Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/02/2025
Can Union Berlin take advantage of RB Leipzig's poor away form. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 total goals

Union Berlin have been conceding an average of just one goal per home game in the Bundesliga this season.

Union Berlin take RB Leipzig at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 01 February. Read our German football predictions for the fixture below.

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction: Low-scoring contest likely

Key Stats

  • Union Berlin and RB Leipzig drew 0-0 in September and the teams’ last two encounters have produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Union Berlin have been conceding an average of just one goal per home game in the Bundesliga this season.
  • RB Leipzig have dropped points in five of their last six away games in the Bundesliga.
  • Five players were carded when Union Berlin and RB Leipzig last met in September.

Correct score prediction: Union Berlin 1-1 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig have dropped points in five of their last six away games in the Bundesliga and they might struggle to improve that record when they visit a Union side that has been conceding an average of just one goal per home game this term. Expect the spoils to be shared in the capital.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Union priced as underdogs

  • HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%
  • AWAY: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Union Berlin slipped to a disappointing 3-0 loss at relegation rivals St. Pauli last weekend and they have been given just a 32.3% chance of bouncing back in a tougher game on Saturday.

RB Leipzig limped out of the Champions League in midweek when they lost 1-0 to Sturm Graz in Austria and fatigue could be an issue for the 5/4 favourites on Saturday. Read more of our latest football predictions and German football analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Action has been minimal

Each of the last two meetings between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig have produced under 2.5 goals while a bet on both teams not to score would have landed in each of their last three encounters.

Germany Bundesliga I 14/09/24

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 04/02/24

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

2
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/09/23

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Germany Bundesliga I 11/02/23

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 20/08/22

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2
RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Union Berlin preview: Ronnow still sidelined

Frederik Ronnow, Yannic Stein, Kevin Vogt and Ivan Prtajin are all out of action for Union Berlin while Leopold Querfeld is suspended and won't be involved either. Union are just two places clear of the relegation playoff position in the Bundesliga standings.

Predicted lineup: Schwolow (GK), Doekhi, Khedira, Leite, Juranovic, Schafer, Haberer, Kemlein, Skov, Siebatcheu, Hollerbach

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

3

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

2

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25

D

Bochum

Bochum

1

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

VfB Stuttgart

VfB Stuttgart

4

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

4

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

D

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

0

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

0

RB Leipzig preview: Sesko and Simons could return

Timo Werner, Assan Ouedraogo, Andre Silva and Benjamin Henrichs are out injured for RB Leipzig. Head Coach Marco Rose could make changes to his XI following Leipzig's midweek clash with Sturm Graz in the Champions League.

Predicted lineup: Gulacsi (GK), Lukeba, Orban, Klostermann, Geertruida, Haidara, Vermeeren, Nusa, Simons, Sesko, Openda

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

D

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen

0

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

3

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

Eintracht Frankfurt

Eintracht Frankfurt

4

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel

1

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/04/25

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Player to watch – Andras Schafer

Union Berlin showed a cynical side to their game when they held RB Leipzig to a 0-0 draw back in September and the Iron Ones committed a whopping 19 fouls in that stalemate, with midfielder Andras Schafer a chief offender.

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction
Andras Schafer is a tough tackler in midfield for Union Berlin. (Photo by Imago)

Schafer committed three fouls and attempted three tackles in that 0-0 draw and the Hungarian, who has been averaging 1.70 tackles per game in the Bundesliga overall this season, could stick his foot in with just as much force on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.