South American World Cup qualifying continues this week with Colombia making the trip to Montevideo. Our Uruguay vs Colombia prediction considers whether either side can take another step towards the 2026 tournament.
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Uruguay vs Colombia prediction: Bore draw in Montevideo
Key stats
- Our Uruguay vs Colombia betting tips take into account that just one goal has been scored in Uruguay’s four qualifiers so far this season.
- Excluding Extra Time, Colombia have lost just one of their last 31 matches.
- There have been under 2.5 goals in four of their last six matches.
Correct score prediction: Uruguay 0-0 Colombia
While Marcelo Bielsa has a reputation for attractive football, that has certainly not been the case of late. Four of Uruguay’s last seven matches have ended goalless and there’s every chance of a repeat here.
Colombia have been more convincing in the final third, but Montevideo is a tough place for visiting teams to go and a draw would keep both sides on track for qualification.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bielsa’s side the favourites
- HOME: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- AWAY: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Uruguay vs Colombia odds with an implied probability of 43.5% that they win this match.
Uruguay were held to a 0-0 draw at home by Ecuador in their most recent qualifier.
As for Colombia, they head into this one having seen off Chile 4-0 last time out, with Luis Diaz and Jhon Duran among the scorers.
For more from the upcoming matches in South America and beyond, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Colombia unbeaten in four
Our Uruguay vs Colombia prediction suggests the visitors can extend their unbeaten streak in this fixture to five matches.
The sides played out a 2-2 draw in the reverse fixture last October, but there has been just one other goal scored in the last four meetings, with two of those ending 0-0.
Copa America 11/07/24
Uruguay
Colombia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 12/10/23
Colombia
Uruguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/21
Uruguay
Colombia
Copa America 03/07/21
Uruguay
Colombia
South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/11/20
Colombia
Uruguay
Uruguay preview: Suspended players available again
Jose Maria Gimenez, Rodrigo Bentancur and Matias Olivera are all now available again after serving lengthy bans in a boost for Bielsa.
Predicted Lineup: Rochet (GK), Varela, S. Bueno, Gimenez, Olivera, Valverde, Ugarte, Bentancur, Pellistri, Nunez & Rodriguez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25 D Bolivia 0 Uruguay 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 L Argentina 1 Uruguay 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24 D Brazil 1 Uruguay 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24 W Colombia 2 Uruguay 3 South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24 D Ecuador 0 Uruguay 0
Colombia preview: Duran to get his chance?
Juan David Caba has pulled out with an injury, while Luis Sinisterra is another notable absentee. Aston Villa’s in-form striker Jhon Duran is in strong contention for a starting role.
Predicted Lineup: Vargas (GK), Munoz, Sanchez, Lucumi, Mojica, Rios, Uribe, J. Arias, Diaz, James & Duran
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25 D Paraguay 2 Colombia 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25 L Brazil 2 Colombia 1 South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24 L Ecuador 1 Colombia 0 South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24 L Uruguay 3 Colombia 2 South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24 W Chile 0 Colombia 4
Player to watch – Jhon Duran
Jhon Duran has been a super sub for Aston Villa this season, scoring eight in all competitions despite only making three starts. He also netted off the bench for Colombia last time out.
Duran’s late impact
All but one of Duran’s goals for Villa this season have come after the interval. Over half of those goals have come after the 75th minute.