Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/01/2024

Athletic Bilbao
16/01/24 - 20:00

Finished

2

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0

CD Alaves

Athletic Bilbao - CD Alaves

Spain Copa del Rey - San Mames Stadium

4th Round

Athletic Club entertain Alaves in a Basque derby at San Mames in the Copa del Rey on Tuesday night. Our Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves prediction looks at whether the hosts can make it into the quarter-finals for the fifth year in a row.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Athletic to Win

  • Athletic have a great recent record in this competition, reaching at least the Semi Finals in each of the last four years.
  • Alaves are less likely to prioritise the Copa del Rey as they target safety in their first season back in the top flight.

Our Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves betting tips point to the home team extending their impressive record at San Mames this term and making it 11 without defeat in Bilbao in all competitions.

Latest odds

Head to Head

22/09/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

2

22/09/23

Spain Primera Liga Liga

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

2

06/08/22

Europe Friendlies Europe

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

1

09/01/22

Spain Primera Liga Liga

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

0

01/10/21

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

0

Last Five - Athletic Bilbao

25/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Betis

Real Betis

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

3

1

L

19/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Girona

Girona

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

3

W

12/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

0

D

07/02/24

Spain Copa del Rey Spain

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

1

W

02/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Mallorca

Mallorca

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

0

4

W

Last Five - CD Alaves

24/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Mallorca

Mallorca

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

1

D

18/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Real Betis

Real Betis

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

0

D

10/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Villarreal

Villarreal

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

1

1

D

03/02/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Barcelona

Barcelona

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

3

1

L

26/01/24

Spain Primera Liga Liga

Almeria

Almeria

CD Alaves

CD Alaves

0

3

W

Win probability

  • HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25.0%
  • AWAY: 5/1 (6.00) – 16.7%

The Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves odds suggest a home win inside 90 minutes is the most likely outcome.

Athletic are also priced at 2/7 (1.29) to qualify for the next round, an implied probability of 77.8%. The tie will be settled on the night with Extra Time and penalties if required.

You can also get odds of 8/5 (2.60) for Athletic and Over 2.5 Goals, an implied probability of 38.5%.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves prediction – Other tips

Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Alaves

  • This Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves prediction suggests Ernesto Valverde’s team can make it 9 wins out of 11 at home in all competitions.
  • They’ve scored 27 goals in their last 10 home league games.

Athletic/Athletic Half Time/Full Time

  • Athletic came flying out the traps in their home derby with Real Sociedad at the weekend, leading 2-0 at the break and holding on to win 2-1.
  • Alaves were winless away in La Liga until Friday’s 3-2 triumph in Seville in a key clash at the bottom.

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves prediction

Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves team news

Athletic Bilbao

The Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves lineups will see the hosts again go without Iñaki Williams who is part of the Ghana AFCON squad. They are also missing Dani Garcia to injury but are in quite good shape overall in terms of fitness, although some rotation is to be expected.

Predicted Lineup: Agirrezabala (GK), Yuri, Vivian, Yeray, De Marcos, Galarreta, Herrera, Nico Williams, Muniain, Berenguer, Villalibre

Alaves

Alaves are likely to rest some players with another big Friday night relegation six pointer against Cadiz ahead of them this week. Abdel Abqar is on AFCON duty while Aleksandar Sedlar is their main injury absentee.

Predicted Lineup: Sivera (GK), Duarte, Marin, Maras, Sola, Blanco, Guevara, Rioja, Hagi, Vicente, Omorodion

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao
20
Asier Villalibre
es
4
Aitor Paredes
es
3
Dani Vivian
es
7
Alex Berenguer
es
8
Oihan Sancet
es
24
Benat Prados Diaz
es
13
Julen Agirrezabala
es
15
Inigo Lekue
es
18
Oscar De Marcos
es
21
Ander Herrera
es
10
Iker Muniain
es
Substitutes
31
Mikel Jauregizar Alboniga
es
1
Unai Simon
es
23
Peru Nolaskoain
es
11
Nico Williams
es
30
Unai Gomez Echevarria
es
19
Imanol Garcia de Albeniz
es
29
Malcom Adu
es
6
Mikel Vesga
es
12
Gorka Guruzeta
es
22
Raul Garcia
es
17
Yuri Berchiche
es

CD Alaves

CD Alaves
20
Giuliano Simeone
ar
32
Samuel Omorodion
es
3
Ruben Duarte
es
17
Xeber Alkain
es
8
Antonio Blanco
es
44
Victor Parada Gonzalez
es
1
Antonio Sivera
es
7
Alex Sola
es
14
Nahuel Tenaglia
ar
23
Carlos Benavidez
uy
10
Ianis Hagi
ro
Substitutes
41
Gaizka Garcu00eda
es
6
Ander Guevara
es
19
Nikola Maras
rs
11
Luis Rioja
es
16
Rafa Marin
es
27
Javi Lopez
es
2
Andoni Gorosabel
es
18
Jon Guridi
es
15
Kike Garcia
es
35
Mamadou Selu Diallo Diallo
es
37
Jose De Leon
do

Player to watch – Alex Berenguer

The expectation was that Nico Williams would be the man to really step up and provide most of the attacking threat for Athletic with his brother away on international duty. However on Saturday, the danger came from the opposite flank and Alex Berenguer.

The 28 year old has only started 5 games in La Liga 2023/24 but he’s still managed to amass 4 goals and an assist and he’s also scored some big Copa del Rey goals in past seasons.

Check out our football betting tips page for more free predictions and picks.


Avatar of Mark Sochon
Mark Sochon

Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.