Gibraltar vs Wales prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/06/2024
Wales' Charlie Savage (left) and Gibraltar's Liam Walker battle for the ball - Photo by Icon Sport
Gibraltar vs Wales prediction
Wales' Charlie Savage (left) and Gibraltar's Liam Walker battle for the ball – Photo by Icon Sport

Neither Gibraltar nor Wales managed to qualify for Euro 2024 but the pair will be hoping to use these international friendlies as a chance to prepare themselves for the return of the Nations League in September.

These two nations met for the first time back in October where hosts Wales ran out comfortable 4-0 winners thanks to a goal from Ben Davies, one from Nathan Broadhead and a brace from Kieffer Moore.

With the roles reversed this week and Gibraltar playing the role of hosts, we're expecting a closer and more competitive 90 minutes than we saw at the Racecourse Ground in October but still make Wales the big favourites to win the game.

Gibraltar vs Wales prediction: Will Kieffer Moore score against Gibraltar again?

Key Stats

  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in each of Gibraltar's last three matches.
  • Three of Wales' last four outings have witnessed fewer than three goals.
  • Kieffer Moore scored twice against Gibraltar when these two nations locked horns in October.
  • Nobody has scored more goals in this current Wales squad than Kieffer Moore (12 goals, 41 caps).

Pre-game odds and win probability: Wales the overwhelming favourite

  • HOME: 75/1 (76.00) – 1.3%
  • DRAW: 28/1 (29.00) – 3.4%
  • AWAY: 1/40 (1.03) – 97.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Only met once before

International Match 11/10/23

Wales

Wales

4
Gibraltar

Gibraltar

0

Wales played host to Gibraltar back in October, the first-ever meeting between these two countries. The home side secured a 4-0 victory on that day and will be hoping for a similar outcome on Thursday evening.

Gibraltar preview: Mostly home-based players

The hosts will be without their 41-year-old captain Roy Chipolina and talented youngster Nicholas Pozo for the Wales game.

We're expecting manager Julio César Ribas to go with the same starting lineup that lost 2-0 to Scotland on Monday night.

Predicted lineup: Hankins (GK), Lopes, Sergeant, Jolley, Olivero, Britto, Annesley, Walker, El Hmidi, Scanlon & De Barr

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

L

Czechia

Czechia

4

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

0

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25

L

Montenegro

Montenegro

3

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

1

International Match 19/11/24

D

Moldova

Moldova

1

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

1

UEFA Nations League D 15/11/24

D

San Marino

San Marino

1

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

1

UEFA Nations League D 13/10/24

D

Liechtenstein

Liechtenstein

0

Gibraltar

Gibraltar

0

Wales preview: Several uncapped players 

There is no Aaron Ramsey, Wayne Hennessey, Connor Roberts, Joe Rodon, Neco Williams, Harry Wilson, David Brooks or Joe Morrell in the latest Wales squad.

Centre-back Chris Mepham has been called up despite being sent-off in his country's last game against Poland which should mean that he is unavailable for the Gibraltar game but will play against Slovakia a few days later.

Predicted lineup: Ward (GK), Davies, Cabango, Dasilva, Ampadu, Low, Colwill, Wilson, James, Moore & Johnson

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

D

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

1

Wales

Wales

1

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25

W

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan

1

Wales

Wales

3

UEFA Nations League B 19/11/24

W

Iceland

Iceland

1

Wales

Wales

4

UEFA Nations League B 16/11/24

D

Tu00fcrkiye

Tu00fcrkiye

0

Wales

Wales

0

UEFA Nations League B 14/10/24

W

Montenegro

Montenegro

0

Wales

Wales

1

Player to watch – Lewis Koumas

Lewis Koumas might have only made one senior appearance for Liverpool this season but the 18-year-old has impressed Rob Page enough to be selected for the senior Wales side this week.

Lewis Koumas player to watch
Liverpool's Lewis Koumas celebrates scoring their side's first goal of the game – Photo by Icon Sport

Koumas, whose father Jason Koumas scored 10 goals in 34 caps for Wales, has featured and scored at both U19 and U21 level for his country and scored in the FA Cup for Liverpool this season against Southampton.

Will Koumas follow in his dad's footsteps and become a regular in the Welsh national team?

Koumas certainly has a bright future ahead of him and the fact that he can play across midfield and as a striker makes him a very useful addition to Page's side. We're backing Koumas to impress should he make his Wales debut on Thursday.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.