The Group H match between Penarol and Velez Sarsfield on 30 May will surely be one of the more interesting Copa Libertadores matches this week.
The game is scheduled to be held at the wonderful Estadio Campeon del Siglo, which might give coach Diego Aguirre’s boys a fighting chance. Stay tuned for the inside scoop on our essential Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield betting tips below.
Check the rest of our Copa Libertadores predictions on our website.
Contents
Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction: Penarol to lose 1st-place chase
Key Stats
- Five of the nine official Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield head-to-heads resulted in over 2.5 goals.
- We saw goals galore in three of the last five games between the two sides.
- Penarol’s last win over Velez Sarsfield was recorded on 27 May 2011.
Correct score prediction: Penarol 1-2 Velez Sarsfield
The first leg resulted in a well-crafted 2-1 victory for coach Guillermo Barros Schelotto’s players. They had to work extra hard in order to achieve that, as up until the 90th minute of the game, the result was still 1-1.
However, Alvaro Montoro scored the winner in the last second of the game, which will give the visitors’ players the confidence to go out there at Estadio Campeon del Siglo and prove our Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield predictions correct.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Thrilling Group H clash ahead
- HOME: 107/100 (2.07) – 47.4%
- DRAW: 41/20 (3.05) – 22.0%
- AWAY: 71/50 (2.42) – 36.6%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
As you can see from the odds in our professional Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, the expected winners this week are Penarol. With odds priced at 107/100 (2.07), the home side keeps a sturdy 47.4% win probability before the start of the game.
Maher Carrizo to score anytime is what we suggest, as this player seems to have a 39.2% chance of finding the net, with odds valued at 31/20 (2.55).
Do the smart thing and head over to our website for our professional football betting tips today. We have some exclusive knowledge to share with you.
Most recent H2Hs: Velez’s run will continue
Copa Sudamericana 05/11/20
Penarol
Velez Sarsfield
Copa Sudamericana 29/10/20
Velez Sarsfield
Penarol
Seeing as Maher Carrizo scored a goal in the last meeting, we believe you should trust our professional Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield predictions.
Penarol team news and form: Penarol fans dream
The team enters the Velez Sarsfield clash after beating Plaza Colonia 2-0 on 24 May. It goes without saying that this fact is a plus in favour of the home side, but we still feel like our key Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction will succeed.
Predicted lineup: de Amores (GK), Milans, Viera, Coelho, Olivera, Casada, Sosa, Umpierrez, Fernandez, Baez & Silvera
Copa Libertadores 07/05/25
W
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
Penarol
3
Uruguay Apertura 03/05/25
W
Defensor Sporting
0
Penarol
1
Copa Libertadores 23/04/25
D
Olimpia Asuncion
0
Penarol
0
Uruguay Apertura 19/04/25
W
Montevideo Wanderers
1
Penarol
2
Uruguay Apertura 12/04/25
W
Miramar Misiones
2
Penarol
4
Velez Sarsfield team news and form: Can the manager find the cure?
Coach Schelotto will not be able to count on some of his key players this week. We are talking about the likes of Michael Santos, Braian Romero, and Florian Monzon. All three are injured and will skip a few more games for the visitors.
Predicted lineup: Marchiori (GK), E. Gomez, V. Gomez, Fernandez, Gordon, Ordonez, Baeza, Bouzat, Carrizo, Pizzini & Pellegrini
Copa Libertadores 08/05/25
D
Olimpia Asuncion
1
Velez Sarsfield
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 04/05/25
L
River Plate
4
Velez Sarsfield
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 29/04/25
W
Gimnasia LP
0
Velez Sarsfield
1
Copa Libertadores 23/04/25
L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
Velez Sarsfield
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 18/04/25
W
CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba
0
Velez Sarsfield
1
Player to watch: Maher Carrizo
19-year-old Carrizo deserves to be named the player to watch in our professional Penarol vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, as he is one of the visitors’ brightest stars. The upcoming striker proved his worth with a match-winning goal against Penarol in the previous round of Copa Libertadores action.

Can the youngster decide the outcome?
You should also know that Carrizo scored three goals in the Argentine domestic league. He is undoubtedly one of the more interesting players to watch in South America, and we are sure he will do well to impress the fans this week.