabral is the bookmaker's pick to score in this game at 6/5 (2.20) which has a probability of 45.5%, while Casper Tengstedt and Rafa Silva are both priced at 13/8 (2.63) with a probability of 38.1%.

Arouca vs Benfica prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 0-3

  • Benfica have scored three or more goals in three of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • Arouca last failed to score when they played host to another of Portugal's big four teams, Braga, in December.

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Three of the last six meetings between these two clubs have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • Arouca's last five matches have witnessed at least three goals.

arouca vs benfica

Arouca vs Benfica team news

Arouca

Arouca were in fine form last time out away at Estrela, picking up all three points despite slipping behind in the eleventh minute. Rafa Mujica started Arouca's comeback early in the second half, netting his eighth league goal of the campaign. Jason fired the visitors in front in the seventy-seventh minute and a goal from Jai Montero made it 3-1 with ten minutes left on the clock. In stoppage time, Andre Bukia rounded off an impressive display with Arouca's fourth goal in what was a dominating second-half performance.

Arouca have no fresh injury concerns or suspended players for the game against Benfica this weekend.

Predicted Lineup: de Arruabarrena (GK), Galović, Esgaio, Milovanov, Montero, Simão, Jason, Sylla, Kouassi, González & Mújica 

Benfica

Benfica secured an expected three points when they played host to Famailcao last time out. Arthur Cabral opened the scoring in the thirty-first minute after good work from Rafa who claimed an assist. Rafa then turned goalscorer in the eighty-fifth minute before setting up Petar Musa for Benfica's third goal four minutes later.

The visitors could be without the services of Juan Bernat, Casper Tengstedt, Nicolas Otamendi, Angel Di Maria, David Neres and Alexander Bah for the trip to Arouca.

Predicted Lineup: Trubin (GK), Araújo, Morato, Silva, Mário, Aursnes, Rafa, Kökçü, Neves, Cabral & Gouveia

Arouca

Arouca
4-2-3-1
12
Ignacio De Arruabarrena Fernandez
uy
22
Bogdan Milovanov
ua
44
Nino Galovic
hr
4
Francisco Montero
es
28
Tiago Esgaio
pt
8
Eboue Kouassi
ci
2
Morlaye Sylla
gn
10
Jason
es
5
David Martins Simao
pt
23
Cristo Gonzalez
es
19
Rafa Mujica
es
Substitutes
9
Alfonso Trezza
uy
89
Pedro Santos
pt
13
Matias Rocha
uy
17
Yaw Moses
gh
11
Miguel Puche Garcia
es
18
Benji Michel
us
7
Yusuf Lawal
ng
30
Andre Watshini Bukia
cd
16
Thiago
br

Benfica

Benfica
4-2-3-1
1
Anatolii Trubin
ua
8
Fredrik Aursnes
no
4
Antonio Silva
pt
30
Nicolas Otamendi
ar
5
Morato
pt
87
Joao Pedro Goncalves Neves
pt
10
Orkun Kokcu
tr
11
Angel Di Maria
ar
27
Rafa Silva
pt
20
Joao Mario
pt
9
Arthur Cabral
br
Substitutes
81
Adrian Bajrami
al
44
Tomas Araujo
pt
24
Samuel Soares
pt
47
Tiago Gouveia
pt
13
David Jurasek
cz
17
Goncalo Guedes
pt
22
Chiquinho
pt
61
Florentino Luis
pt
33
Petar Musa
hr

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Rafa

Rafa played a starring role in Benfica's last league game and we're expecting more of the same from the 30-year-old on Saturday.

Rafa, who has played for Benfica since 2016, enjoyed his best season in front of goal during the 2018/19 campaign, netting seventeen times in the Primeira Liga. Since then, the Portuguese international has never hot double figures again but always seems to chip in with a decent amount of goals for his side and has scored five times in fifteen starts this season as well as providing six assists, more than any other player in the Eagles' squad.


Avatar of James Kelbrick
James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.