Peru will resume their 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign with a trip to Estadio Centenario for their encounter with Uruguay on Thursday, 4 September 2025.
View our free Uruguay vs Peru predictions below.
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Uruguay vs Peru predictions: A low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Six consecutive meetings between Uruguay and Peru have gone below the 2.5-goal line.
- Peru are still hunting for their first away win of the qualifiers.
- There were fewer than 11 corners in each of the last five skirmishes between these outfits.
Correct score prediction: Uruguay 1-0 Peru
Peru are on a three-match winless run in which they did not score a single goal. Interestingly, Oscar Ibanez’s troops have played eight away games so far and have not scored in any of them.
Similarly, Uruguay have struggled to find their best form in recent weeks, as they failed to score in three of their last four matches, while keeping two clean sheets in that four-game stretch.
Keeping in mind that Peru lost their last three trips to this stadium by the same 1-0 scoreline, we are confident that Uruguay will win this encounter by a single goal.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Uruguay are odds-on favourites
- HOME: 3/10 (1.30) – 76.9%
- DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
- AWAY: 10/1 (11.00) – 9.1%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
With two qualifying games left, Uruguay are fourth in the 10-team CONMEBOL FIFA World Cup qualifying group, while Peru are ninth.
Although Uruguay have not yet secured an automatic spot in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, they can do so by earning at least one point from any of their last two matches, or if Venezuela fail to win any of their remaining two games.
In contrast, this is a must-win for Peru, as any other result will confirm their elimination. The visitors would also need other results to go their way, as they could still be eliminated even if they win their last two games.
Ahead of this skirmish, Uruguay are the expected winners at 3/10 (1.30). Teams with these odds generally have a 76.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Uruguay vs Peru predictions.
Moreover, fewer than three goals were scored in each of Uruguay’s last five matches and in five of Peru's last six games. Keeping in mind that the last six skirmishes between these outfits went south of the 2.5-goal marker, under 2.5 total goals has an appealing look at 3/4 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: An even contest
In the last six meetings between Uruguay and Peru, both teams have two wins apiece with two draws between them.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 12/10/24
Peru
Uruguay
International Match 07/06/24
Peru
Uruguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/22
Uruguay
Peru
South America - World Cup Qualifying 03/09/21
Peru
Uruguay
International Match 16/10/19
Peru
Uruguay
Uruguay preview: Eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time since July 2024
Fourth on the table with 24 points after 16 games, Uruguay are on course for a place in next year's FIFA World Cup, but will look to confirm that spot with a win against Peru, who sit second to last on the log.
Real Madrid midfielder Federico Valverde and new Al-Hilal striker Darwin Nunez have made a return to the Uruguay squad after both players missed the last international break.
Jose Maria Gimenez will be unavailable for Marcelo Bielsa, as the Atletico Madrid defender continues his recovery from a hamstring injury sustained during the FIFA Club World Cup.
Predicted lineup: Mele (GK), Nandez, Araujo, Rodriguez, Olivera, Bentancur, Ugarte, Valverde, Sanabria, Nunez & Aguirre.
Last five matches
- Uruguay 2-0 Venezuela
- Paraguay 2-0 Uruguay
- Bolivia 0-0 Uruguay
- Uruguay 0-1 Argentina
- Brazil 1-1 Uruguay
Peru preview: Hoping to halt their winless streak
Peru have had a FIFA World Cup qualifying campaign to forget, with only two wins and six draws after 16 matches, keeping them just above Chile, who occupy the bottom spot.
With a goal difference of -11 and six points behind the intercontinental playoff spot, the visitors are well out of contention for a place in the mundial, even if they manage to beat Uruguay on the road and Paraguay at home.
Predicted lineup: Gallese (GK), Advincula, Zambrano, Garces, Lopez, Polo, Tapia, Carrillo,Quevedo, Guerrero & Flores.
Last five matches
- Peru 0-0 Ecuador
- Colombia 0-0 Peru
- Venezuela 1-0 Peru
- Peru 3-1 Bolivia
- Argentina 1-0 Peru
Player to watch: Darwin Nunez
Darwin Nunez has been impressive so far, with five goals and two assists in the FIFA World Cup qualifiers. The former Liverpool man has five goal contributions in his last six appearances across all competitions and will be called upon to provide goals on Thursday night.