Valencia vs Sevilla prediction, odds & betting tips – 17/02/2024

Valencia
17/02/24 - 20:00

Finished

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Sevilla

Valencia - Sevilla

Spain Primera Liga - Mestalla

Valencia vs Sevilla prediction
Valencia won in Seville earlier this term – Photo by Icon Sport

Valencia and Sevilla clash at Mestalla this Saturday. Our Valencia vs Sevilla prediction and La Liga betting picks look at whether the visitors can continue their recent revival and make it three wins on the bounce.

Valencia vs Sevilla prediction: Have the visitors turned a corner?

Valencia vs Sevilla predictions
Our pick

⚽ Double Chance prediction

Sevilla-Draw

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

⚽ Total Goals prediction

Under 2.5

Valencia won four in a row between December and January to propel themselves into surprise European contention. This is a tougher game than it might have been a few weeks back though with Sevilla finally showing a bit of life following back-to-back wins over Rayo and Atletico Madrid.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Valencia favoured by the bookies

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
  • DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The Valencia vs Sevilla odds point towards a home victory and they have been strong at Mestalla, taking 2.09 points per game in front of their own fans with a 63.6% win ratio.

Last five H2Hs: Visitors thrive in recent clashes

Spain Primera Liga 11/08/23

Sevilla

Sevilla

0
Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain Primera Liga 16/04/23

Valencia

Valencia

0
Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain Primera Liga 18/10/22

Sevilla

Sevilla

1
Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/01/22

Valencia

Valencia

1
Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain Primera Liga 22/09/21

Sevilla

Sevilla

3
Valencia

Valencia

1

The recent meetings suggest you can never rule out the away team in this fixture with the visitors getting a result in each of the last four meetings. Interestingly, the home team was reduced to ten men in each of those games.

Team news and form guide

Valencia: Baraja’s men eyeing up Europe

Ruben Baraja’s side have outperformed expectation levels this term with a young team, but they’re missing Diego Lopez to injury here.

Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Diakhaby, Mosquera, Foulquier, Guerra, Pepelu, Guillamon, Fran Perez, Duro, Yaremchuk

Europe Friendlies 28/05/24

W

Benidorm

Benidorm

1

Valencia

Valencia

3

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

D

Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo

2

Valencia

Valencia

2

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Girona

Girona

3

Valencia

Valencia

1

Spain Primera Liga 16/05/24

L

Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad

1

Valencia

Valencia

0

Spain Primera Liga 12/05/24

D

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

0

Valencia

Valencia

0

Sevilla: Positive signs at last

The return of Youssef En-Nesyri from AFCON duty and the sudden emergence of inexperienced forward Isaac Romero has been the catalyst for back-to-back wins.

Predicted Lineup: Nyland (GK), Acuna, Ramos, Bade, Navas, Ocampos, Soumare, Sow, Suso, Romero, En-Nesyri

Spain Primera Liga 26/05/24

L

Barcelona

Barcelona

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

1

Spain Primera Liga 19/05/24

L

Athletic Bilbao

Athletic Bilbao

2

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain Primera Liga 15/05/24

L

Cadiz

Cadiz

1

Sevilla

Sevilla

0

Spain Primera Liga 11/05/24

L

Villarreal

Villarreal

3

Sevilla

Sevilla

2

Spain Primera Liga 05/05/24

W

Granada

Granada

0

Sevilla

Sevilla

3

Our free expert picks: Tight game to end 1-1

If you’re looking for more betting tips, consider Sevilla’s in-form forward Isaac Romero to score anytime at 10/3 (4.33), an implied probability of 23.1%. Meanwhile, Both Teams to Score is priced at 19/20 (1.95), a probability of 51.3%.

Hot tip – Sevilla-Draw Double Chance

  • Our Valencia vs Sevilla prediction suggests the visitors can make it 4 games unbeaten in La Liga.
  • Quique Sanchez Flores struggled to make an initial impact in Seville, but there’s a much clearer structure to this team now which suggests they’ll compete well in this game.

Other tips

Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

  • Despite the league table, these sides feel relatively evenly matched on paper with Valencia overachieving and Sevilla under-performing this season.
  • Two of the last four meetings have been drawn.

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Our Valencia vs Sevilla betting tips also point to a relatively low scoring game with 64% of league matches at Mestalla this term producing under 2.5 goals.
  • There have been under 2.5 goals in 3 of Valencia’s last 4 matches and 2 of Sevilla’s last 3.
Valencia vs Sevilla prediction
En Nesyri aims for goal against Atleti last weekend – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Youssef En-Nesyri

Youssef En-Nesyri is going to have a big role to play as Sevilla bid to move clear of danger. The Moroccan scored a brace to sink Rayo in his team’s last away game to move onto 7 league goals this term.

En-Nesyri carrying aerial threat

The striker has been successful in the air this season with five headed goals in all competitions, which accounts for 45% of his total.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.