In what will be a crucial clash in the race for Bundesliga survival, Werder Bremen will welcome Mainz 05 to Weserstadion on Sunday, with defeat potentially set to leave the loser in the bottom three.
The hosts come into the weekend's match in 13th place with 25 points, but they are only one point above the 16th-placed relegation spot, though the position of their opponents is even more precarious considering they are 15th with just 24 points.
Read on for our Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05 predictions and betting tips, and click here to find more betting tips for today.
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Werder Bremen vs. Mainz 05 key stats
- Werder Bremen have scored more goals in their last two games (six) than they did in their prior nine (five).
- The hosts have only led twice at the interval in their 12 home Bundesliga matches this season.
- Mainz have scored two or more goals once in their last five games, whereas they had achieved that feat five times in their previous six matches.
- Both teams have scored in eight of the visitors' last 10 league games.
Werder Bremen vs. Mainz 05 preview: A decisive day in the race for survival?
| Werder Bremen | vs | Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Position | 15th |
| 25 | Points | 24 |
| 29 | Goals For | 29 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 13th | Home Rank | 15th |
| 14th | Away Rank | 12th |
Sunday's clash could hardly be more important for either team given just one point separates 16th from 13th, and there are only nine matchweeks remaining in the Bundesliga season.
Werder Bremen boss Daniel Thioune will hope that his side can earn a third consecutive win, with his side winning 4-1 against Union Berlin on March 7.
Bremen have averaged the second most tackles per match in the Bundesliga (17).
Bremen's season has been one of regression given they are projected to accumulate just 34 points, whereas they had totalled 51 in 2024-25, 42 in 2023-24 and 36 in 2022-23.
The hosts' improved form in front of goal has been particularly impressive considering key striker Victor Boniface remains sidelined because of a serious knee issue.
When the two clubs faced each other in the reverse fixture in November 2025, they settled for a point after drawing 1-1, but the Green-Whites will take confidence from the fact they had won their prior three clashes with Mainz.
Mainz have averaged the fourth fewest shots on target per league match (3.7).
Mainz have been in the Bundesliga since 2009-10, but their projected points tally of 33 would be their lowest return since their return to the top division of German football.
Head coach Urs Fischer has failed to guide his side to a victory in his last five clashes in all competitions, though they have at least been difficult to beat in recent weeks having drawn four consecutive games.
It will concern fans that Die Nullfunfer have only achieved victory in one of their past 12 away fixtures, though they have only been beaten in one of their four most recent outings on the road, winning once.
The visitors are unfortunately dealing with a number of injuries, with up to eight players at risk of missing out, including centre-backs Andreas Hanche-Olsen and Stefan Bell, though Danny da Costa, Stefan Posch and Dominik Kohr are available.
Werder Bremen vs. Mainz 05 form guide & betting tips
| BRE | vs | MAI |
|---|---|---|
| L-L-L-W-W | League Form | W-L-D-D-D |
| 6 | Points | 6 |
| 12th | Form Table | 13th |
| 7 | Goals For | 6 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 8 |
| L-D-D-D-D | Form (all comps) | L-L-L-W-W |
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Whispers predicts: Werder Bremen 2-1 Mainz 05
With so much potentially at stake, it would not be surprising if Sunday's match was a tense affair, but with bet365 pricing a victory for the visitors at 2.15, perhaps the safe option would be to back the resurgent hosts.
There could be value in predicting a Draw as a Half-time Result at 6 given Werder Bremen have been ahead at the interval twice in 12 league matches at home.
Considering that Mainz have failed to impress in the final third, backing Mainz to score Under 1.5 goals at 1.48 would be a sensible prediction.
At the other end of the pitch, Werder Bremen have improved in front of goal, and it make sense to predict BBTS, priced at 1.62.
> Draw at Half Time | Likelihood: Outsider
> Under 1.5 goals for Mainz | Likelihood: Probable
> BTTS | Likelihood: Probable