Ajax vs Twente prediction, odds & betting tips – 14/04/2024

14/04/24 - 15:45

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Ajax - FC Twente

Netherlands Eredivisie - Johan Cruijff ArenA

Ajax and Twente will meet in the derby of the Eredivisie Round 30 on Sunday, 14 April.

Will Ajax recover from the last round's trashing by Feyenoord or will Twente kick them while they're down? Make sure to read our Ajax vs Twente prediction to find out.

Ajax vs Twente prediction: Plenty of goals on both sides

Key Stats

• Ajax have averaged 4.00 total goals per game this season, more than any other team in the league.
• We saw both teams score in a whopping 76% of Ajax's matches in Eredivisie so far.
• Eight of the last 10 H2H duels between these two teams have gone over 2.5 total goals.
• Both teams have scored in seven of the last 10 meetings between Ajax and Twente.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Too close to call 

• HOME: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.10%
• DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.80%
• AWAY: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.80%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Looking at these Ajax vs Twente odds, we can see that the bookmakers don't have a clear favourite in the match, although Twente are the expected winners by a thin margin.

Given that Ajax enter this match after losing to Feyenoord 6-0 in the last round and that they're 15 points behind Twente in the standings, the guests being slightly favoured makes sense.

In any case, check out some of our latest betting tips for today if you liked our tips for this match.

Last five H2Hs: A tied matchup in recent years

Netherlands Eredivisie 17/09/23

FC Twente

3

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 28/05/23

FC Twente

3

Ajax

1

Netherlands Cup 09/02/23

FC Twente

0

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 14/01/23

Ajax

0

FC Twente

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/02/22

Ajax

5

FC Twente

0

Both Ajax and Twente have won a couple of games each in their last five duels, along with one draw. Meanwhile, Ajax have dominated Twente when it comes to their overall H2H record—82-35-30.

Ajax preview: Just hoping for the season to finally end

The Dutch powerhouse are currently sixth in the standings in the Eredivisie and they are unlikely to climb up much more than that, which means that we'll might see Ajax miss on European competitions next season. Overall, this has been one of the worst seasons in the team's history, marked by many lows, including their 6-0 loss to Feyenoord in the last round.

When it comes to team news, Diant Ramaj, Olivier Aertssen, and Jordan Henderson are out with injuries, while Steven Berghuis and Gaston Avila are doubtful.

Predicted Lineup – Rulli – Rensch, Sutalo, Hato – Gaaei, Tahirovic, Mannsverk, Taylor – Bergwijn, Akpom – Brobbey

UEFA Europa League 03/10/24

D

Slavia Prague

1

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 29/09/24

W

RKC

0

Ajax

2

UEFA Europa League 26/09/24

W

Besiktas

0

Ajax

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 21/09/24

D

Go Ahead Eagles

1

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 18/09/24

W

Fortuna Sittard

0

Ajax

5

Twente preview: Close to securing a spot in the Champions League

With four wins in the last six rounds of the Eredivisie, Twente have been in good form lately. In fact, they've done very well this entire season as they are currently third in the standings, eight points ahead of AZ Alkmaar. That means that Twente is very close to clinching a spot in the Champions League qualifiers for next season.

Meanwhile, Myron Boadu is the only player on Twente's injury list at this time.

Predicted Lineup: Unnerstall – Sampsted, Hilgers, Propper, Regeer – Kjolo, Sadilek – Rots, Steijn, Vlap – Van Wolfswinkel

UEFA Europa League 03/10/24

D

Fenerbahce

1

FC Twente

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 29/09/24

W

NAC

0

FC Twente

1

UEFA Europa League 25/09/24

D

Man Utd

1

FC Twente

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 22/09/24

W

Almere City FC

0

FC Twente

5

Netherlands Eredivisie 17/09/24

W

Heerenveen

0

FC Twente

2

Player to watch: Brian Brobbey

Despite their woes this season, not everything is as bad as it seems at Ajax right now. One of the rare bright spots on the team is Brian Bobbey, a 22-year-old forward who has scored 16 goals in the league this season, along with seven assists.

Will Brobbey score first?

With eight of Brobbey's 16 goals in the league this season being the first goals of the respective matches, we can easily see Brobbey scoring the first goal of the game against Twente.