In this article, we have given our Valladolid vs Alaves prediction, odds & betting tips ahead of their La Liga clash on Sunday evening.
The hosts are already relegated and will finish bottom of the table, while the visitors are just one place above the relegation zone, but have a four-point buffer with just two games left to play.
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Valladolid vs Alaves prediction: Visitors to escape relegation?
Key stats
- Valladolid have not won since January, and have lost every game except one since then.
- Alaves have only lost one of their last five games.
- Alaves have won three of the last four H2Hs to nil.
Correct score prediction: Valladolid 0-2 Alaves
Valladolid simply cannot buy a positive result, let alone a win. Alaves know that victory would ensure their safety, so they will be determined to do so against La Liga's worst side.
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Pre-game odds and win probability: Alaves expected to triumph
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As expected given Valladolid's horrible form and Alaves' need to win for survival, the visitors are overwhelming favourites to win this one. A draw is the next fancied result at just over 25% according to the implied probabilities, while a Valladolid win is rated at less than 20%.
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Most recent H2Hs: Alaves dominant
As previously mentioned, Alaves have won three of the previous four H2Hs with a clean sheet, highlighting their dominance. However, Valladolid surprisingly won the last outing 3-2 earlier this season, an anomaly not just in terms of the victors but with the amount of goals in the game too.
Spain La Liga 18/10/24
CD Alaves
Valladolid
Spain Copa del Rey 04/01/23
CD Alaves
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 05/02/21
CD Alaves
Valladolid
Spain La Liga 25/10/20
Valladolid
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 04/07/20
Valladolid
CD Alaves
Valladolid preview: Couple of doubts among absentees
Stanko Juric and Joseph Aidoo are doubts for the hosts among their long-term absentees. Indeed, Javi Sanchez, Chuki and David Torres are ruled out through injury.
Predicted Lineup: Hein (GK), Chasco, Juma Bah, Aidoo, Perez, Juric, Martin, Amallah, Moro, Latasa & Ndiaye
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L
Girona
1
Valladolid
0
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
L
Mallorca
2
Valladolid
1
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L
Barcelona
2
Valladolid
1
Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L
Real Betis
5
Valladolid
1
Spain La Liga 20/04/25
L
Osasuna
3
Valladolid
2
Alaves preview: Diarra a doubt alongside absent Aqbar
Abdel Aqbar is the only guaranteed absentee for Alaves, but Moussa Diarra is also a doubt, and the visitors will be hoping they can come through.
Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), Sanchez, Diarra, Mourino, Tenaglia, Guevara, Jordan, Conechny, Stoichkov, Vicente & Martinez
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L
Athletic Bilbao
1
CD Alaves
0
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D
Atletico Madrid
0
CD Alaves
0
Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W
Real Sociedad
0
CD Alaves
1
Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D
Sevilla
1
CD Alaves
1
Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L
Real Madrid
1
CD Alaves
0
Player to watch: Joan Jordan
Joan Jordan netted the winner for Alaves when they beat Valencia 1-0 at home last time out. He is Alaves' second-highest scorer in the division behind Kike Garcia (12) with five.
The Spaniard has also contributed two assists; his experience has been key. Should Alaves end up staying up, Jordan would have certainly played his part.