With both teams looking to steer away from the relegation zone, Wolfsburg and St Pauli will battle hard at the Volkswagen Arena on Wednesday evening.
While the hosts are three points ahead and two places ahead of the visitors, the home side arrive here after an 8-1 mauling at Bayern Munich on Sunday, leaving their spirits crushed.
After reading our Wolfsburg vs St Pauli prediction, remember to check out other Bundesliga predictions.
Contents
Wolfsburg vs St Pauli prediction: Draw at the Volkswagen Arena
Key statistics
- Wolfsburg have conceded 36 goals, a joint-league high before this round.
- The Wolves have won just one of their last 16 Bundesliga home games (D7, L8).
- Daniel Bauer has lost both matches as Wolfsburg boss, conceding 12 goals in total.
- St Pauli are unbeaten in four matches across all competitions (W2, D2).
- Seven of the last eight meetings between these sides have ended in draws.
Correct score prediction: Wolfsburg 1-1 St Pauli
Given Wolfsburg’s fragility and St Pauli’s recent resilience, the visitors are well-placed to leave here with at least a point.
Pre-game odds and implied probabilities: Die Wolfe are favourites despite form
- Wolfsburg: 17/20 – 1.85 (54.1%)
- Draw: 13/5 – 3.60 (27.8%)
- St Pauli: 3/1 – 4.00 (25.0%)
*Odds subject to change
Despite Wolfsburg’s struggles, the market still favours the hosts, largely due to league position, though recent form suggests those odds may be optimistic.
Most recent H2H history: A fixture defined by deadlock
This matchup has developed into one of the Bundesliga’s most stubborn rivalries. Seven of the last eight meetings have finished level, with St Pauli managing just a single win in that sequence.
Tight margins and low-scoring affairs have become the norm, and there is little evidence to suggest Wednesday will break that pattern.
Germany Bundesliga I 08/03/25
Wolfsburg
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 26/10/24
St Pauli
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg preview: Confidence in freefall
Few teams limp into a fixture quite like Wolfsburg do here. Sunday’s demolition at Bayern Munich was not just damaging on the scoreboard, but psychologically bruising for a side already short on belief.
New head coach Daniel Bauer has endured a brutal introduction to life in the dugout, losing both matches in charge while watching his team concede at an alarming rate.
With 36 goals shipped already, defensive instability is Wolfsburg’s defining flaw, and matters are not helped by a woeful home record that has seen just one Bundesliga win in their last 16 outings at the Volkswagen Arena.
Three points clear of the relegation zone, Wolfsburg cannot afford to spiral. A failure to respond here would deepen the sense that this season could yet become a survival scrap.
Wolfsburg faces a significant number of absences heading into the match, with Bence Dardai sidelined with a knee injury, while Joakim Maehle is unavailable due to a shoulder issue.
The defensive unit is further weakened by Rogerio, who is recovering from a muscle injury, and Jenson Seelt, who is currently out of action due to illness.
Additionally, forward Jonas Wind is dealing with a thigh injury that keeps him out of the squad, while there is uncertainty surrounding Marius Muller, whose status remains questionable.
Predicted lineup: Grabara; Kumbedi, Jenz, Koulierakis, Zehnter; Gerhardt, Arnold; Eriksen, Majer, Wimmer; Pejcinovic
Wolfsburg’s last five results
- 11.01.26 – Bayern Munich 8-1 Wolfsburg
- 06.01.26 – Estrela 1-1 Wolfsburg
- 20.12.25 – Wolfsburg 3-4 Freiburg
- 13.12.25 – Borussia Monchengladbach 1-3 Wolfsburg
- 06.12.25 – Wolfsburg 3-1 Union Berlin
St Pauli preview: Rested, resilient and ready
While Wolfsburg are desperate for a reset, St Pauli arrive with composure and clarity. Their weekend fixture against RB Leipzig was postponed due to adverse weather, meaning Alexander Blessin’s side have not played in over three weeks, a potential source of rust, but also of recovery.
Their last outing, a goalless draw with Mainz, extended an unbeaten run to four matches, equalling their longest streak since returning to the Bundesliga.
Encouragingly, three of those games came away from home, suggesting St Pauli are capable of navigating hostile environments.
Victory here would pull them level on points with Wolfsburg, and given the hosts’ current vulnerability, the visitors will sense an opportunity to step out of the bottom three.
St Pauli's injury list is considerably shorter but still impacts their depth. Andrew Hountondji is unavailable for selection as he recovers from an ankle injury. He is joined on the sidelines by David Nemeth, who is currently nursing a groin injury.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj; Wahl, Smith, Mets; Pyrka, Sands, Oppie; Fujita, Irvine; Kaars, Pereira
St Pauli’s last five results
- 04.01.26 – St Pauli 0-0 Werder Bremen
- 21.12.25 – Mainz 0-0 St Pauli
- 13.12.25 – St Pauli 2-1 Heidenheim
- 06.12.25 – FC Koln 1-1 St Pauli
- 02.12.25 – Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 St Pauli
Player to watch – Nikola Vasilj
St. Pauli’s Bosnian goalkeeper might be who wins them a point or more in this clash. Following a resolute shutout in his previous outing, Nikola Vasilj enters this match leading the Bundesliga with 51 saves.
The goalkeeper’s lightning-fast reflexes and consistent shot-stopping ability make him the pivotal figure here as he could frustrate Wolfsburg's forwards in their search for goals.