Genoa will host AC Milan in the final game of this Serie A round on Monday, 5 May.
Will we see a win for the hosts against this team for the first time since 2020 or will the guests get the three points to keep their slim hope of securing a spot in Europe for next season alive?
Find that out and more from our Genoa vs AC Milan prediction and preview.
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Genoa vs AC Milan prediction: Rossoneri to edge out Genoa
Key Stats
- AC Milan have averaged 3.00 total goals per game in away matches in Serie A this season, which is the highest average in the league.
- Genoa have lost twice in a row heading into this game and have just one win in the last five games in the league.
- AC Milan have won three of their last four away games in Serie A.
Correct score prediction: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
While AC Milan's chances of getting into some European competition next season aren't high, at least when it comes to them achieving this based on the league's standings, that is still a possibility.
On the other hand, Genoa aren't moving much from their current mid-table position regardless of what they do in the remaining matches, so a win for AC Milan in this game sounds likely.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Rossoneri expected to romp to victory
- HOME: 17/5 (4.40) – 22.70%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.80%
- AWAY: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.60%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from these Genoa vs AC Milan odds that the guests are the expected winners in this game, despite this being one of their worst seasons in Serie A in recent years, at least when it comes to their position in the standings.
That being said, AC Milan are still 15 points ahead of Genoa in the Serie A table and they are also in better form lately, so we can see why the bookies favour them to win this match.
Also, feel free to check out our other expert predictions and top betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Plenty of draws lately
Three of the last five duels between these two teams have ended in draws, although AC Milan have ended up winning one of those matches after extra time in Coppa Italia.
In any case, AC Milan have overall been dominating this matchup since they have a huge advantage when it comes to their overall H2H record against Genoa: 57-36-21.
Italy Serie A 15/12/24
AC Milan
Genoa
Italy Serie A 05/05/24
AC Milan
Genoa
Italy Serie A 07/10/23
Genoa
AC Milan
Italy Serie A 15/04/22
AC Milan
Genoa
Coppa Italia 13/01/22
AC Milan
Genoa
Genoa preview: Already in a holiday mode
With four games left in this Serie A season, Genoa are on a safe distance from the relegation zone and bound for a lower-half finish. They are currently 13th in the standings, but they are 12 points ahead of the first team in the relegation zone. So, Genoa players are probably already thinking about the summer and just waiting for the season to end.
Meanwhile, Maxwel Cornet, Caleb Ekuban, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Hugo Cuenca, Jean Onana, and Fabio Miretti are all out with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Leali (GK), Norton-Cuffy, De Winter, Vasquez, Martin, Frendrup, Masini, Thorsby, Messias, Pinamonti, Vitinha
Italy Serie A 11/05/25
D
Napoli
2
Genoa
2
Italy Serie A 05/05/25
L
AC Milan
2
Genoa
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
Como
1
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Lazio
2
Genoa
0
Italy Serie A 13/04/25
D
Verona
0
Genoa
0
AC Milan preview: Inconsistent form lately
With two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games in the league, AC Milan haven't been able to keep up the pace in the race for European football next season. They are currently ninth in the standings, six points behind Roma in sixth place.
That being said, AC Milan have managed to reach the final in Coppa Italia with an impressive win over their city rivals Inter in the semis and if they can beat Bologna in the final, they will get to play in the Europa League next season.
When it comes to team news, Emerson Royal is back in training, so he could get a chance to play in this game. Meanwhile, Luka Jovic is questionable.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Jimenez, Fofana, Reijnders, Hernandez, Pulisic, Abraham & Leao
Italy Serie A 09/05/25
W
Bologna
1
AC Milan
3
Italy Serie A 05/05/25
W
Genoa
1
AC Milan
2
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Venezia
0
AC Milan
2
Coppa Italia 23/04/25
W
Inter Milan
0
AC Milan
3
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
L
Atalanta
1
AC Milan
0
Player to watch: Christian Pulisic
The 18 goal contributions (10 goals and eight assists) by the American winger are the most in this AC Milan team when it comes to Serie A and Pulisic will be looking to help his team get the win over Genoa as Rossoneri try to stay in the race for European football next season.
