Ajax vs Excelsior prediction, odds & betting tips – 24/04/2024

24/04/24 - 20:00

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Ajax - Excelsior

Netherlands Eredivisie - Johan Cruijff ArenA

Ajax will host Excelsior in the upcoming Eredivisie round on Wednesday, 24 April.

Will Ajax prove they're the better team despite their shaky form this season or will Excelsior get the points they desperately need to avoid relegation playoffs? Make sure to read our Ajax vs Excelsior prediction to find out.

Ajax vs Excelsior prediction: Ajax to win with plenty of goals

Key Stats

• Ajax have beaten Excelsior four times in their last five duels and they've led at half time in all four of them.
• Excelsior have lost 10 of their 15 away games in the league this season, while Ajax have only lost twice at home in 15 matches.
• The last five H2H duels between these two teams have all gone over 3.5 total goals.
• Ajax have averaged 3.97 total goals per game in the league so far, more than any other team in the league, but Excelsior are right behind with an average of 3.60 total goals per game.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax the absolute favourites 

• HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.90%
• DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.40%
• AWAY: 15/2 (8.50) – 11.80%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Looking at these Ajax vs Excelsior odds, we can see that the hosts are the expected winners by a big margin, which is not a surprise given that Ajax are currently 23 points ahead of Excelsior in the standings.

That being said, Ajax have struggled a lot this season and they had some bad results, but they're in solid form overall with just one loss in the last seven games. Ajax have also done well at home, while Excelsior have struggled in away matches, so the odds certainly make sense.

In any case, check out some of our latest betting tips for today if you liked our tips for this match.

Last five H2Hs: A clear Ajax domination

Netherlands Eredivisie 19/08/23

Excelsior

2

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 29/01/23

Excelsior

1

Ajax

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 16/10/22

Ajax

7

Excelsior

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/19

Ajax

6

Excelsior

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/11/18

Excelsior

1

Ajax

7

While Excelsior managed to snatch a draw last time they met with Ajax, the team from Amsterdam has won the four duels before with a whopping +19 goal difference. Also, Ajax have thoroughly dominated Excelsior in years before, which is clear from the overall H2H record between these two teams—40-7-1 for Ajax.

Ajax preview: Trying to secure their place in Europa League

After a 6-0 trashing at the hands of Feyenoord, Ajax managed to regroup and get an important win over Twente in the last round of the Eredivisie. Thanks to this, they remain fifth in the standings, which would take them to the Europa League qualifiers next season. However, a couple of other teams are lurking just points behind, so Ajax will need to do well in the remaining matches to stay fifth.

When it comes to team news, Diant Ramaj and Olivier Aertssen are out with injuries, while Jordan Henderson, Steven Berghuis, and Gaston Avila are doubtful.

Predicted Lineup – Rulli – Rensch, Sutalo, Hato – Gaaei, Tahirovic, Mannsverk, Taylor – Bergwijn, Akpom – Brobbey

Netherlands Eredivisie 11/05/25

L

NEC

3

Ajax

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 27/04/25

D

Sparta Rotterdam

1

Ajax

1

Netherlands Eredivisie 20/04/25

L

FC Utrecht

4

Ajax

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25

W

Willem II

1

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25

W

NAC

1

Ajax

3

Excelsior preview: Hoping to avoid the relegation playoffs

After a streak of 11 games without a win, during which time they've lost nine times, Excelsior have notched a crucial victory over Volendam in the last round. This win keeps them out of the relegation zone, including the spot that would take them into the relegation playoffs. However, they are just one point ahead of RKC, the team sitting in that spot. With four games left in the season, this will be a battle to keep an eye on.

Meanwhile, Troy Parrott will miss this game to serve a suspension, while Couhaib Driouech is injured and out. Excelsior also have a few more players on their injury list that are listed as doubtful, like Kik Pierie, Ian Smeulers, Serano Seymor, and Lennard Hartjes.

Predicted Lineup: Van Gassel – Benita, Horemans, Yaakoubi, Zagre – Goudmijn, Baas – Fernandes, Duijvestijn, Lamprou – Omorowa

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 09/05/25

L

AZ Reserves

2

Excelsior

1

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 02/05/25

W

PSV Reserves

0

Excelsior

5

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 27/04/25

W

FC Emmen

0

Excelsior

2

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 20/04/25

W

FC Volendam

1

Excelsior

4

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 11/04/25

W

Top Oss

0

Excelsior

2

Player to watch: Brian Brobbey

Despite their struggles this season, some things are good at Ajax. For example, the emergence of Brian Bobbey, the team's 22-year-old striker who has scored 17 goals so far in the league, along with seven assists.

Will Brobbey score first?

Eight of Brobbey's 17 goals in the Eredivisie this season were the first goals of the respective matches, so he is a good choice to be the first goalscorer in this match as well.