Benfica vs Arouca prediction, odds & betting tips 01/12/2024
🔥 Our Hot tip

Benfica to win (-1 handicap)

Benfica have won five of their last six domestic matches by two goals or more.

Arouca will take on Benfica on Sunday, 1 December in the Portuguese Primeira Liga.

The hosts come into the match inside the bottom three in the league table and although there is still plenty of time to dig themselves out of it, they will want to start picking up points quickly.

Benfica, meanwhile, are still in third position but have a game in hand on Porto and Sporting Lisbon above them. With Sporting still boasting a perfect league record, Benfica know that they can't afford to slip up here.

As part of our latest round of Primeira Liga betting tips, check out our Arouca vs Benfica prediction below.

Arouca vs Benfica prediction: A big win on the cards for Benfica 

Key stats

  • Benfica have won six of their last seven matches in all competitions.
  • Arouca have failed to win any of their last four matches in all competitions.
  • Each of Benfica's three most recent matches has produced more than three goals.

Correct score prediction: Arouca 1-4 Benfica

Benfica have been an entertaining team to watch of late with goals in at both ends so we don't anticipate they will win this one to nil. However, they should have far too much firepower for Arouca and we can see them securing an emphatic win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica go in as huge favourites

  • HOME: 9/1 (10.00) – 10%
  • DRAW: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%
  • AWAY: 1/4 (1.25) – 80%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Arouca vs Benfica odds illustrate just how big the gulf is between these two teams. Arouca have been given just a 10% chance of winning by Ladbrokes, despite the fact they are playing at home while Benfica have been given an 80% chance of taking the three points with them back to Lisbon.

Check out our betting tips today page for more Primeira Liga predictions this week.

Most recent H2Hs: Benfica dominance

This is a fixture that has been well and truly dominated by Benfica in recent years with the Eagles winning each of their last 11 fixtures against Arouca. Arouca's last win over Benfica came all the way back in 2015 so the current group of players know nothing but misery when it comes to facing Portugal's most successful club.

Portugal Primeira Liga 12/05/24

Benfica

Benfica

5
Arouca

Arouca

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 06/01/24

Arouca

Arouca

0
Benfica

Benfica

3

Portugal League Cup 31/10/23

Arouca

Arouca

0
Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 31/01/23

Arouca

Arouca

0
Benfica

Benfica

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/08/22

Benfica

Benfica

4
Arouca

Arouca

0

Arouca preview: Damage limitation mode

Arouca haven't even scored a goal against Benfica in any of their last four meetings with them so getting on the scoresheet would represent progress for them on Sunday night. More importantly, however, will be trying to keep the scoreline down in order to prevent a sharp dip in confidence ahead of a busy December.

Predicted lineup: Mantl (GK), Esgaio, Popovic, Fontan, Dante, Simao, Sylla, Santos, Jason, Rodrigues, Trezza

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

1

Arouca

Arouca

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25

D

Casa Pia

Casa Pia

0

Arouca

Arouca

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25

L

Santa Clara

Santa Clara

2

Arouca

Arouca

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Estrela

Estrela

0

Arouca

Arouca

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25

D

Benfica

Benfica

2

Arouca

Arouca

2

Benfica preview: Hunting down Sporting

At present, there is nothing Benfica can do when chasing Sporting Lisbon down as the Lions aren't slipping up. However, their 5-1 defeat to Arsenal in the Champions League will have rocked them which will give Benfica hope. All they can do is keep winning matches at ease, something they should be able to manage on Sunday.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Bah, Otamendi, Araujo, Carreras, Florentino, Aursnes, Akturkoglu, Kokcu, Di Maria, Pavlidis

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Sporting

Sporting

1

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25

W

Estoril

Estoril

1

Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25

W

AVS

AVS

0

Benfica

Benfica

6

Portugal Cup 23/04/25

W

FC Tirsense

FC Tirsense

0

Benfica

Benfica

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Benfica

Benfica

3

Player to watch: Kerem Akturkoglu

Kerem Akturkoglu

Kerem Akturkoglu was a last-ditch signing by Benfica in the summer but they must now be wondering where they would be without him as he has been their most consistent and dependable goalscorer all season. He has five goals in just seven Primeira Liga appearances and will be the player that Arouca are most fearful of.


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.