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Deportivo Alaves will look to finish their La Liga campaign with a win when they welcome Rayo Vallecano to the Estadio de Mendizorroza on Saturday in the final game of the season.
This clash features the home side playing for pride and a top-half finish, while the visitors are desperate to secure a European qualification place.
With just one point separating the away side from a European spot, they will need a win to keep their hopes of playing in the UEFA Conference League alive.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.
Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano key stats
- Alaves and Rayo Vallecano have not played out a draw in any of their last ten head-to-head encounters in all competitions.
- Alaves have kept only one clean sheet in their last five home games in La Liga.
- Vallecano have scored in each of their last six La Liga games.
Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano preview: The battle for European qualification
Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano — Tale of the Tape
| Alaves | vs | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Position | 8th |
| 43 | Points | 47 |
| 43 | Goals For | 39 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 13th | Home / Away Rank | 15th |
Just weeks ago, Alaves looked destined for a tense relegation battle after slipping into the bottom three ahead of round 36.
However, consecutive 1-0 victories over champions Barcelona and bottom-placed Real Oviedo completely transformed the mood around the club.
The turnaround guaranteed their top-flight status for another season regardless of this weekend’s outcome.
They have also improved on their home form at the Estadio Mendizorrotza, with just one loss in their last six home games.
After enduring a lengthy winless stretch there earlier in the year, Los Albiazules have now maintained a good home run and could secure consecutive home clean sheets for the first time this season if they keep Rayo quiet.
Conversely, Rayo Vallecano head into the final weekend of the La Liga season with European qualification still within reach.
Vallecano are full of confidence after a strong late-season surge revived their European ambitions.
A convincing 2-0 victory over Villarreal extended their unbeaten run in all competitions to eight matches and kept them firmly in contention for a UEFA Conference League spot through league position.
Currently sitting eighth in the table, Inigo Perez’s side needs a result elsewhere to go their way if they are to climb into seventh place on the final day.
Their away form remains a concern, though, with just one victory from their previous 12 La Liga road trips. Even if they miss out domestically, Rayo still have another route into Europe.
A victory in next week’s UEFA Conference League final in Leipzig would secure qualification for the Europa League and cap off a remarkable campaign for the Madrid club.
Alaves vs. Rayo Vallecano form guide & betting tips
| Alaves | vs | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
WLDWW |
Form | DWDDW |
| 10 | Points | 9 |
| 5th | Form Table | 7th |
| 7 | Goals For | 9 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 5 |
WLDWW |
Form (All Comps) | WWDDW |
Whispers predicts: Alaves 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
The main reason for predicting a narrow one-goal victory for the visitors is their immense motivation to secure European qualification, combined with their excellent recent run of form.
Rayo Vallecano have remained unbeaten in their last six league matches, while Deportivo Alaves are a tough team to break down at the Estadio de Mendizorroza.
They have little to play for other than pride, which could give the highly motivated away side the competitive edge.
Bookmakers have given the home team 2.10 odds to secure the victory, and a draw is valued at 3.40, while an away win for Rayo Vallecano is currently priced at 3.10.
For those looking at alternative markets, the odds for under 2.5 goals are set at 1.90, and both teams to score (no) is priced at 2.00.
Additionally, Vallecano win or draw is also a safer option to bet on, which is given at 1.70 odds.
> Away double chance at 1.70 | Likelihood: Possible
> Under 2.5 goals at 1.90 | Likelihood: Probable
> Both teams to score (no) at 2.00 | Likelihood: Probable
> Away team to win 3.10 | Likelihood: Possible