Two struggling sides clash at Butarque on Saturday. Our Leganes vs Alaves prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether either can pick up a big win in the fight for survival.
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Leganes vs Alaves prediction: Bore draw at Butarque
Key stats
- Our Leganes vs Alaves betting tips take into account that three of the last five matches in La Liga involving the Basque side have ended with one or fewer goals.
- The last four Leganes league matches have produced just four goals in total.
- Only two teams have drawn more matches in La Liga 2024/25 than Leganes (eight).
Correct score prediction: Leganes 0-0 Alaves
This is a classic relegation six-pointer, with two teams battling near the bottom of the table and looking short on goal threats.
While Leganes have beaten Barcelona and Atletico Madrid since the start of December, they’ve not beaten anyone else during that period. Both sides lack genuine attacking quality, and a low-scoring draw looks likely here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies struggling to call it
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the slight favourites according to the Leganes vs Alaves odds, with an implied probability of 40.0% that they win this match.
They head into the game following a somewhat unfortunate 1-0 home defeat against Getafe in the league.
As for Leganes, they were beaten 2-0 in another six-pointer, away against Valencia last time out.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Four straight draws in the top flight
Our Leganes vs Alaves prediction suggests we could see a fifth successive draw between these clubs in the top flight.
There were two Segunda Division meetings sandwiched in between those games though, both of which were won 2-1 by Alaves.
Spain La Liga 30/11/24
CD Alaves
Leganes
Spain Segunda 23/04/23
CD Alaves
Leganes
Spain Segunda 13/08/22
Leganes
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 29/02/20
Leganes
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 13/12/19
CD Alaves
Leganes
Leganes preview: Neyou a big miss
The hosts have a significant absentee, with key midfielder Yvan Neyou suspended. New signing Borna Barisic has joined Enriq Franquesa on the sidelines with an ACL injury.
Predicted Lineup: Dmitrovic (GK), Nastasic, Sergio, Rosier, Cruz, Brasanac, Tapia, Duk, O. Rodriguez, De la Fuente & Raba
Spain La Liga 12/04/25 L Barcelona 1 Leganes 0 Spain La Liga 07/04/25 D Osasuna 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 L Real Madrid 3 Leganes 2 Spain La Liga 16/03/25 L Real Betis 3 Leganes 2 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 L Celta Vigo 2 Leganes 1
Alaves preview: Conechny out until March
Winger Tomas Conechny is the most notable injury for the visitors. They also have doubts over Jesus Owono and Hugo Novoa.
Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), M. Sanchez, Diarra, Abqar, Tenaglia, Blanco, Jordan, Guridi, C. Martin, K. Garcia & Vicente
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Real Madrid 1 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 W Girona 0 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 L Rayo Vallecano 2 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 14/03/25 D Las Palmas 2 CD Alaves 2 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 W Villarreal 0 CD Alaves 1 
Player to watch – Kike Garcia
If we are to get a goal in this match, Kike Garcia is the player most likely to provide it. The Alaves forward has scored eight in his last nine appearances in all competitions.
Kike striking early
33% of the ex-Middlesbrough forward’s league goals this season have come in the opening 15 minutes. He netted in the first minute on matchday 16 with a header against Osasuna.