Valencia are hoping to continue their stunning revival in Madrid on Saturday. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether Los Che can leave the Spanish capital with three points for the second time in a fortnight, following their recent win at the Bernabeu.
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Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction: Visitors to triumph in Vallecas
Key stats
- Our Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia betting tips take into account that the visitors are unbeaten in six heading into this.
- Rayo’s form has dipped, with seven goals conceded in their last two matches alone.
- They’ve only won one of their last eight in La Liga.
Correct score prediction: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Valencia
All the momentum is with Valencia heading into this, with Corberan doing a brilliant job of turning their fortunes around.
Rayo have looked really shaky at the back of late, with Abdul Mumin a major injury absentee in central defence, and on current form, the visitors could certainly edge this.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the hosts
- HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia odds, with an implied probability of 43.5% that they win this match.
They came up against an under-strength Athletic Club side last time out, but were beaten 3-1 at San Mames.
As for Valencia, they head into this match following a 1-0 home win over Sevilla, with Javi Guerra netting the only goal.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: A fixture that usually serves up few goals
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction suggests the visitors are capable of exploiting the home team’s obvious defensive issues right now, but this fixture doesn’t normally have much in the way of goalmouth action.
The last three meetings have produced just two goals in total, with both of those scored by the team playing away.
Spain La Liga 07/12/24
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 12/05/24
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 19/12/23
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Spain La Liga 03/04/23
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 10/09/22
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano preview: Mumin tough to replace
The limits of Rayo’s squad have been made clear in recent weeks. They are doing a bit better on that front now, but Mumin is still sidelined in central defence, while regular forward Sergio Camello is also a major injury doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Batalla (GK), Chavarria, A. Hernandez, Lejeune, Ratiu, Diaz, Cisse, A. Garcia, I. Palazon, De Frutos & Nteka
Spain La Liga 09/05/25
W Las Palmas 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 02/05/25
W Getafe 0 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25
L Atletico Madrid 3 Rayo Vallecano 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Valencia 1 Rayo Vallecano 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 3 Rayo Vallecano 1
Valencia preview: Few issues for Corberan
The visitors are close to full strength, but they are still missing long-term absentee Thierry Correia, while Ivan Jaime is a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Mamardashvili (GK), Gaya, Mosquera, Tarrega, Foulquier, Guerra, Barrenechea, D. Lopez, Almeida, Rioja & Sadiq
Spain La Liga 10/05/25
W Getafe 0 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
W Las Palmas 2 Valencia 3 Spain La Liga 22/04/25
D Espanyol 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
D Rayo Vallecano 1 Valencia 1 Spain La Liga 11/04/25
W Sevilla 0 Valencia 1
Player to watch – Diego Lopez
Valencia’s revival has largely been a team effort, but Diego Lopez has been one of their standout players during this improved run. The 22-year-old is now on seven goals and five assists in La Liga this term.

Lopez fast out of the blocks
Remarkably, all seven goals from Lopez this season have either come in the first 15 minutes or the first 15 minutes of the second half.