Newcastle vs AC Milan prediction, odds & betting tips 13/12/2023

Newcastle
13/12/23 - 20:00

Finished

1

-

2

AC Milan

Newcastle - AC Milan

UEFA Champions League - St James' Park

6th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

It's time for our Champions League predictions ahead of AC Milan's trip to St James' Park to face Newcastle.

Both teams know that this is a must-win game, and even then, three points might not be enough to see them qualify for the knockout stage as they also need PSG to falter at Dortmund.

Newcastle vs AC Milan prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot Tip – Under 2.5 Goals

  • The reverse fixture between these two teams ended in a goalless draw.
  • Three of Newcastle's last six matches in all competitions have produced under 2.5 goals.

Another reason that we have backed under 2.5 goals as our main prediction is that AC Milan have only scored three goals in the group stage so far.

Latest odds

Head to Head

19/09/23

UEFA Champions League UCL

AC Milan

AC Milan

Newcastle

Newcastle

0

0

Last Five - Newcastle

24/05/24

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

A-League All Stars

A-League All Stars

Newcastle

Newcastle

8

0

L

22/05/24

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Tottenham

Tottenham

Newcastle

Newcastle

1 (4)

1 (5)

W

19/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Brentford

Brentford

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

4

W

15/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Man Utd

Man Utd

Newcastle

Newcastle

3

2

L

11/05/24

England Premier League EPL

Brighton

Brighton

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

1

D

Last Five - AC Milan

31/05/24

Elite Club Friendlies Elite

Roma

Roma

AC Milan

AC Milan

5

2

L

25/05/24

Italy Serie A Serie A

Salernitana

Salernitana

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

3

D

18/05/24

Italy Serie A Serie A

Torino

Torino

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

1

L

11/05/24

Italy Serie A Serie A

Cagliari

Cagliari

AC Milan

AC Milan

1

5

W

05/05/24

Italy Serie A Serie A

Genoa

Genoa

AC Milan

AC Milan

3

3

D

Win probability

  • HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • AWAY: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%

Newcastle are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 52.4%, but much like the last meetings between the pair, we're expecting a close and competitive 90 minutes between the two clubs. If you want more football betting tips on this final group game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market.

The two favourites to score in this game are Callum Wilson and Alexander Isak both have odds of 6/4 (2.50) which works out at a probability of 40%.

Newcastle vs AC Milan prediction – Other tips

Correct Score: 1-0

  • Newcastle have won five of their last six home games in all competitions.
  • AC Milan have failed to score in three of their five Group F games.

Both Teams to Score – No

  • AC Milan have only scored in two of their five matches in the Champions League so far this season.
  • Newcastle have kept three clean sheets in their last five home games in league and cup.

newcastle vs ac milan

Newcastle vs AC Milan team news

Newcastle

Newcastle fans will feel hard done by after their last game against PSG when the visitors should have been awarded a penalty in what turned out to be a 1-1 draw. Isak fired Newcastle in front after 24 minutes and that goal alone looked like it was going to be enough for the Magpies to win the game, only for Mbappe to convert a stoppage-time penalty to make the final scoreline 1-1.

Nick Pope, Joseph Willock, Jacob Murphy, Dan Burn, Matthew Targett, Elliot Anderson, Sven Botman and Harvey Barnes could all miss the final group game due to injury.

Predicted Lineup: Dúbravka (GK), Trippier, Schär, Lascelles, Livramento, Almirón, Guimarães, Longstaff, Joelinton, Isak & Gordon

AC Milan

AC Milan fell behind at home to Dortmund but managed to equalise before the break through Samuel Chukwueze. However, the visitors scored a further two goals in the second half that won the game and confirmed Dortmund's place in the knockout stage.

Malick Thiaw, Noah Okafor, Marco Pellegrino, Pierre Kalulu, Simon Kjær and Marco Sportiello are all on the injury list for the visitors ahead of the trip to Newcastle.

Predicted Lineup: Maignan (GK), Florenzi, Calabria, Tomori, Hernández, Loftus-Cheek, Pulišić, Reijnders, Musah, Giroud & Chukwueze 

Newcastle

Newcastle
4-3-3
1
Martin Dubravka
sk
2
Kieran Trippier
gb
6
Jamaal Lascelles
gb
5
Fabian Schar
ch
21
Valentino Livramento
gb
67
Lewis Miley
gb
39
Bruno Guimaraes
br
7
Joelinton
br
24
Miguel Almiron
py
9
Callum Wilson
gb
10
Anthony Gordon
gb
Substitutes
14
Alexander Isak
se
82
Aidan Harris
gb
36
Sean Longstaff
gb
18
Loris Karius
de
33
Dan Burn
gb
20
Lewis Hall
gb
3
Paul Dummett
gb

AC Milan

AC Milan
4-3-3
16
Mike Maignan
fr
2
Davide Calabria
it
23
Fikayo Tomori
gb
19
Theo Hernandez
fr
42
Alessandro Florenzi
it
80
Yunus Musah
us
14
Tijani Reijnders
nl
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
gb
11
Christian Pulisic
us
9
Olivier Giroud
fr
10
Rafael Leao
pt
Substitutes
17
Noah Okafor
ch
95
Davide Bartesaghi
it
33
Rade Krunic
ba
84
Clinton Nsiala-Makengo
fr
69
Lapo Nava
it
70
Chaka Traore
ci
15
Luka Jovic
rs
32
Tommaso Pobega
it
21
Samuel Chukwueze
ng
7
Yacine Adli
fr
83
Antonio Mirante
it

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Alexander Isak

Newcastle's Swedish striker has been in good form this season and will be looking to score his second goal in the Champions League for the Magpies on Wednesday.

Isak heads into this crucial final group game for Newcastle in decent form, netting five goals in his last ten appearances for Newcastle and has managed to score a total of nine goals in all competitions so far this season.

Callum Wilson could return to the Newcastle squad for the AC Milan game but Isak will start the match and the main responsibility for scoring goals lands squarely on the Swedish international's shoulders.

Player to watch – Fikayo Tomori

Fikayo Tomori will be one of a handful of ex-Premier League players in the Milan XI hoping to impress at St. James’ Park this evening. The defender has been earning top reviews for his performances in Italy since deciding to swap Chelsea for new horizons in 2021 and the England international could be key to Milan’s chances of success on Tyneside.

Tomori has missed just one of AC Milan’s 15 Serie A fixtures this season though he has been an ever-present in the Champions League, starting all five of the Rossoneri’s five group games to date. Tomori was a standout performer when Milan drew 0-0 with Newcastle back in September.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things