Atalanta will take on Venezia in Serie A on Saturday, 1 March with the hosts looking to keep the pressure on Inter Milan and Napoli as the race for the title heats up.
After being knocked out of the Champions League by Club Brugge, Atalanta are now all-in on Serie A as they look to win the Scudetto for the first time in their history.
Venezia, meanwhile, have concerns of their own as they are currently six points from safety at the other end of the table. They need points, and fast.
As part of this week's round of Serie A betting tips, check out our Atalanta vs Venezia prediction below.
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Atalanta vs Venezia prediction: The hosts to fill their boots
Key stats
- No side in Serie A has scored more goals than Atalanta this season (59).
- Venezia have failed to win any of their last nine league matches.
- Mateo Retegui is the Serie A top scorer this season with 21 goals in 24 appearances.
Correct score prediction: Atalanta 3-0 Venezia
Atalanta have refocused after a wobble earlier in the month and have been breathtaking in recent weeks. They beat Empoli 5-0 last weekend and have now kept a clean sheet in their last three Serie A fixtures so it's difficult to imagine Venezia, who have scored just 15 goals all season, scoring at the Gewiss Stadium.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts start as big favourites
- HOME: 2/9 (1.22) – 81.8%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Atalanta vs Venezia odds are weighted heavily in favour of the hosts which shouldn't come as a shock to anyone given that the two sides are separated by 16 places in the league table. Ladbrokes have given Atalanta an 81.8% chance of winning the match while Venezia have been given just an 8.3% chance of taking away all three points.
For more of the best picks, today’s free football betting tips look at the upcoming action in Europe and beyond.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Atalanta
Atalanta will be supremely confident ahead of this one as their recent record against Venezia is excellent. Gasperini's men have won each of their last four matches against Venezia, and they have kept a clean sheet in three of those victories. Venezia's last win over Atalanta came all the way back in 2004 when both teams played in Serie B.
Italy Serie A 20/10/24
Venezia
Atalanta
Italy Serie A 23/04/22
Venezia
Atalanta
Coppa Italia 12/01/22
Atalanta
Venezia
Italy Serie A 30/11/21
Atalanta
Venezia
Europe Friendlies 12/08/17
Atalanta
Venezia
Atalanta preview: On the brink of more history
Last season, this Atalanta side made history when they won the club its first-ever European trophy and the only way to trump that would be to win them their first-ever Serie A title. They are just three points behind Inter Milan as things stand but the fact they will play just one game a week for the rest of the season gives them a brilliant opportunity.
Predicted Lineup: Carnesecchi (GK), Posch, Djimsiti, Kolasinac, Bellanova, Ederson, De Roon, Zappacosta, De Ketelaere, Lookman, Retegui
Italy Serie A 12/05/25 W Roma 1 Atalanta 2 Italy Serie A 04/05/25 W Monza 0 Atalanta 4 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 D Lecce 1 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 20/04/25 W AC Milan 0 Atalanta 1 Italy Serie A 13/04/25 W Bologna 0 Atalanta 2
Venezia preview: Serie B awaits once more
This is only Venezia's second season in Serie A in the last 20 years and they have shown once again that they are perhaps not quite at the level required. It will take a sublime end of the season to save them from the drop.
Predicted Lineup: Radu (GK), Marcandalli, Idzes, Cande, Zerbin, Caviglia, Perez, Busio, Ellertsson, Oristanio, Fila
Italy Serie A 12/05/25 W Fiorentina 1 Venezia 2 Italy Serie A 02/05/25 D Torino 1 Venezia 1 Italy Serie A 27/04/25 L AC Milan 2 Venezia 0 Italy Serie A 20/04/25 D Empoli 2 Venezia 2 Italy Serie A 12/04/25 W Monza 0 Venezia 1
Player to watch: Ademola Lookman
Many people wondered if Ademola Lookman's Atalanta career was over in the aftermath of the public falling out following the club's exit from the Champions League, but the winger responded in brilliant fashion last time out against Empoli. Lookman bagged a brace and could prove to be the difference maker during the run-in.