Survival Sunday looms in Sardinia as 17th-ranked Venezia visit Cagliari in a make-or-break clash, with just four points separating the two sides outside the relegation zone as they fight for bragging rights on 18 May.
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Cagliari vs Venezia prediction: No winners here
Key stats
- Cagliari have lost four of their last five league games (W1).
- They have lost four of the last five home games of their top-flight seasons (W1).
- Venezia are unbeaten in Serie A against Cagliari since November 1966, a run of eight matches (W4, D4).
- The Lagunari linger just one point above the drop zone, with Lecce and Empoli trailing.
Correct score prediction: Cagliari 1-1 Venezia
Despite their 3-1 defeat to Cesc Fabregas’ Como, Cagliari cling to survival hopes, but their shaky home form gives Venezia the chance of staging an upset. The visitors ride on their momentum from a 2-1 upset over Fiorentina and arrive unbeaten in two. With Hellas Verona and Parma separating the two teams just above the drop zone, this could become a cagey stalemate as both sides weigh risk versus reward.
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Pre-game odds and win probability: Cagliari the slight favourites
- HOME: 3/2 (2.50) – 40%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.4%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Davide Nicola could lead the islanders to survival with a win, or even a draw, depending on other results, but their recent two-match skid raises questions. Yet, bookmakers still favour the hosts with 3/2 odds, suggesting a 40% win probability to rediscover form at the Unipol Domus.
For Venezia, the stakes are higher – clinging to a one-point buffer above the relegation zone, they’re drawn at odds of 19/10 (2.90). It indicates a 34.4% chance to complete their first Serie A league double over Cagliari since 1998/99.
You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Venezia to remain unbeaten?
Unbeaten in the top-flight against Cagliari, Venezia will expect to extend their eight-match unbeaten H2H streak. The reverse fixture in December went the Lagunari’s way, 2-1.
Italy Serie A 22/12/24
Venezia
Cagliari
Italy Serie B 27/05/23
Cagliari
Venezia
Italy Serie B 25/02/23
Venezia
Cagliari
Italy Serie B 01/10/22
Cagliari
Venezia
Italy Serie A 22/05/22
Venezia
Cagliari
Cagliari preview: In touching distance of safety
One point at least will help Cagliari’s cause. But Nicola will have to do without the likes of Leonardo Pavoletti, who misses the match through suspension. Sebastiano Luperto, Florinel Coman and Yerry Mina are also doubtful for the clash.
Predicted lineup: Caprile (GK), Zappa, Luis Palomino, Obert, Zortea, Adopo, Makoumbou, Viola, Augello, Luvumbo & Piccoli
Italy Serie A 10/05/25
L
Como
3
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 03/05/25
L
Udinese
2
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 28/04/25
W
Verona
0
Cagliari
2
Italy Serie A 23/04/25
L
Fiorentina
2
Cagliari
1
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
L
Inter Milan
3
Cagliari
1
Venezia preview: Desperate for points
With just two rounds remaining, Venezia are in desperate need for maximum points. Eusebio Di Francesco prepares his team without Domen Crnigoj, Michael Svoboda and Cheick Conde, while Alfred Duncan and Richie Sagrado are also unlikely to play.
Predicted lineup: Radu (GK), Schingtienne, Idzes, Cande, Zerbin, Perez, Caviglia, Busio, Ellertsson, Yeboah & Oristanio
Italy Serie A 12/05/25
W
Fiorentina
1
Venezia
2
Italy Serie A 02/05/25
D
Torino
1
Venezia
1
Italy Serie A 27/04/25
L
AC Milan
2
Venezia
0
Italy Serie A 20/04/25
D
Empoli
2
Venezia
2
Italy Serie A 12/04/25
W
Monza
0
Venezia
1
Player to Watch: Gaetano Oristanio
Former Cagliari forward Oristanio will be high on confidence following his match-winning performance against Fiorentina. He scored a late winner to claim all three points.
He tends to put on a late show, with four of his last five goals all being scored between the 61st and 75th minutes.
