Carlos Corberan takes charge of his second game in La Liga on Saturday night. Our Sevilla vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether his side can pick up a much needed result.
Contents
Sevilla vs Valencia prediction: Hosts to edge low-scoring game
Key stats
- Our Sevilla vs Valencia betting tips take into account that the home team have won all three matches against current bottom four opponents this season.
- Valencia average just 0.44 goals per game on their travels.
- Just 33% of Sevilla’s home games this term have seen both teams score.
Correct score prediction: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia
Valencia are hoping Corberan can give them something of a new manager bounce, but those familiar frailties revealed themselves as they conceded two late goals to lose to the 10 men of Real Madrid in his opening league game.
This is another tricky fixture. Sevilla have been pretty solid at home and they’ll fancy they can keep another clean sheet here against an ineffective Valencia attack.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the even money favourites
- HOME: 1/1 (2.00) – 50.0%
- DRAW: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Sevilla vs Valencia odds with an implied probability of 50.0% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a poor display in the Copa del Rey, as they were beaten 4-1 by second tier Almeria, despite a goal from Isaac Romero.
As for Valencia, they did make it through in the cup, beating Eldense 2-0 away, with Sergi Canos and Diego Lopez scoring.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Three draws in five meetings
Our Sevilla vs Valencia prediction suggests the Andalusians can record a fifth win in the space of seven meetings at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjuan.
Four of the last five clashes overall have seen the home team reduced to 10 men, with three of those games ending level.
Spain La Liga 17/02/24
Valencia
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 11/08/23
Sevilla
Valencia
Spain La Liga 16/04/23
Valencia
Sevilla
Spain La Liga 18/10/22
Sevilla
Valencia
Spain La Liga 19/01/22
Valencia
Sevilla
Sevilla preview: Injury concerns for Pimienta
Garcia Pimienta will have to cope without the injured Tanguy Nianzou here. He also has doubts over Kelechi Iheanacho and Chidera Ejuke.
Predicted Lineup: A. Fernandez (GK), Pedrosa, Gudelj, Bade, Carmona, Lokonga, Saul, Juanlu, Peque, Romero & Lukebakio
Spain La Liga 09/02/25 L Barcelona 4 Sevilla 1 Spain La Liga 01/02/25 D Getafe 0 Sevilla 0 Spain La Liga 25/01/25 D Espanyol 1 Sevilla 1 Spain La Liga 18/01/25 W Girona 1 Sevilla 2 Spain La Liga 11/01/25 D Valencia 1 Sevilla 1
Valencia preview: Gaya expected to be fit
The visitors should be boosted by the return of their skipper Jose Luis Gaya. Rafa Mir, Fran Perez and Thierry Correia remain out though, while Giorgi Mamardashvili and Mouctar Diakhaby are doubts.
Predicted Lineup: Dimitrievski (GK), Gaya, Yarek, Mosquera, Foulquier, Pepelu, Guerra, Almeida, Rioja, Duro & D. Lopez
Spain La Liga 09/02/25 W Leganes 0 Valencia 2 Spain Copa del Rey 06/02/25 L Barcelona 5 Valencia 0 Spain La Liga 02/02/25 W Celta Vigo 1 Valencia 2 Spain La Liga 26/01/25 L Barcelona 7 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/01/25 W Real Sociedad 0 Valencia 1
Player to watch – Dodi Lukebakio
Sevilla have been heavily dependent on Dodi Lukebakio for goals this term. The Belgian winger has an excellent return of eight goals in 18 appearances in La Liga.
Lukebakio firing in the shots
The 27-year-old averages 2.6 shots per game in the Spanish top flight this term. That’s more than any other player who could potentially feature in this match.