Brazil travel to Maturin for a 2026 World Cup qualifier this week. Our Venezuela vs Brazil prediction considers whether the visitors can take another step towards the tournament.
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Venezuela vs Brazil prediction: Visitors to drop points in low-scoring draw
Key stats
- Our Venezuela vs Brazil betting tips take into account that six of the last nine matches involving Brazil have produced under 2.5 goals.
- Venezuela are unbeaten at home in this World Cup qualifying cycle.
- They’ve drawn their last three home fixtures, with 1-1 or 0-0 scorelines.
Correct score prediction: Venezuela 1-1 Brazil
While the most recent international break produced slightly better results, this is not a vintage Brazil side and they have struggled to get the best out of their attacking players in this campaign.
Vinicius Junior is a shadow of his normal self when he pulls on an international jersey and they may struggle to get more than a point here, with Venezuela tough to beat at home.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Brazil the clear favourites
- HOME: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
- DRAW: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
- AWAY: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Venezuela vs Brazil odds with an implied probability of 63.6% that they win this match.
They head into this following a 4-0 home win against Peru in their last qualifier, with Raphinha scoring twice.
As for Venezuela, they were beaten 2-1 in Paraguay in their last game, despite a strike from Jon Aramburu.
For more from the upcoming matches in South America and elsewhere, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: A fixture Brazil tends to enjoy
Our Venezuela vs Brazil prediction suggests we could see an end to a run of five straight World Cup qualifying wins for the visitors in this country in the 21st Century.
They scored 20 goals across that period, but Venezuela are looking really competitive in this campaign and they held Brazil to a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture last October.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/10/23
Brazil
Venezuela
South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/21
Venezuela
Brazil
Copa America 13/06/21
Brazil
Venezuela
South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/20
Brazil
Venezuela
Copa America 19/06/19
Brazil
Venezuela
Venezuela preview: Osorio withdraws
The hosts have been hit by one injury withdrawal with Parma defender Yordan Osorio pulling out.
Predicted Lineup: Romo (GK), Ramirez, Aramburu, Ferraresi, Navarro, Martinez, Herrera, Casseres, Savarino, Machis & Rondon
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
W Peru 0 Venezuela 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
L Ecuador 2 Venezuela 1 International Match 18/01/25
L USA 3 Venezuela 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
L Chile 4 Venezuela 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
D Brazil 1 Venezuela 1
Brazil preview: Real Madrid duo pull out
After suffering injuries for Real Madrid at the weekend, Eder Militao and Rodrygo are both missing from the travelling party. Endrick was not selected in the initial squad.
Predicted Lineup: Ederson (GK), Arana, Gabriel Magalhaes, Marquinhos, Vanderson, Paqueta, Bruno Guimares, Savio, Raphinha, Gerson & Vinicius Junior
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
L Argentina 4 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W Colombia 1 Brazil 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24
D Uruguay 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
D Venezuela 1 Brazil 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/10/24
W Peru 0 Brazil 4
Player to watch – Raphinha
The form player from a Brazil perspective is certainly Raphinha. The Barcelona winger has scored seven and assisted six in his last eight appearances for his club, and also scored twice during the last international break.
Raphinha striking late
The former Leeds player has tended to do his damage late in games in Spain this term. Five of his seven goals in La Liga have come after the hour mark.