Fiorentina welcome struggling Venezia to the Stadio Artemio Franchi where La Viola will expect to pick up three points on Sunday, 24 August. Check out our Serie A betting tips for the match below.
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Fiorentina vs Venezia prediction: Home win worth backing
Key Stats
- Venezia lost their last two fixtures in league and cup 3-1 (vs Brescia & Lazio).
- Fiorentina have lost only two of their last 14 home games in Serie A since November last year.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in each of Venezia’s last two fixtures.
- Fiorentina and Venezia have played four competitive matches combined this term and BTTS landed on each occasion.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 3-1 Venezia
Venezia were second best in their 3-1 defeats at Brescia and Lazio in the Coppa Italia and Serie A respectively and they could lose by the same scoreline against a Fiorentina side that found the net three times in the Conference League qualifiers in midweek.
Pre-game odds and win probability: La Viola have been heavily backed
- HOME: 21/50 (1.42) – 70.4%
- DRAW: 15/4 (4.75) – 21.1%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Venezia looked well off the pace in their 3-1 loss at Lazio on the opening weekend of the Serie A campaign, and unfortunately for them, their price of 6/1 in the match result markets for Sunday seems like a good fit.
Fiorentina drew 3-3 with Puskas in the Conference League qualifiers in midweek, though another three-goal haul in Florence should be enough to see off Venezia on Sunday. La Viola are odds-on favourites to prevail at 21/50. View more of our top Italian football predictions on our football tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: First meeting since 2022
Fiorentina and Venezia haven’t crossed paths since 2022. Their most recent fixtures were all relatively low-scoring affairs with each of their last six encounters producing under 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A 16/04/22
Fiorentina
Venezia
Italy Serie A 18/10/21
Venezia
Fiorentina
Europe Friendlies 21/07/18
Fiorentina
Venezia
Fiorentina preview: Pongracic suspended
Marin Pongračić is serving a one-match ban for Fiorentina, though La Viola have next to no injury concerns ahead of the weekend. Fiorentina drew 3-3 with Hungarian side Puskas in the Conference League qualifiers in midweek, leaving them with plenty of work to do in the second leg.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Martinez, Ranieri, Comuzzo, Dodo, Mandragora, Amrabat, Biraghi, Colpani, Kouame, Kean
Italy Serie A 01/09/24
D
Monza
2
Fiorentina
2
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 29/08/24
W
Puskas Academy
1 (4)
Fiorentina
1 (5)
Italy Serie A 25/08/24
D
Venezia
0
Fiorentina
0
UEFA Conference League Qualifying 22/08/24
D
Puskas Academy
3
Fiorentina
3
Italy Serie A 17/08/24
D
Parma
1
Fiorentina
1
Venezia preview: Two players sidelined
Joel Pohjanpalo and Gianluca Busio are both sidelined through injury. Head Coach Eusebio Di Francesco has some serious thinking – and possibly tinkering – to do after his team lost 3-1 in back-to-back away games at Brescia and Lazio.
Predicted lineup: Joronen (GK), Altare, Svoboda, Sverko, Sagrado, Duncan, Kofod Andersen, Zampano, Oristanio, Ellertsson, Gytkjaer
Italy Serie A 30/08/24
L
Torino
1
Venezia
0
Italy Serie A 25/08/24
D
Fiorentina
0
Venezia
0
Italy Serie A 18/08/24
L
Lazio
3
Venezia
1
Coppa Italia 11/08/24
L
Brescia
3
Venezia
1
Europe Friendlies 04/08/24
W
PEC Zwolle
1
Venezia
2
Player to watch – Moise Kean
Moise Kean almost enjoyed a dream home debut for Fiorentina in midweek when he scored what looked like the winning goal against Puskas in the Conference League, however, the Hungarians restored parity with a late strike of their own shortly after.
Kean could threaten again
Keane, who arrived from Juventus in the summer, has plenty of talent and potential to unlock and the 24-year-old attacker should start to thrive in a more settled environment in Florence this term. The Italian international looks like a good anytime goal-scorer candidate on Sunday.
