PSV will host Ajax in Eindhoven on Sunday, 30 March, in the crucial game for both teams in the Eredivisie title race.
With the hosts falling behind in their pursuit of defending the title, will they be able to turn things around with a win in this match or will Alax come one step closer to becoming the new champions?
Read our PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction and preview to find that out and more.
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PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax predictions: An exciting duel with many goals
Key Stats
- PSV have gone over 1.5 first half total goals in 73% of their matches in the Eredivisie this season.
- Ajax are undefeated in 11 games in a row in the league.
- PSV Eindhoven have only won two of their last six league matches.
Correct score prediction: PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Ajax
With the title on the line, we expect to see a very exciting duel between the reigning champions and the current league leaders. Considering the fact that Ajax are in much better form lately, we can see them avoiding a loss in this game and a high-scoring draw sounds like a reasonable outcome.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax are the clear underdogs
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.00%
- DRAW: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.80%
- AWAY: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.70%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from these PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax odds that the hosts are the expected winners, which isn't surprising since they are the reigning champions and will have the advantage of playing at home.
That being said, Ajax have been in much better form lately and are six points ahead in the standings, so we did expect the two teams to be priced closer than they are.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this game, read the latest football predictions page for more tips.
Most recent H2Hs: PSV with a small advantage lately
In the last five duels between these teams, we saw PSV Eindhoven win twice, along with two draws and one win for Ajax. When it comes to their overall H2H record, it's also pretty close: 67-33-65 in favour of Ajax.
Netherlands Eredivisie 02/11/24
Ajax
PSV
Netherlands Eredivisie 03/02/24
Ajax
PSV
Netherlands Eredivisie 29/10/23
PSV
Ajax
Netherlands Cup 30/04/23
Ajax
PSV
Netherlands Eredivisie 23/04/23
PSV
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven preview: Last chance to stay in the title race?
After just two wins in their last six games in the Eredivisie, PSV have lost their footing to Ajax in the title race and are now six points behind the team from Amsterdam. The defending champions will have a chance to get closer to Ajax with a win in their upcoming duel, but a loss would pretty much put them out of the race, so it's safe to say this will be their biggest game of the season.
Meanwhile, Ricardo Pepi, Lucas Perez, and Malik Tillman are on PSV's injury list for this match.
Predicted lineup: Benitez (GK), Karsdorp, Flamingo, Boscagli, Malacia, Til, Veerman, Babadi, Perisic, De Jong & Lang
Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25
W
Feyenoord
2
PSV
3
Netherlands Eredivisie 03/05/25
W
Fortuna Sittard
1
PSV
4
Netherlands Eredivisie 24/04/25
W
FC Twente
1
PSV
3
Netherlands Eredivisie 12/04/25
W
Almere City FC
0
PSV
5
Netherlands Eredivisie 05/04/25
W
FC Groningen
1
PSV
3
Ajax preview: One win away from the title?
While we still have eight games left before the end of the Eredivisie, Ajax are close to clinching the title. Right now, they are six points ahead of PSV Eindhoven, the defending champions, and they're bound to meet them in the next round.
So, a win for Ajax would likely mean winning the title and their fans have every right to be optimistic ahead of this match since Ajax have won 10 games in a row before drawing with AZ Alkmaar in the last round.
When it comes to team news, Anton Gaaei, Wout Weghorst, Remko Pasveer, and Youri Regeer are out with injuries, while Christian Rasmussen and Owen Wijndal are also doubtful.
Predicted lineup: Matheus (GK), Rosa, Sutalo, Baas, Hato, Mokio, Henderson, Taylor, Godts, Brobbey & Traore
Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25
L
NEC
3
Ajax
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 27/04/25
D
Sparta Rotterdam
1
Ajax
1
Netherlands Eredivisie 20/04/25
L
FC Utrecht
4
Ajax
0
Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25
W
Willem II
1
Ajax
2
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25
W
NAC
1
Ajax
3
Player to watch: Luuk de Jong
With 12 goals in the Eredivisie this season, the experienced forward has been PSV's top scorer since he's one goal ahead of Ricardo Pepi.
With Pepi out for this game, de Jong will have to take on even bigger offensive load and try to lead the defending champions to a crucial win in the title race.