Alaves will take on Atletico Madrid on Saturday, 30 August, as the 2025/26 La Liga season enters its third week.
The hosts have had a decent start to the new campaign, picking up three points from a possible six, while the visitors are on the verge of crisis, after failing to win both of their opening fixtures.
With Diego Simeone facing questions about his future, his players could go a long way to alleviating some of that pressure before the international break.
As part of this week's round of La Liga betting tips, check out our Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction below.
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Alaves vs Atletico Madrid prediction: The hosts to avoid defeat
Key Stats
- Alaves have won or drawn their last five home La Liga matches.
- Atletico Madrid have won just one of their last five La Liga away matches.
- Both teams have scored in three of the last five matches between Alaves and Atletico Madrid.
Correct score prediction: Alaves 1-1 Atletico Madrid
Alaves have an excellent recent record on home soil, while Atletico's away day woes from the end of last season have seemingly carried through to the current campaign. Therefore, it's very difficult to see the visitors winning this match, but they are due a good performance, which should mean they walk away with a point.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts go in as the underdogs
- HOME: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Alaves vs Atletico Madrid odds are somewhat surprising in that they don't seem to have taken Alaves' recent home record against Atletico into account. Ladbrokes' price of 7/2 on a home win provides excellent value, while their price of 4/5 on an away win should be avoided.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Encouragement for both teams
Across the last five matches between Alaves and Atletico Madrid, both teams have enjoyed success. Atletico Madrid have won three of the last five H2Hs, but all of those victories were on home soil. Their last win away at Alaves was back in January 2021 when they ran out as 2-1 winners.
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
CD Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 23/11/24
Atletico Madrid
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 21/04/24
CD Alaves
Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga 29/10/23
Atletico Madrid
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 02/04/22
Atletico Madrid
CD Alaves
Alaves preview: A first start for Diaz?
New signing, Mariano Diaz, is still waiting to make his first start for his new club, but that could come this weekend after the club lost to Real Betis last week. In terms of injuries, Lucas Boye is definitely out, but there is a chance that Hugo Novoa and Nikola Maras could join the 29-year-old in the treatment room.
Predicted lineup: Sivera (GK), Jonny, Tenaglia, Garces, Parada, Ibanez, Blanco, Vicente, Guridi, Alena, Martinez
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L
Athletic Bilbao
1
CD Alaves
0
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D
Atletico Madrid
0
CD Alaves
0
Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W
Real Sociedad
0
CD Alaves
1
Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D
Sevilla
1
CD Alaves
1
Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L
Real Madrid
1
CD Alaves
0
Atletico Madrid preview: Simeone is in need of the points
With Atletico Madrid in desperate need of a win before the international break, Diego Simeone will surely be tempted to recall Antoine Griezmann to the starting XI. If he does, then it will likely be Alexander Sorloth who misses out. Two men who will definitely miss the match are Alex Baena and Jose Gimenez due to injuries.
Predicted lineup: Oblak (GK), Llorente, Le Normand, Hancko, Ruggeri, Simeone, Cardoso, Barrios, Almada, Griezmann, Alvarez
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W
Real Sociedad
0
Atletico Madrid
4
Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D
CD Alaves
0
Atletico Madrid
0
Spain La Liga 24/04/25
W
Rayo Vallecano
0
Atletico Madrid
3
Spain La Liga 19/04/25
L
Las Palmas
1
Atletico Madrid
0
Spain La Liga 14/04/25
W
Valladolid
2
Atletico Madrid
4
Player to watch: Julian Alvarez
Julian Alvarez was bought for mega money last summer to be the heir to the Griezmann throne at Atletico Madrid, and while he has had a few purple patches for the club, he is yet to get close to the heights that Griezmann once achieved. Can the Argentinian get his second goal of the season this weekend?