There’s a Basque derby at the Reale Arena on Wednesday. Our Real Sociedad vs Alaves prediction looks at whether either side can put three points on the board.
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Real Sociedad vs Alaves prediction: Hosts to edge low-scoring contest
Key stats
- Our Real Sociedad vs Alaves betting tips take into account that all of La Real’s last six league wins have come via 1-0 or 2-0 margins.
- It’s five defeats in seven away league games for Alaves.
- Real Sociedad haven’t scored more than twice in any of their last 16 competitive home games.
Correct score prediction: Real Sociedad 1-0 Alaves
The home team are in transition to some extent with Arsenal target Mikel Merino edging closer to a move to England, and Robin Le Normand having already departed. They’ve only managed to score once in each of their last two matches, but that might be enough against an Alaves side that looks short on goal threats.
Pre-game odds and win probability: La Real the clear favourites
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 9/2 (5.50) – 18.2%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Real Sociedad vs Alaves odds with an implied probability of 60.0% that they win the game.
They come into this following a 1-0 victory at Espanyol with a fine strike from Take Kubo settling a tight game.
As for Alaves, they were involved in an even cagier contest at the weekend, with their home clash against Real Betis ending 0-0.
For more picks, today’s football betting tips take a look at some of the best options from the action across Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: A derby that produces few goals
Our Real Sociedad vs Alaves prediction suggests it’ll be a low-scoring game again, with all of the last four meetings ending with two or fewer goals. Real Sociedad have taken 10 points from the last four league clashes in San Sebastian.
Elite Club Friendlies 20/07/24
CD Alaves
Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga 31/03/24
CD Alaves
Real Sociedad
Spain La Liga 02/01/24
Real Sociedad
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 13/03/22
Real Sociedad
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 02/01/22
CD Alaves
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad preview: Injury concerns for Imanol
The home team have doubts over Aritz Elustondo, Ander Barrenetxea and Jon Pacheco while Arsen Zakharyan misses out again. Take Kubo should return to the eleven after his weekend goal.
Predicted Lineup: Remiro (GK), Javi Lopez, Martin, Zubeldia, Traore, Turrientes, Zubimendi, Brais Mendez, Sergio Gomez, Oyarzabal & Kubo
UEFA Europa League 03/10/24 L Anderlecht 2 Real Sociedad 1 Spain La Liga 28/09/24 W Valencia 0 Real Sociedad 3 UEFA Europa League 25/09/24 D Nice 1 Real Sociedad 1 Spain La Liga 21/09/24 D Valladolid 0 Real Sociedad 0 Spain La Liga 17/09/24 L Mallorca 1 Real Sociedad 0
Alaves preview: Sedlar serves ban
The visitors are only expected to be missing defender Aleksandar Sedlar who saw red at the weekend. Luis Garcia is likely to rotate after in some areas.
Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), Manu Sanchez, Diarra, Abqar, Novoa, Blanco, Benavidez, Carlos Martin, Guridi, Romero & Villalibre
Spain La Liga 28/09/24 L Getafe 2 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 24/09/24 L Real Madrid 3 CD Alaves 2 Spain La Liga 20/09/24 W Sevilla 1 CD Alaves 2 Spain La Liga 14/09/24 L Espanyol 3 CD Alaves 2 Spain La Liga 01/09/24 W Las Palmas 0 CD Alaves 2
Player to watch – Take Kubo
Perhaps angry at having been left out of the team, Kubo let off some steam with his celebration after a brilliant goal at the RCDE Stadium. He registered seven goals and four assists last term in La Liga, but faded towards the end of the season.
Kubo’s varied attacking threat
The Japanese international is a really talented player, and at his best, he can cause havoc in opposing defences. Last season, he averaged 1.9 key passes and 1.8 dribbles per game in the Spanish top flight.
