Werder Bremen will aim to correct their poor start to the 2025-26 Bundesliga season on Saturday when they host St Pauli at Weserstadion
The home side's weekend clash will be their sixth league game, and they head into it in sixth place with just four points, whereas the visitors are ninth with seven points, though they suffered a 2-1 loss on September 27 when they faced Bayer Leverkusen.
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Werder Bremen vs St Pauli prediction: Vulnerable hosts face improved visitors
Key stats
- Werder Bremen have conceded at least three goals in four of their five Bundesliga fixtures, and have failed to score in their past two.
- St Pauli's eight goals scored is double the tally they managed in the top flight at the same stage last season, though they have conceded on two more occasions (eight).
- Only 13th-placed Hamburger SV have faced more shots (80) in the league this term than Werder Bremen, whereas St Pauli have faced the fewest shots (43).
Correct score prediction: Werder Bremen 1-2 St Pauli
Werder Bremen's backline will not inspire confidence in the rest of the team, and unless they can overcome their defensive frailties, they will almost certainly have to score multiple times to have a chance of victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Werder Bremen predicted to win by the bookmakers
- HOME: 13/10 (2.3) – 43.5%%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.5) – 28.6%
- AWAY: 19/10 (2.9) – 34.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Werder Bremen are the expected winner of this clash, with a probability of 43.5%, but the bookmakers would not be surprised if St Pauli managed to at least avoid defeat considering they have been given a 34.5% chance of victory and a 28.6% of drawing.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Werder Bremen's historical dominance ending?
St Pauli's last triumph against Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga came in 1977, and their last win in any competition against their hosts was in January 2006.
However, the two sides have drawn three of their four most recent encounters, with the club's settling for a point in the corresponding fixture in 2024-25 after a goalless match in April.
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
Werder Bremen
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga I 14/12/24
St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Europe Friendlies 04/01/23
Werder Bremen
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 09/04/22
St Pauli
Werder Bremen
Germany Bundesliga II 30/10/21
Werder Bremen
St Pauli
Werder Bremen preview: Poor start to the season
The Green-Whites have been beaten in four of their six fixtures this season, with the club winning just once in that period, though they have faced Bayern Munich, Bayer Leverkusen and Eintracht Frankfurt already.
Unfortunately for Werder Bremen, they will be without centre-back Niklas Stark, and his injury could lead to starts for Karim Coulibaly and Marco Friedl in the heart of defence.
Predicted lineup: Hein (GK), Sugawara, Coulibaly, Friedl, Agu, Stage, Lynen, Schmid, Puertas, Mbangula & Grull
Last five results:
- Bayern Munich 0-4 Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen 0-3 Freiburg
- Borussia Monchengladbach 0-4 Werder Bremen
- Werder Bremen 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen
- Eintracht Frankfurt 4-1 Werder Bremen
St Pauli preview: Stumbling after positive start
St Pauli have experienced losses in each of their two most recent clashes, but having collected seven points from their first three Bundesliga games, they still have more points than they managed in the first eight league matches of 2024-25 (five).
Key midfielder Jackson Irvine will be absent on the weekend, though James Sands and Joel Chima Fujita are available for selection.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Dzwigala, Saliakas, Sands, Fujita, Oppie, Sinani, Hountondji & Lage
Last five results:
- St Pauli 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- Stuttgart 2-0 St Pauli
- St Pauli 2-1 Augsburg
- Hamburger SV 0-2 St Pauli
- St Pauli 3-3 Borussia Dortmund
Player to watch: Marco Friedl
Werder Bremen centre-back Marco Friedl will have to take on extra responsibility given he will not be paired with Stark in defence, but he has so far struggled.
It would be unfair to rely too heavily on Karim Coulibaly considering the 18-year-old has made just four league starts in his Bundesliga career to date.