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The standout fixture in matchday 11 of the 2026-27 Eredivisie season sees Ajax host AZ Alkmaar at the Johan Cruyff Arena on Saturday.
Sitting second and fifth, both teams are firmly in the title race, and you can take advantage of our William Hill promo code ahead of this weekend's clash.
In addition to our Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar prediction below, check out the rest of today's betting tips for more of our expert predictions.
Ajax vs. AZ Alkmaar key stats
- Eight of Ajax's last 10 matches have produced at least three goals.
- None of Ajax's last seven games has seen more than five cards shown.
- AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last 11 meetings with Ajax, scoring first in each of the last eight.
Ajax vs. AZ Alkmaar preview: First win in a dozen for De Godenzonen
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar — Tale of the Tape
| Ajax | vs | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Position | 5th |
| 21 | Points | 20 |
| 29 | Goals For | 20 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 9th | Home / Away Rank | 4th |
After PSV Eindhoven cruised to the league title last season, Ajax are now part of a four-team contending pack aiming to ensure a genuine title race this term and for the first time since 2013, the top five teams are within five points of one another 10 games into the campaign.
Michel’s side failed to win either of their first two matches after the September/October break but have since responded with three consecutive victories. The most recent was a 2-1 triumph over Sparta Rotterdam, where Tolu Arokodare began his pursuit of 200 career goals, having reached 100 against Atalanta.
Sitting second in the table and just three points behind leaders Feyenoord, De Godenzonen could finish the weekend top on goal difference, but could also drop as low as fifth with a defeat, highlighting the slim margins at the summit.
Ajax beat AZ four times in five meetings between January 2021 and March 2022, but few could have predicted that the Amsterdam giants would fail to win any of the next 11 encounters. Three of those came last season, with a 6-0 KNVB Beker thrashing providing the biggest headline.
Home form is typically crucial for any title contender, yet Saturday’s hosts have managed just one win from five league matches at the Johan Cruyff Arena this season, far from ideal for Ajax’s championship hopes.
AZ Alkmaar started the season in impressive fashion, winning their opening five matches and emerging as early title favourites. However, their momentum has stalled in recent weeks, with just one victory from their last five outings.
Sunday’s 2-0 defeat to Twente at the AFAS Stadion means Leeroy Echteld’s side are now winless in three for the first time this season, and it marked their first home league game without scoring since April 2025.
Having boasted the joint-best defensive record in the division prior to their latest defeat, De Kaasboeren now have their work cut out at the top end of the pitch – unsurprising given the summer departure of last season’s top scorer, Troy Parrott – if they are to mount a serious Eredivisie title push.
Like Ajax, AZ have also been adept at scoring late goals, with the two teams combining for 11 goals in the final 15 minutes this season. That suggests no one should leave early, regardless of the score heading into the closing stages.
AZ’s current run – facing Twente, Ajax, and Juventus – was widely viewed as their toughest stretch of the season. Having come away empty-handed from the opening test, Saturday’s visitors will now be determined to bounce back.
Ajax vs. AZ Alkmaar form guide & betting tips
| Ajax | vs | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
WDDWW |
Form | DWLDL |
| 11 | Points | 5 |
| 3rd | Form Table | 12th |
| 15 | Goals For | 4 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 7 |
DLWWW |
Form (All Comps) | LWDWL |
Whispers predicts: Ajax 3-1 AZ Alkmaar
Ajax are the more in-form side and, with the added advantage of home turf, are tipped to secure all three points at 2/3 (1.67).
Both teams have scored in eight of Ajax's last nine matches, so BTTS – Yes at 2/5 (1.40) looks a strong selection.
Tolu Arokodare is averaging a league goal every 91 minutes this season, making him an appealing anytime goalscorer option at 1/1 (Evens).
> Ajax to win at 2/3 (1.67) | Likelihood: Probable
> BTTS – Yes at 2/5 (1.40) | Likelihood: Probable
> Tolu Arokodare to score anytime at 1/1 (Evens) | Likelihood: Probable
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Ajax - AZ
Netherlands Eredivisie - Johan Cruijff ArenA