VfL Wolfsburg will take on FSV Mainz at the Volkswagen Arena this Sunday in the German Bundesliga clash, with both sides eager to secure a win.
The Wolves head into the game with confidence after a strong 3-1 victory over Heidenheim on the opening day, while Mainz will be determined to bounce back following a narrow 1-0 defeat to Koln.
Wolfsburg will look to their key players to continue their momentum, whereas the White and Greens will hope their new signings can step up and deliver their first points of the season.
With both teams unpredictable and recent meetings often producing plenty of goals, this promises to be an exciting encounter for the fans.
Read our Wolfsburg vs Mainz predictions and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Bundesliga predictions.
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Wolfsburg vs Mainz prediction: The Wolves to edge out encounter
Key statistics
- Four of their last five clashes have had over 3.5 goals.
- Wolfsburg have won three of their last five home games against Mainz.
- There have been over 4.5 cards in their last two meetings.
Correct score prediction: Wolfsburg 3-2 Mainz
The Wolves are well placed to edge this contest, and we are predicting a 3-2 victory for the home side. They head into the match with confidence after a strong start to the season and their recent record against Mainz further strengthens their chances.
Across the last five meetings, Wolfsburg have come out on top three times, the White and Greens have won just once and two games. Given that history, we expect Wolfsburg to have the upper hand.
The White and Greens, however, have shown they can find the back of the net consistently, so they should be able to score. Still, Wolfsburg’s attacking power and home advantage are likely to make the difference, resulting in a hard-fought 2-1 win.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Very close odds from bookmakers
- Home: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.51%
- Draw: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.78%
- Away: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.26%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Looking at the bookmakers' odds, Wolfsburg at 2.15 are slight favourites with about a 47% chance of winning. Mainz are close behind at 3.10, which gives them around a 32% chance. The draw is priced at 3.60, suggesting about a 28% chance.
The bookmakers expect Wolfsburg to have a small edge, but Mainz are seen as strong enough to compete, making this a fairly even and unpredictable contest.
Most recent head-to-head: Tight record in previous meetings
In their past meeting, Paul Simonis’ team have had a slight edge against the White and Greens. In their last six meetings, Wolfsburg has won three matches, Mainz has won one, and there have been two draws.
The last time they met was in a thrilling 2-2 draw in April, which saw Mainz come back from two goals down to secure a point. However, with Bo Henriksen’s team’s poor start to the new season, they will need to put in much effort to get a win against Wolfsburg.
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Wolfsburg
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Wolfsburg
Mainz
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Wolfsburg
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 13/01/24
Mainz
Wolfsburg
Germany Bundesliga I 30/04/23
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After reviewing our key Wolfsburg vs Mainz predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Wolfsburg preview: Injury troubles for Simonis
Simonis’ side head into the clash without Denis Vavro, who is out with a groin injury and is not expected back until mid-December 2025, making him the longest-term absentee.
Jesper Lindstrom is also sidelined with a groin problem but should return sooner, around mid-September. Joakim Maehle is nursing a thigh injury, though he is only expected to miss a few days.
Kevin Paredes is recovering from an ankle issue that will likely keep him out until mid-September, while Rogério is dealing with a muscle injury and is expected back in early September.
Predicted lineup: Grabara (GK), Zehnter, Koulierakis, Fischer, Jenz, Arnold, Vinicius Souza, Skov Olsen, Majer, Pejcinovic & Wimmer
Germany Bundesliga I 09/05/25
D
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Wolfsburg
2
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
L
Borussia Dortmund
4
Wolfsburg
0
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L
SC Freiburg
1
Wolfsburg
0
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
Mainz
2
Wolfsburg
2
Germany Bundesliga I 11/04/25
L
RB Leipzig
3
Wolfsburg
2
Mainz preview: Two key players out of clash
Henriksen’s side also have a few important absentees to manage going into the upcoming matches. Paul Nebel will miss out as he is suspended, leaving a gap in the squad.
Benedict Hollerbach is sidelined with a hamstring injury and is not expected to return until late September 2025. Meanwhile, Maxim Dal faces the longest spell on the sidelines, with a cruciate ligament injury that will keep him out until mid-January 2026.
Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Mwene, Caci, Hanche-Olsen, Da Costa, Jae-Sung, Amiri, Lee, Kohr, Sano & Hollerbach
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Bochum
1
Mainz
4
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Mainz
1
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L
Bayern Munich
3
Mainz
0
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
Wolfsburg
2
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz
0
Player to watch: Luca Waldschmidt
The White and Greens will look to Andreas Skov Olsen as a key player in this match. The Danish winger has been in impressive form, scoring twice in his last five games across all competitions.
He showed his sharpness with a goal in the DFB-Pokal and added another in the Bundesliga opener, proving he can deliver when it matters. With his ability to influence the game both as a scorer and a playmaker, he will be one of Wolfsburg’s biggest threats going forward.