USA vs Germany Women prediction, odds & betting tips – 06/08/2024

USA vs Germany Women prediction
The USA Women beat Germany 4-1 during the group stage at the 2024 Olympics - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

USA Women to win

The USA Women have won six of their last seven encounters with Germany

Neither of these two countries were particularly impressive in their Quarter-Final ties but both did just enough to progress.

The USA faced Germany during the group stage of the Paris Olympics and came away with an emphatic 4-1 victory but we're expecting Tuesday's Semi-Final to be much more close and competitive.

USA vs Germany Women prediction: USA to progress through to the Final

Key Stats

  • The USA secured a 4-1 victory over Germany in the group stage.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in four of the last six meetings between these two nations.
  • At least three goals have been scored in three of the USA's last four fixtures.
  • Five of Germany's last six outings have witnessed over 2.5 goals.

Correct score prediction: USA Women 2-1 Germany Women

The USA have a great record against Germany, winning 13 of their last 19 head-to-heads and only losing on three occasions. Both teams have scored in each of the pair's last three encounters, two of which ended in scorelines of 2-1.

Pre-game odds and win probability: USA the clear favourite

  • HOME: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 29/10 (3.90) – 25.6%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

The USA Women are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 52.4%, and we agree with the bookmakers in this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: USA dominate

The United States women have claimed four wins and suffered one defeat in their last five games against Germany.

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 28/07/24

USA Women

USA Women

4
Germany Women

Germany Women

1

Womens International 13/11/22

USA Women

USA Women

2
Germany Women

Germany Women

1

Womens International 11/11/22

USA Women

USA Women

1
Germany Women

Germany Women

2

Womenu2018s International 02/03/18

USA Women

USA Women

1
Germany Women

Germany Women

0

Womenu2017s International 02/03/17

USA Women

USA Women

1
Germany Women

Germany Women

0

USA Women preview: Needed extra-time to beat Japan

The USA women were the big favourite to progress through to the Semi-Finals in Paris having been drawn against Japan in the Quarter-Finals.

Despite their good record against the Asian side, the North Americans failed to score during the opening 90 minutes and the game went into extra-time.

As the first 15 minutes of extra-time approached its conclusion, Trinity Rodman found some space and managed to break the deadlock for Team USA and book their place in the Semi-Finals.

Predicted lineup: Naeher (GK), Sonnett, Girma, Fox, Dunn, Horan, Lavelle, Albert, Swanson, Smith & Rodman

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 10/08/24

W

Brazil Women

Brazil Women

0

USA Women

USA Women

1

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 06/08/24

W

Germany Women

Germany Women

0

USA Women

USA Women

1

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 03/08/24

W

Japan Women

Japan Women

0

USA Women

USA Women

1

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 31/07/24

W

Australia Women

Australia Women

1

USA Women

USA Women

2

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 28/07/24

W

Germany Women

Germany Women

1

USA Women

USA Women

4

Germany Women preview: Only beat Canada via penalties

Much like the USA vs Japan game, Germany's Quarter-Final against Canada ended goalless after 90 minutes.

However, unlike the USA, Germany were unable to carve out a winning goal in extra time, instead their game was decided via a penalty shoot-out.

Germany did miss one of their opening five penalties but luckily for them, Canada missed two of their opening four and the Europeans booked their place in the Semi-Finals where they will be out for revenge against a USA side that beat them 4-1 in the group stage.

Predicted lineup: Berger (GK), Hegering, Hendrich, Rauch, Gwinn, Minge, Nüsken, Brand, Popp, Schüller & Bühl 

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 09/08/24

W

Spain Women

Spain Women

0

Germany Women

Germany Women

1

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 06/08/24

L

USA Women

USA Women

1

Germany Women

Germany Women

0

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 03/08/24

W

Canada Women

Canada Women

0 (2)

Germany Women

Germany Women

0 (4)

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 31/07/24

W

Zambia Women

Zambia Women

1

Germany Women

Germany Women

4

Olympics 2024 Soccer - Women 28/07/24

L

USA Women

USA Women

4

Germany Women

Germany Women

1

Player to watch – Mallory Swanson

Mallory Swanson has played a vital role for the USA women in their progression through to the Semi-Finals of the 2024 Olympics, and we're backing her to impress once again against Germany on Tuesday.

Mallory Swanson player to watch
Mallory Swanson baring down on goal in the 2024 Olympics – Photo by Imago

The 26-year-old striker joint-top scores for her country in Paris with three goals and came into this competition having scored seven goals in 15 league games for Chicago Red Stars.

The USA forward has impressed at the 2024 Olympics

While it was her teammate and fellow top scorer Trinity Rodman who earned the plaudits in the Quarter-Final, we're expecting the limelight to fall back on Swanson when the USA take on Germany for the second time at these Olympics.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things