Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza prediction, odds & betting tips 04/07/2024

Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza prediction, odds & betting tips 04/07/2024
Fortaleza have no wins in the last three meetings between these teams. (Photo by Icon Sport)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Fortaleza to score first

Fortaleza drew first blood in their last four games, and also in three of their last five clashes with Vasco da Gama

All eyes will be on Estádio São Januário as Vasco da Gama and Fortaleza battle for supremacy on Thursday. View our free Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza predictions below.

Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza predictions: Visitors to draw first blood

Key stats

  • Fortaleza opened the scoring in their last four matches.
  • This is in contrast with Vasco da Gama, who conceded first in five of their last six games.
  • While Fortaleza are on a five-match unbeaten run, Vasco da Gama managed one win in their last seven games.
  • Seven of the last nine encounters between these teams went south of the 2.5-goal marker.

Correct score prediction: Vasco da Gama 0-2 Fortaleza

Fortaleza won three of their last four matches, keeping two clean sheets and scoring almost two goals per game in the process. On the other hand, Vasco da Gama blanked in three of their last six matches.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Vasco da Gama are bookies’ favourites

  • Vasco da Gama: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
  • Draw: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • Fortaleza: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

These teams are on opposite sides in terms of recent form. On one hand, Fortaleza accumulated 10 points from a possible 12 in their last four games. Meanwhile, Vasco da Gama have struggled to find their best form in recent weeks, winning just one of their last seven matches.

Despite their recent shortcomings, Vasco da Gama are the expected winners at 11/8 (2.38). Teams with these odds generally have a 42.1% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza predictions.

It's also fair to point out that previous skirmishes between these outfits were mostly on the low-scoring side, as seven of their last nine clashes featured less than three goals. On that note, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 3/5 (1.60). That one has a 62.5% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: An even contest

To be fair, Vasco da Gama have the upper hand in their recent meetings with Fortaleza, as they are unbeaten in the last three skirmishes between these teams. However, in their last five encounters, both teams have two wins apiece, with a draw between them.

Copa do Brasil 22/05/24

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

3 (5)
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3 (4)

Copa do Brasil 01/05/24

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Brazil Serie A 19/10/23

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1
Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Brazil Serie A 27/05/23

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Brazil Serie A 10/02/21

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Team news and form guide

Vasco da Gama: Hoping to improve their abysmal run of results

There are no new injury concerns for Vasco da Gama, besides Bruno Praxedes and Paulinho Paula, who have both been injured for weeks.

Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Henrique, Maicon, Victor, Luis, Moura, JP, Adson, Piton, Payet & Vegetti.

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

L

Atletico Mineiro

Atletico Mineiro

2

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

0

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

W

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

1

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

W

Corinthians

Corinthians

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Internacional

Internacional

1

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Brazil Serie A 03/07/24

W

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

0

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

2

Fortaleza: Looking to extend their unbeaten run to five matches

There are a few absentees for Fortaleza ahead of this clash, including Moisés, Emmanuel Martinez, Calebe and Marinho.

Predicted lineup: Ricardo (GK), Tinga, Britez, Titi, Jonatan, Hercules, Sasha, Pikachu, Pochettino, Lopes & Lucero.

Brazil Serie A 24/07/24

D

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Brazil Serie A 21/07/24

W

Atletico GO

Atletico GO

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Brazil Serie A 18/07/24

W

Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

3

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

W

Flamengo

Flamengo

1

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

2

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

W

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Player to watch: Pablo Vegetti

Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza predictions
Pablo Vegetti scored two goals in his last encounter with Fortaleza. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Pablo Vegetti salvaged a point for Vasco da Gama in their 1-1 draw with Botafogo last weekend. He has put up some impressive performances lately, scoring five times in his last eight matches across all competitions.

Interestingly, Vegetti scored twice when these teams met at the Copa do Brasil just over a month ago. It will be interesting to see how he matches up against Fortaleza's defence.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives