The Group D clash between the USA and Haiti in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 23 June is expected to be a one-sided affair in favor of the home team. Will that truly be the case? Stay tuned to find out the answer according to Football Whispers’ experts.
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USA vs Haiti prediction: USA with routine points
Key Stats
- Haiti couldn’t score a single goal in three of the last five head-to-heads.
- We saw BTTS – No in USMNT’s games against Switzerland and Trinidad and Tobago.
- Haiti’s last success over this opponent was registered on 11 May, 1969.
Correct score prediction: USA 3-0 Haiti
One of the last five USA vs Haiti head-to-heads resulted in a 3-0 victory for the USMNT. This is why we have such high trust in these USA vs Haiti predictions. Moreover, we should mention that coach Pochettino’s players did well to score five past Trinidad and Tobago a few days ago.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Easy task for Pochettino
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.0%
- DRAW: 21/4 (6.25) – 16.0%
- AWAY: 11/1 (12.00) – 8.3%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
BTTS – No seems like a good way to approach this game, as the odds behind our favourite USA vs Haiti prediction are currently priced at 18/25 (1.72). Seeing as the USMNT are the superior team, it’s only logical for them to expect a clean sheet.
Coach Pochettino’s players are the expected winners, with an 80.0% win probability before the kick-off.
Most recent H2Hs: One-sided story
As mentioned earlier in our USA vs Haiti prediction, coach Sebastien Migne’s team last managed to defeat its rival almost 60 years ago! Years passed, but the US side has only gotten stronger.
CONCACAF Gold Cup 12/07/21
USA
Haiti
CONCACAF Gold Cup 11/07/15
USA
Haiti
USA team news and form: USA back on track
Nashville captain Walker Zimmerman didn’t take part in the match against Trinidad and Tobago, but the home side still earned the three points. We expect the veteran defender to be on the bench against Haiti as well, which isn’t necessarily bad news for our USA vs Trinidad and Tobago prediction, as he was a starter for his country against Switzerland, and we all remember how poor of a choice that turned out to be.
Predicted lineup: Freese (GK), Richards, Ream, Arfsten, Berhalter, De La Torre, McGlynn, Tillman, Luna & Agyemang
CONCACAF Nations League 23/03/25
L
Canada
2
USA
1
CONCACAF Nations League 20/03/25
L
Panama
1
USA
0
International Match 23/01/25
W
Costa Rica
0
USA
3
International Match 18/01/25
W
Venezuela
1
USA
3
CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24
W
Jamaica
2
USA
4
Haiti team news and form: Key players ready for Haiti
For the sake of our USA vs Haiti prediction, we should mention the fact that the visitors’ squad is priced at about €17m. This is 10 times less expensive than the USMNT’s price tag, which will undoubtedly play a role this week. The only good news for the visitors’ manager is the fact that he will be able to count on all of his key performers.
Predicted lineup: Placidus (GK), Arcus, Ade, Duverne, Experience, Nazon, Jacques, Deedson, Pierre, Attys & Pierrot
North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 10/06/25
L
Curacao
5
Haiti
1
North & Central America - World Cup Qualifying 07/06/25
W
Aruba
0
Haiti
5
International Match 22/03/25
W
Azerbaijan
0
Haiti
3
CONCACAF Nations League 19/11/24
W
Puerto Rico
0
Haiti
3
CONCACAF Nations League 15/11/24
W
Sint Maarten
0
Haiti
8
Player to watch: Malik Tillman
€32m-priced Malik Tillman scored a brace for his country in the match against Trinidad and Tobago on 16 June, and earned the right to be featured in our USA vs Haiti prediction. The PSV star is undoubtedly one of the US’s finest, and we can’t wait to see him perform at AT&T Stadium.

Can Tillman score more?
Tillman scored 12 goals in 26 Eredivisie games for his club. We expect to see a sturdy display from the 23-year-old player against Haiti as well. Coach Pochettino will need the best version of his attacking midfielder this week.