Sparks will fly as two Rio de Janeiro-based teams go toe-to-toe with each other at Estádio São Januário this weekend. View our free Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense predictions below.
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Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Less than three goals were scored in six of the last eight encounters between these teams.
- Six of Vasco da Gama's last seven matches and seven of Fluminense's last nine games went south of the 2.5-goal marker.
- While Fluminense opened the scoring in five of their last six games, Vasco da Gama conceded first in four of their last five games.
- Fluminense did not concede in their last four Serie A matches.
Correct score prediction: Vasco da Gama 0-1 Fluminense
Fluminense have won four consecutive league games, and all four victories were by the same 1-0 scoreline.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Vasco da Gama are bookies’ favourites
- HOME: 11/8 (2.38) – 42.1%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- AWAY: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It is worth mentioning that Vasco da Gama have no wins in their last three league matches. This is in contrast with Fluminense, who have won four Serie A games in a row.
Despite their recent struggles, Vasco da Gama are the expected winners at 11/8 (2.38). Teams with these odds usually have a 42.1% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense predictions.
Additionally, at least one team blanked in four of Fluminense's last six matches. Given that this was also the case with five of Vasco da Gama's last seven games, BTTS – no has an appealing look at 4/5 (1.80). That one has a 55.6% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Fluminense to complete the sweep?
Fluminense have had a great track record against Vasco da Gama in recent years. They lost just once in the last 11 clashes between these outfits, with five wins and five draws. However, Fluminense have one win in their last nine trips to Estádio São Januário.
Brazil Serie A 20/04/24
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Brazil Campeonato Carioca 15/02/24
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Brazil Serie A 16/09/23
Vasco da Gama
Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 07/05/23
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Brazil Campeonato Carioca 12/02/23
Fluminense
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama preview: Hoping to get back on track
Vasco da Gama will not be able to call upon the services of Philippe Coutinho, Guilherme Estrella, João Victor, and Paulinho Paula. These players are sidelined with injuries and are unavailable for selection.
Predicted lineup: Jardim (GK), Rodriguez, Maicon, Leo, Luis, Moura, Vegetti, Adson, Payet, Sforza & Souza.
Copa Sudamericana 14/05/25
L
Lanus
1
Vasco da Gama
0
Brazil Serie A 10/05/25
L
Vitoria
2
Vasco da Gama
1
Copa Sudamericana 07/05/25
L
Academia Puerto Cabello
4
Vasco da Gama
1
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
L
Palmeiras
1
Vasco da Gama
0
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
D
Operario PR
1
Vasco da Gama
1
Fluminense preview: Sights set on their fifth consecutive Serie A victory
There are a few absentees for the visiting team, including Marquinhos (thigh), Gustavo Nonato (ankle), German Cano (foot), and David Terans (calf).
Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Xavier, Silva, Santos, Barbosa, Martinelli, Andre, Arias, Ganso, Serna, & Elias.
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Atletico Mineiro
3
Fluminense
2
Copa Sudamericana 09/05/25
L
San Jose de Oruro
1
Fluminense
0
Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
W
Sport Recife
1
Fluminense
2
Copa do Brasil 30/04/25
W
Aparecidense
0
Fluminense
1
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
L
Botafogo
2
Fluminense
0
Player to watch: Ganso
Ganso is coming off an impressive performance against Juventude, as he set up Fluminense's equaliser in their Copa do Brasil tie a few days ago.
Interestingly, the former Sevilla player opened the scoring in the reverse fixture of this clash. He currently leads the team in assists and will fancy his chances against Vasco da Gama.