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Newcastle - AC Milan
UEFA Champions League - St. James' Park
6th Round
Prediction 1
Under 2.5 Goals
19/20 (1.95)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
1-0 Newcastle
7/1 (8.00)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change
It's time for our Champions League predictions ahead of AC Milan's trip to St James' Park to face Newcastle.
Both teams know that this is a must-win game, and even then, three points might not be enough to see them qualify for the knockout stage as they also need PSG to falter at Dortmund.
Contents
Newcastle vs AC Milan prediction – Betting tips & odds
Hot Tip – Under 2.5 Goals
- The reverse fixture between these two teams ended in a goalless draw.
- Three of Newcastle's last six matches in all competitions have produced under 2.5 goals.
Another reason that we have backed under 2.5 goals as our main prediction is that AC Milan have only scored three goals in the group stage so far.
Latest odds
Head to Head
19/09/23
UEFA Champions League UCL
AC Milan
Newcastle
0
0
Last Five - Newcastle
11/05/25
England Premier League EPL
Chelsea
Newcastle
0
2
W
04/05/25
England Premier League EPL
Brighton
Newcastle
1
1
D
26/04/25
England Premier League EPL
Ipswich
Newcastle
0
3
W
19/04/25
England Premier League EPL
Aston Villa
Newcastle
4
1
L
16/04/25
England Premier League EPL
Crystal Palace
Newcastle
0
5
W
Last Five - AC Milan
09/05/25
Italy Serie A Serie A
Bologna
AC Milan
1
3
W
05/05/25
Italy Serie A Serie A
Genoa
AC Milan
1
2
W
27/04/25
Italy Serie A Serie A
Venezia
AC Milan
0
2
W
23/04/25
Coppa Italia Coppa
Inter Milan
AC Milan
0
3
W
20/04/25
Italy Serie A Serie A
Atalanta
AC Milan
1
0
L
Win probability
- HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
Newcastle are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 52.4%, but much like the last meetings between the pair, we're expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the two clubs. If you want more football betting tips on this final group game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.
The two favourites to score in this game are Callum Wilson and Alexander Isak both have odds of 6/4 (2.50) which works out at a probability of 40%.
Newcastle vs AC Milan prediction – Other tips
Correct Score: 1-0
- Newcastle have won five of their last six home games in all competitions.
- AC Milan have failed to score in three of their five Group F games.
Both Teams to Score – No
- AC Milan have only scored in two of their five matches in the Champions League so far this season.
- Newcastle have kept three clean sheets in their last five home games in league and cup.
Newcastle vs AC Milan team news
Newcastle
Newcastle fans will feel hard done by after their last game against PSG when the visitors should have been awarded a penalty in what turned out to be a 1-1 draw. Isak fired Newcastle in front after 24 minutes and that goal alone looked like it was going to be enough for the Magpies to win the game, only for Mbappe to convert a stoppage-time penalty to make the final scoreline 1-1.
Nick Pope, Joseph Willock, Jacob Murphy, Dan Burn, Matthew Targett, Elliot Anderson, Sven Botman and Harvey Barnes could all miss the final group game due to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Dúbravka (GK), Trippier, Schär, Lascelles, Livramento, Almirón, Guimarães, Longstaff, Joelinton, Isak & Gordon
AC Milan
AC Milan fell behind at home to Dortmund but managed to equalise before the break through Samuel Chukwueze. However, the visitors scored a further two goals in the second half that won the game and confirmed Dortmund's place in the knockout stage.
Malick Thiaw, Noah Okafor, Marco Pellegrino, Pierre Kalulu, Simon Kjær and Marco Sportiello are all on the injury list for the visitors ahead of the trip to Newcastle.
Predicted Lineup: Maignan (GK), Florenzi, Calabria, Tomori, Hernández, Loftus-Cheek, Pulišić, Reijnders, Musah, Giroud & Chukwueze
Newcastle
AC Milan
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Alexander Isak
Newcastle's Swedish striker has been in good form this season and will be looking to score his second goal in the Champions League for the Magpies on Wednesday.
Isak heads into this crucial final group game for Newcastle in decent form, netting five goals in his last ten appearances for Newcastle and has managed to score a total of nine goals in all competitions so far this season.
Callum Wilson could return to the Newcastle squad for the AC Milan game but Isak will start the match and the main responsibility for scoring goals lands squarely on the Swedish international's shoulders.
Player to watch – Fikayo Tomori
Fikayo Tomori will be one of a handful of ex-Premier League players in the Milan XI hoping to impress at St. James’ Park this evening. The defender has been earning top reviews for his performances in Italy since deciding to swap Chelsea for new horizons in 2021 and the England international could be key to Milan’s chances of success on Tyneside.
Tomori has missed just one of AC Milan’s 15 Serie A fixtures this season though he has been an ever-present in the Champions League, starting all five of the Rossoneri’s five group games to date. Tomori was a standout performer when Milan drew 0-0 with Newcastle back in September.
