All eyes will be in Estadio de Mendizorozza when Deportivo Alaves host Real Madrid in the 16th round of La Liga on Sunday, 14 December 2025.
View our free Alaves vs Real Madrid predictions below.
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Alaves vs Real Madrid predictions: Visitors to claim all the spoils
Key stats
- Real Madrid won their last seven encounters with Alaves.
- Alaves suffered three defeats in their last four La Liga games.
- Four goals were scored on average in Real Madrid's last three away matches.
Correct score prediction: Alaves 1-3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid have been the best travellers in the Spanish top flight this season, with a 5-3-1 win-draw-loss record away from home. Los Blancos also have a great track record against Alaves, having won the last seven skirmishes between these outfits.
Keeping in mind that Alaves lost three of their last four league matches, we are confident that Real Madrid will emerge victorious after all is said and done.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Alaves up against it
- HOME: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27%
- AWAY: 7/10 (1.70) – 58.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Deportivo Alaves' 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad last time out was their second consecutive win after losing three in a row. Eduardo Coudet's men will set their sights on their biggest win of the season when they host a Real Madrid side on a two game losing run.
Ahead of this clash, Real Madrid are second in La Liga, while Alaves are 11th with five wins in 15 league matches.
Bearing that in mind, Real Madrid are the expected winners at 7/10 (1.70). Teams with these odds usually have a 58.8% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Alaves vs Real Madrid predictions.
Also, considering that six of the last eight clashes between these teams went above the 2.5-goal mark, over 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 4/5 (1.80). That one has a 55.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Business as usual for Real Madrid?
Alaves do not particularly look forward to meeting Real Madrid, as they have lost seven consecutive meetings between these teams. Moreover, Alaves have not won a home game against Los Blancos since October 2018.
Spain La Liga 13/04/25
CD Alaves
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 24/09/24
Real Madrid
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 14/05/24
Real Madrid
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 21/12/23
CD Alaves
Real Madrid
Spain La Liga 19/02/22
Real Madrid
CD Alaves
Alaves preview: No major injury concerns
Head coach Coudet only has veteran midfielder Jon Guridi’s fitness to worry about, while Facundo Garces remains out due to a FIFA ban.
The Mendizorroza side returned to winning ways in La Liga last weekend against Real Sociedad after enduring three successive losses in the top flight. This means they are in the right frame of mind for this clash and can look to heap more misery on a Real Madrid side having several defenders ruled out with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Sivera (GK), Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Parada, Guevara, Calebe, Ibanez, Suarez, Rebbach & Boye.
Last five matches
- Alaves 1-0 Real Sociedad
- Portugalete 0-3 Alaves
Barcelona 3-1 Alaves
Alaves 0-1 Celta
Girona 1-0 Alaves
Real Madrid preview: Injury woes persist
Los Blancos are going through a difficult spell on and off the pitch in recent weeks as injuries pile up, and criticisms seem to soar on both the players and the manager after several unconvincing performances.
Real Madrid could be seven points behind Barcelona before this clash against Alaves, which means they cannot afford further slip-ups. On Sunday night, Los Blancos will definitely be without Dani Carvajal, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Eder Militao, and Ferland Mendy due to injury.
The availability of Kylian Mbappe, Eduardo Camavinga, Dean Huijsen, and David Alaba is uncertain for this game, as these players have fitness issues to deal with, but for sure, Fran Garcia, Alvaro Carreras, and Endrick will play no part here following their red cards in the defeat to Celta Vigo last Sunday.
Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Valverde, Asensio, Rudiger, Carreras, Tchouameni, Bellingham, Guler, Vinicius, Rodrygo & G. Garcia.
Last five matches
- Real Madrid 1-2 Man City
- Real Madrid 0-2 Celta Vigo
- Athletic Bilbao 0-3 Real Madrid
Girona 1-1 Real Madrid
Olympiacos 3-4 Real Madrid
Player to watch: Carlos Vicente
Although Carlos Vicente has started only eight games in La Liga this season, he is Alaves' top scorer across all competitions. The former Racing de Ferrol midfielder has six goal contributions in his last seven appearances and will fancy his chances against one of the best teams in the country.