Ajax will feel that they have one foot in the last 16 of the Europa League following their 2-0 win in Belgium last week, but the Dutch giants still have to get the job done in Thursday's second leg.
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Ajax vs Union Saint-Gilloise prediction: Home win and a clean sheet?
Key Stats
- Union SG have lost three of their last five fixtures and have failed to score in each of their last two outings.
- Ajax matches are averaging 9.09 corners at home this season.
- Union SG are averaging 5.77 corners on the road this season.
Correct score prediction: Ajax 2-0 Union SG
Ajax claimed a 2-0 win in Belgium last week and we're backing our Dutch hosts to secure another 2-0 win on Thursday night. In their last six matches, Ajax have scored exactly two goals on four occasions and have kept clean sheets in each of their last three fixtures, while Union SG haven't conceded more than two goals in any of their last six outings.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax the clear favouritge
- HOME: 13/15 (1.87) – 53.6%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Ajax are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 53.6% and it's hard to argue against the bookmakers on this one.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Ajax in front
Last week's first leg in Belgium marked the first-ever meeting between these two clubs and Ajax now lead the head-to-head record courtesy of their 2-0 victory.
UEFA Europa League 13/02/25
Union Saint Gilloise
Ajax
Ajax preview: Aiming for six straight wins in all competitions
Ajax would have been expecting a difficult first leg in Belgium last week but managed to come away with a 2-0 victory.
The stats were pretty evenly matched, with Ajax enjoying 50.5% of the overall possession and having ten shots to Union SG's 13. However, the Dutch giants had more quality in the final third as they enjoyed seven shots on target compared to their hosts' four, which culminated in two second-half goals from Christian Rasmussen and Jorthy Mokio.
Jordan Henderson, Wout Weghorst, Youri Regeer, Owen Wijndal and Gaston Avila have all been ruled out of Thursday's second leg due to injury.
Predicted lineup: Pasveer (GK), Sutalo, Baas, Gaaei, Mokio, Henderson, Taylor, Fitz-Jim, Traore, Berghuis & Brobbey
Netherlands Eredivisie 13/04/25
W
Willem II
1
Ajax
2
Netherlands Eredivisie 06/04/25
W
NAC
1
Ajax
3
Netherlands Eredivisie 30/03/25
W
PSV
0
Ajax
2
Netherlands Eredivisie 16/03/25
D
AZ
2
Ajax
2
UEFA Europa League 13/03/25
L
Eintracht Frankfurt
4
Ajax
1
Union SG preview: Looking to avoid three defeats on the run
Union SG will feel very disappointed that they didn't make more of their home advantage last week against Ajax, as they now need to win by two clear goals to take this game into extra time.
The hosts had 20 touches in the Dutch side's box but only managed to get four of their 13 shots on target, while Ajax only had nine touches in the Union SG box. Seven of their 10 efforts hit the target, and two beat Luxembourg goalkeeper Anthony Moris.
Midfielder Alessio Castro-Montes is the main injury concern for Sebastien Pocognoli's side.
Predicted lineup: Moris (GK), Burgess, Sykes, Leysen, Niang, Vanhoutte, Ait El Hadj, Sadiki, Ivanovic, Khalaili & Fuseini
Belgium First Division A 12/04/25
W
Anderlecht
0
Union Saint Gilloise
2
Belgium First Division A 05/04/25
W
Gent
0
Union Saint Gilloise
3
Belgium First Division A 29/03/25
W
Antwerp
1
Union Saint Gilloise
5
Belgium First Division A 15/03/25
L
Genk
2
Union Saint Gilloise
1
Belgium First Division A 09/03/25
W
Standard Liege
0
Union Saint Gilloise
3
Player to watch: Kian Fitz-Jim
21-year-old midfielder Kain Fitz-Jim first featured in the Ajax senior side during the 2022/23 campaign but this season the talented youngster has featured regularly for the Dutch giants.
Fitz-Jim, who has two goals in the Eredivisie this season, has played his best football in the Europa League where he joint-top scores for Ajax with four goals.
The 21-year-old is enjoying his breakthrough season
Some so of their key senior attacking players out injured, Ajax will be looking to the likes of Fitz-Jim to get forward and offer a goal threat on Thursday night where there is still a big job to be done despite their two-goal cushion.