Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, odds & betting tips – 30/05/2025
Penarol's players are eager to prove they are not to be underestimated. - (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Over 2.5 total goals & BTTS - Yes

The last match between the two clubs resulted in a 2-1 Velez Sarsfield victory.

The Group H match between Penarol and Velez Sarsfield on 30 May will surely be one of the more interesting Copa Libertadores matches this week.

The game is scheduled to be held at the wonderful Estadio Campeon del Siglo, which might give coach Diego Aguirre’s boys a fighting chance. Stay tuned for the inside scoop on our essential Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield betting tips below.

Check the rest of our Copa Libertadores predictions on our website.

Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction: Penarol to lose 1st-place chase

Key Stats

  • Five of the nine official Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield head-to-heads resulted in over 2.5 goals.
  • We saw goals galore in three of the last five games between the two sides.
  • Penarol’s last win over Velez Sarsfield was recorded on 27 May 2011.

Correct score prediction: Penarol 1-2 Velez Sarsfield

The first leg resulted in a well-crafted 2-1 victory for coach Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s players. They had to work extra hard in order to achieve that, as up until the 90th minute of the game, the result was still 1-1.

However, Alvaro Montoro scored the winner in the last second of the game, which will give the visitors’ players the confidence to go out there at Estadio Campeon del Siglo and prove our Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield predictions correct.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Thrilling Group H clash ahead

  • HOME: 107/100 (2.07) – 47.4%
  • DRAW: 41/20 (3.05) – 22.0%
  • AWAY: 71/50 (2.42) – 36.6%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As you can see from the odds in our professional Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, the expected winners this week are Penarol. With odds priced at 107/100 (2.07), the home side keeps a sturdy 47.4% win probability before the start of the game.

Maher Carrizo to score anytime is what we suggest, as this player seems to have a 39.2% chance of finding the net, with odds valued at 31/20 (2.55).

Do the smart thing and head over to our website for our professional football betting tips today. We have some exclusive knowledge to share with you.

Most recent H2Hs: Velez’s run will continue

Copa Sudamericana 05/11/20

Penarol

Penarol

1
Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Copa Sudamericana 29/10/20

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

0
Penarol

Penarol

0

Seeing as Maher Carrizo scored a goal in the last meeting, we believe you should trust our professional Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield predictions.

Penarol team news and form: Penarol fans dream

The team enters the Velez Sarsfield clash after beating Plaza Colonia 2-0 on 24 May. It goes without saying that this fact is a plus in favour of the home side, but we still feel like our key Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction will succeed.

Predicted lineup: de Amores (GK), Milans, Viera, Coelho, Olivera, Casada, Sosa, Umpierrez, Fernandez, Baez & Silvera

Copa Libertadores 07/05/25

W

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

0

Penarol

Penarol

3

Uruguay Apertura 03/05/25

W

Defensor Sporting

Defensor Sporting

0

Penarol

Penarol

1

Copa Libertadores 23/04/25

D

Olimpia Asuncion

Olimpia Asuncion

0

Penarol

Penarol

0

Uruguay Apertura 19/04/25

W

Montevideo Wanderers

Montevideo Wanderers

1

Penarol

Penarol

2

Uruguay Apertura 12/04/25

W

Miramar Misiones

Miramar Misiones

2

Penarol

Penarol

4

Velez Sarsfield team news and form: Can the manager find the cure?

Coach Schelotto will not be able to count on some of his key players this week. We are talking about the likes of Michael Santos, Braian Romero, and Florian Monzon. All three are injured and will skip a few more games for the visitors.

Predicted lineup: Marchiori (GK), E. Gomez, V. Gomez, Fernandez, Gordon, Ordonez, Baeza, Bouzat, Carrizo, Pizzini & Pellegrini

Copa Libertadores 08/05/25

D

Olimpia Asuncion

Olimpia Asuncion

1

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Argentina Liga Profesional 04/05/25

L

River Plate

River Plate

4

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Argentina Liga Profesional 29/04/25

W

Gimnasia LP

Gimnasia LP

0

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Copa Libertadores 23/04/25

L

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

San Antonio Bulo Bulo

2

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Argentina Liga Profesional 18/04/25

W

CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba

CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba

0

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Player to watch: Maher Carrizo

19-year-old Carrizo deserves to be named the player to watch in our professional Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, as he is one of the visitors’ brightest stars. The upcoming striker proved his worth with a match-winning goal against Penarol in the previous round of Copa Libertadores action.

Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield Prediction 2
Can Carrizo be the man of the hour? – (Photo by IMAGO)

Can the youngster decide the outcome?

You should also know that Carrizo scored three goals in the Argentine domestic league. He is undoubtedly one of the more interesting players to watch in South America, and we are sure he will do well to impress the fans this week.


Zack has been writing for Football Whispers for more than 5 years now. He specialises in North American, Australian and English football, follows it closely and is passionate about betting on the MLS, Liga MX and the A-League. His experience playing and coaching the game in addition to his writing acumen fits the purpose of Football Whispers perfectly. Namely, explore the game, do proper research and provide useful insight plus well-thought out betting forecasts.