Villarreal head to Vitoria this weekend in the Spanish top flight. Our Alaves vs Villarreal prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Marcelino’s side can leave with maximum points.
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Alaves vs Villarreal prediction: Score draw at Mendizorrotza
Key stats
- Our Alaves vs Villarreal betting tips take into account that the home team have drawn 58% of their competitive matches since appointing Chacho Coudet.
- 67% of Coudet’s games as Alaves boss have seen both teams score.
- Four of Villarreal’s last five matches have seen both teams score.
Correct score prediction: Alaves 1-1 Villarreal
Alaves can’t buy a win at the moment, as they plunge deeper into relegation trouble, but they have been competitive in all of their recent matches.
They’ve not lost by more than a single goal since the reverse fixture against Villarreal back in early November, and they look capable of scraping a draw from this one.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Visitors favoured to claim the points
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Alaves vs Villarreal odds, with an implied probability of 42.1% that they win this match.
Their game on Monday was postponed, so the Yellow Submarine haven’t played since winning 1-0 at Rayo Vallecano with Ayoze Perez on target in that one.
As for Alaves, they drew 1-1 at Mallorca last time out, with Kike Garcia on target once more.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Goals at each end the norm
Our Alaves vs Villarreal prediction suggests we’ll see both teams score for the 11th time in 12 meetings.
The last five meetings in Vitoria have all seen both teams score, with Alaves winning three of those games.
Spain La Liga 09/11/24
Villarreal
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 10/02/24
CD Alaves
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 22/10/23
Villarreal
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 30/04/22
CD Alaves
Villarreal
Spain La Liga 21/12/21
Villarreal
CD Alaves
Alaves preview: Injury concerns for Coudet
The hosts are missing Hugo Novoa and Tomas Conechny to injuries. They also have fitness doubts over Jesus Owono and Carlos Benavidez.
Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), Diarra, Mourino, Abqar, Tenaglia, Blanco, Alena, Jordan, Vicente, Martin & K. Garcia
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Real Madrid 1 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 W Girona 0 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 L Rayo Vallecano 2 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 14/03/25 D Las Palmas 2 CD Alaves 2 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 W Villarreal 0 CD Alaves 1
Villarreal preview: Marcelino missing two
The away team will have to cope without the services of injured duo Gerard Moreno and Ilias Akhomach.
Predicted Lineup: Conde (GK), Cardona, Kambwala, Foyth, Femenia, Baena, Comesana, Gueye, Pino, Barry & A. Perez
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 W Real Betis 1 Villarreal 2 Spain La Liga 06/04/25 D Athletic Bilbao 0 Villarreal 0 Spain La Liga 30/03/25 W Getafe 1 Villarreal 2 Spain La Liga 15/03/25 L Real Madrid 2 Villarreal 1 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 L CD Alaves 1 Villarreal 0
Player to watch – Kike Garcia
The main goal threat from Alaves in recent months has come from Kike Garcia who has thrived since the change in coach. He is now on 11 goals from 25 appearances in La Liga this term, with six in his last seven games.
Kike’s late goals
55% of the ex-Middlesbrough forward’s league goals this term have come after the 60th minute. Four of his 11 strikes have come after the 75th minute.