Vitoria vs Atletico MG prediction, odds & betting tips – 20/06/2024

Bottom club Vitoria take on away-day specialists Atletico MG at the Estádio Manoel Barradas in Brazil’s Serie A on Thursday, 20 June. View our Brazilian Serie A betting tips for the game below.

Vitoria vs Atletico MG prediction: Visitors could have the edge

Key Stats

  • Atletico Mineiro are unbeaten after four away assignments of the new Serie A season.
  • Atletico MG notched at least two goals in each of their last three away fixtures.
  • Vitoria lost five of their first nine Serie A games of the new campaign.
  • Three of Vitoria’s first four home tests of the season produced over 2.5 goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts named as underdogs

  • HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Vitoria are rock bottom of Serie A after a disappointing start to the new campaign in Brazil, though they did manage to break their duck for the season with a victory over Internacional in their last outing. Despite their triumph, they remain 21/10 underdogs ahead of Thursday’s clash with Atletico MG.

Atletico MG were thumped 4-0 at home by Palmeiras in their last test, however, they did lose two players to red cards. The visitor’s squad looks a little depleted ahead of this week’s challenge, though the bookies have still given them a 40% chance of winning at Vitoria. Check out more of our top predictions over on our dedicated betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Recent meetings have been sparse

Vitoria and Atletico MG haven’t locked horns since 2018. Vitoria came out on top in three of their last four encounters with Atletico MG, however, those meetings took place too long ago to be much of a factor this week.

Brazil Serie A 26/08/18

Vitoria

Vitoria

1
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 22/04/18

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2
Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Brazil Serie A 24/09/17

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1
Vitoria

Vitoria

3

Brazil Serie A 11/06/17

Vitoria

Vitoria

2
Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 07/09/16

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2
Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Vitoria preview: Several players are sidelined

Williean Lepo is suspended and will miss out for Vitoria while Daniel Junior, Dudu, Iury Castilho, Bruno Uvini, Leo Gamalho, Rodrigo Andrade and Everaldo are all injured. Mateus Goncalves is a slight doubt.

Predicted lineup: Arcanjo (GK), Zeca, Camutanga, Leonardo, Esteves, Silva, Matheuzinho, Oliveira, Naldi, Osvaldo, Alerrandro

Brazil Serie A 18/07/24

L

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

1

Vitoria

Vitoria

0

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Vitoria

Vitoria

2

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

L

Corinthians

Corinthians

3

Vitoria

Vitoria

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

L

Athletico Paranaense

Athletico Paranaense

1

Vitoria

Vitoria

0

Atletico MG preview: Hulk and Paulinho miss out

Otavio and Rubens are injured for Atletico MG, while Mariano is a doubt with a muscle problem. Hulk and Paulinho were both sent off against Palmeiras last week and will be serving bans here. Eduardo Vargas, Guilhereme Arana and Alan Franco are on international duty.

Predicted lineup: Mendes (GK), Fuchs, Rabello, Romulo, Saravia, Gomes, Zaracho, Scarpa, Cadu, Pedrinho, Kardec

Brazil Serie A 16/07/24

D

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Brazil Serie A 12/07/24

W

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Botafogo

Botafogo

3

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

L

Flamengo

Flamengo

4

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

D

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

1

Player to watch – Renzo Saravia

With Otavio away with Brazil at the Copa America, Renzo Saravia will have extra responsibility to bear in midfield for Atletico MG on Thursday. The Argentinean anchorman, who has been averaging 3.30 tackles per game in Serie A, could have more defensive work to get through at Vitoria.

Vitoria vs Atletico MG prediction
Renzo Saravia is a steely presence in midfield for Atletico MG – Photo by Icon Sport

Saravia brings muscle

31-year-old Renzo Saravia is a tough tackler in midfield for Atletico MG and though he has only been carded twice this term, we expect his cautions tally to climb soon. Saravia picked up eight yellow cards in Serie A last season and he could be decent card candidate again this week.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.