Uruguay vs Colombia prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/07/2024

Uruguay vs Colombia prediction, odds & betting tips – 11/07/2024
Fede Valverde celebrates Uruguay's shootout win over Brazil - Photo by Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Draw

All of the last three meetings between the sides have been drawn.

Uruguay and Colombia clash in the second semi-final at Copa America in Charlotte. Our Uruguay vs Colombia prediction considers which team is most likely to make it into this weekend’s final.

Uruguay vs Colombia prediction: Penalties needed after score draw 

Key stats

  • Our Uruguay vs Colombia betting tips take into account the impressive average of 2.75 goals per game for Colombia at this tournament, more than any other team.
  • Uruguay are the second highest scorers at Copa America 2024, with 2.25 goals per game on average.
  • It’s just two defeats in 18 matches for Uruguay since the 2022 World Cup.

Correct score prediction: Uruguay 1-1 Colombia

These sides have both really impressed at Copa America and it promises to be a competitive and even match. The H2H also points in that direction with the sides also needing penalties to settle it at the most recent Copa America.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies struggling to find a favourite

  • URUGUAY: 17/10 (2.70) – 37.0%
  • DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
  • COLOMBIA: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

La Celeste are the very slight favourites according to the Uruguay vs Colombia odds with an implied probability of 37.0% that they win this game.

They came through a tense quarter-final against Brazil, winning 4-2 on penalties after a goalless draw in Las Vegas.

Colombia meanwhile cruised into the last four, hammering Panama 5-0 with James Rodriguez and Luis Diaz among the scorers.

For more of the latest football picks, our free betting tips feature some of the best bets from Copa America, the Euros and beyond.

Last five H2Hs: Close contests the norm as Colombia target repeat of 2021 win

Our Uruguay vs Colombia prediction of a draw is backed up by recent history. Colombia were shootout victors in a quarter-final between the sides at the last Copa America but they’ve not beaten this opposition inside 90 minutes in the last decade.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 12/10/23

Colombia

Colombia

2
Uruguay

Uruguay

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 08/10/21

Uruguay

Uruguay

0
Colombia

Colombia

0

Copa America 03/07/21

Uruguay

Uruguay

0 (2)
Colombia

Colombia

0 (4)

South America - World Cup Qualifying 13/11/20

Colombia

Colombia

0
Uruguay

Uruguay

3

South America - World Cup Qualifying 11/10/16

Colombia

Colombia

2
Uruguay

Uruguay

2

Uruguay preview: Araujo blow for Bielsa

Marcelo Bielsa lost Barca centre-back Ronald Araujo in the last match and he’s unlikely to feature again at this tournament. Nahitan Nandez is also suspended here.

Predicted Lineup: Rochet (GK), Vina, Olivera, Gimenez, Varela, Valverde, Ugarte, Araujo, Cruz, Pellistri, Nunez

Copa America 14/07/24

W

Canada

Canada

2 (3)

Uruguay

Uruguay

2 (4)

Copa America 11/07/24

L

Colombia

Colombia

1

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Copa America 07/07/24

W

Brazil

Brazil

0 (2)

Uruguay

Uruguay

0 (4)

Copa America 02/07/24

W

USA

USA

0

Uruguay

Uruguay

1

Copa America 28/06/24

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Uruguay

Uruguay

5

Colombia preview: Lerma available again

An unchanged eleven is possible for Colombia with no fresh injury concerns after the demolition of Panama but they could recall Jefferson Lerma in midfield following his suspension.

Predicted Lineup: Vargas (GK), Mojica, Cuesta, Sanchez, Munoz, Arias, Lerma, Rios, Diaz, Cordoba, Rodriguez

Copa America 15/07/24

L

Argentina

Argentina

1

Colombia

Colombia

0

Copa America 11/07/24

W

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Colombia

Colombia

1

Copa America 06/07/24

W

Panama

Panama

0

Colombia

Colombia

5

Copa America 03/07/24

D

Brazil

Brazil

1

Colombia

Colombia

1

Copa America 28/06/24

W

Costa Rica

Costa Rica

0

Colombia

Colombia

3

Player to watch – James Rodriguez

It has been a stunning tournament so far for James Rodriguez, so long the poster boy of Colombian football. While his club career has tailed off, the 32 year old has reminded everyone of his class with a goal and five assists in four matches.

uruguay vs colombia predictions
James Rodriguez has been outstanding at Copa America – Photo by Icon Sport

Key contributions throughout

No other player has assisted more than two goals at this tournament which is testament to just how impressive Colombia’s playmaker has been. Rodriguez also averages 3.5 key passes per match which is more than every player at Copa America 2024 with the exception of Leo Messi.


Mark is a freelance football writer based in Madrid. He regularly attends and covers La Liga matches around Spain, whilst also following football across Europe.