Girona are hoping to end a long winless run this weekend in the Spanish top flight. Our Girona vs Alaves prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Michel’s side can see off their struggling opponents.
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Girona vs Alaves prediction: Score draw at Montilivi
Key stats
- Our Girona vs Alaves betting tips take into account that 64% of league games at Montilivi this term have served up goals for each team.
- 73% of Alaves away games in La Liga have seen both teams score.
- All of the Basque team’s last three away matches have ended in score draws.
Correct score prediction: Girona 2-2 Alaves
Girona are a shadow of the side that gatecrashed the top four last season, and they’ve failed to beat mid-table or bottom-half opposition in each of their last three home games.
With Alaves having drawn over half of their matches since Chacho Coudet was appointed at the end of last year, there’s a strong possibility that this one ends up all square.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the hosts
- HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Girona vs Alaves odds, with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this match.
They were in Catalan derby action against Barcelona last time out, going down 4-1 despite a goal from Arnaut Danjuma.
As for Alaves, they suffered a real setback in their survival fight last weekend, losing 2-0 at home to Rayo Vallecano.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: History favours the Catalans
Our Girona vs Alaves prediction suggests this one will end all square, but the Catalan side did win in Vitoria earlier this term, and they’ve only lost one of the last eight meetings overall.
Both teams have scored in three of the last four matches at Montilivi.
Spain La Liga 11/01/25
CD Alaves
Girona
Spain La Liga 10/05/24
CD Alaves
Girona
Spain La Liga 18/12/23
Girona
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 18/05/19
CD Alaves
Girona
Spain La Liga 12/01/19
Girona
CD Alaves
Girona preview: Injury problems for Michel
The hosts are without the injured Bryan Gil and Ivan Martin. They also have doubts over strikers Abel Ruiz and Bryan Miovski.
Predicted Lineup: Gazzaniga (GK), M. Gutierrez, Blind, Krejci, A. Martinez, Arthur, Herrera, Van de Beek, Asprilla, Danjuma & Tsygankov
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Osasuna 2 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 L CD Alaves 1 Girona 0 Spain Copa de Catalunya 02/04/25 W FC Andorra 2 Girona 3 Spain La Liga 30/03/25 L Barcelona 4 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 15/03/25 D Valencia 1 Girona 1
Alaves preview: Coudet only missing one
The visitors are expected to have only one absentee and that’s the suspended Nahuel Tenaglia.
Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), M. Sanchez, Mourino, Abqar, Novoa, Blanco, Alena, Jordan, C. Vicente, K. Garcia & T. Martinez
Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Real Madrid 1 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 05/04/25 W Girona 0 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 29/03/25 L Rayo Vallecano 2 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 14/03/25 D Las Palmas 2 CD Alaves 2 Spain La Liga 08/03/25 W Villarreal 0 CD Alaves 1
Player to watch – Kike Garcia
Alaves would be in even deeper trouble right now were it not for Kike Garcia. The veteran striker has scored 11 times in 27 appearances in La Liga this term.
Kike dominant in the air
The ex-Middlesbrough forward is averaging 3.4 aerial challenges won per game in the Spanish top flight. That’s more than any other player who could feature in this match.