Struggling Alaves head to the Balearic Islands this Sunday. Our Mallorca vs Alaves prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether they can claim a much-needed three points in their survival push.
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Mallorca vs Alaves prediction: Hosts to edge low-scoring game
Key stats
- Our Mallorca vs Alaves betting tips take into account that the visitors have only won one of their last 14 matches in all competitions.
- Mallorca have won seven out of nine against current bottom-eight opponents this season.
- Their home matches average just 2.08 goals per game in total.
Correct score prediction: Mallorca 1-0 Alaves
It was a really poor start to 2025 for Mallorca, but they look to have turned a corner now, with five points from their last three games.
Alaves have been playing reasonably well under the recently-appointed Chacho Coudet, but they lack cutting edge in the final third, with virtually no goal threat aside from Kike Garcia.
Overall, the home team have a bit more quality in attacking areas and should edge this one.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mallorca favourites to boost European hopes
- HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Mallorca vs Alaves odds, with an implied probability of 45.5% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a 1-1 draw at Sevilla, sealed in the dying moments by Martin Valjent who pounced on a goalkeeping error.
As for Alaves, their survival hopes took a big hit last time out, with Fernando Calero netting the only goal in a 1-0 Espanyol win in Vitoria.
For more from the upcoming action around Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Not a happy hunting ground for Alaves
Our Mallorca vs Alaves prediction suggests the hosts will be able to extend an 11-game unbeaten streak at home to this opposition in all competitions.
10 of the last 11 meetings have ended with two or fewer goals.
Spain La Liga 02/03/25
Mallorca
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 01/11/24
CD Alaves
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 24/02/24
CD Alaves
Mallorca
Spain La Liga 03/12/23
Mallorca
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 19/04/22
Mallorca
CD Alaves
Mallorca preview: Mojica the only absentee
The home team should have a full squad available here, with the exception of their suspended left-back Johan Mojica.
Predicted Lineup: Greif (GK), Lato, Raillo, Valjent, Maffeo, Darder, Mascarell, Navarro, D. Rodriguez, Asano & Muriqi
Spain La Liga 12/04/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 L Celta Vigo 2 Mallorca 1 Spain La Liga 30/03/25 L Valencia 1 Mallorca 0 Spain La Liga 15/03/25 W Espanyol 1 Mallorca 2 Spain La Liga 09/03/25 D Athletic Bilbao 1 Mallorca 1
Alaves preview: Injury concerns for Coudet
The visitors are missing Hugo Novoa and Tomas Conechny to injuries. They also have doubts over Carlos Benavidez and Jesus Owono.
Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), Diarra, Mourino, Abqar, Tenaglia, Blanco, Jordan, Alena, Guridi, Vicente & K. Garcia
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Real Madrid 1 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 W Girona 0 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 L Rayo Vallecano 2 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 14/03/25 D Las Palmas 2 CD Alaves 2 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 W Villarreal 0 CD Alaves 1
Player to watch – Vedat Muriqi
The main goal threat for the home team is likely to come from Vedat Muriqi. The Mallorca striker has scored six times in 22 appearances in La Liga this term.
Muriqi’s aerial domination
The 30-year-old forward is particularly dominant in the air. He averages 5.1 aerial challenges won per game in La Liga this season, the most of any player in the division.