An interesting fixture is on the cards as two of the top 3 teams in the UEFA Conference League go toe-to-toe with each other at Dom Afonso Henrique Stadium on Thursday, 19 December. View our free Vitoria vs Fiorentina predictions below.
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Vitoria vs Fiorentina predictions: A high-scoring game
Key stats
- At least three goals were scored in four out of Vitoria’s five Conference League matches this season.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have played five matches in this competition and all five games featured goals at both ends.
- Over five goals were scored in average in Fiorentina's last four UECL games.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have won four consecutive home games in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Vitoria 2-2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina and Vitoria Guimaraes have both won four of their five respective Conference League matches this season. Although Fiorentina are the favourites to win this match, it is important to note that Vitoria lost only once in their last 14 home games (W12, D1). On that note, we are fairly confident that Vitoria will hold their own.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookmakers favour Fiorentina
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Fiorentina have enjoyed some fine form in recent months, winning 12 of their last 15 matches in all competitions. They are third in the Conference League, having earned 12 points from a possible 15.
On the other hand, Vitoria Guimaraes are one of three undefeated teams in this competition. They have a near-perfect record in the UECL with four wins and a draw.
Ahead of this encounter, Fiorentina are the expected winners at 5/4 (2.25). Teams with these odds generally have a 44.4% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Vitoria vs Fiorentina predictions.
It is also worth mentioning that both teams scored in three of Fiorentina's last four Conference League matches. Given that this was the case in each of Vitoria's five games in this competition, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 8/11 (1.73). That one has a 57.9% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: First encounter in history
This will be the first meeting between Vitoria Guimaraes and Fiorentina. As it stands, Vitoria have a 1-0-3 win-draw-loss record in four previous meetings with Italian teams, while Fiorentina have a 9-4-7 record in 20 previous skirmishes with Portuguese opposition.
Vitoria preview: Eyeing their fifth consecutive home win
Vitoria Guimaraes have a healthy squad going into this UEFA Conference League clash with Fiorentina.
Predicted lineup: Varela (GK), Mendes, Rivas, Fernandes, Baio, T. Silva, M. Silva, Samu, Cesar, G. Silva & Santos.
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
L
SC Farense
2
Guimaraes
1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25
W
Nacional
1
Guimaraes
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25
W
Rio Ave
0
Guimaraes
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
L
Benfica
3
Guimaraes
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/04/25
W
Gil Vicente
0
Guimaraes
1
Fiorentina preview: No new absentees
As for Fiorentina, Marin Pongracic, with a thigh injury, and Edoardo Bove, with a heart issue, are both expected to miss this contest.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Gosens, Ranieri, Comuzzo, Dodo, Cataldi, Adli, Beltran, Colpani, Gudmundsson & Kean.
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
L
Venezia
2
Fiorentina
1
UEFA Conference League 08/05/25
D
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 04/05/25
L
Roma
1
Fiorentina
0
UEFA Conference League 01/05/25
L
Real Betis
2
Fiorentina
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
W
Empoli
1
Fiorentina
2
Player to watch: Gustavo Silva
With his equaliser against Rio Ave earlier this week, Gustavo Silva has now scored in back-to-back games for the second time since he joined Vitoria Guimaraes. The former CD Nacional player has six direct goal involvements in his last 11 appearances across all competitions. He will look to score in three consecutive matches for the first time in his senior career.