Union Berlin will clash with Hoffenheim in gameweek three of the Bundesliga at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei on Saturday. Union began the season on a bright note, having claimed a 2-1 victory over Stuttgart on the opening day of the season, but they were dismissed 3-0 in their last Bundesliga outing against Borussia Dortmund.
Hoffenheim have won one and lost the other since the start of the season, and they will also be out to get more points on the board this weekend.
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Contents
- 1 Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim prediction: Both teams are in search of their second victory this season
- 2 Most recent H2Hs: Union have the upper hand
- 3 Union Berlin preview: Will the home side score for the third game running?
- 4 Hoffenheim preview: Can the visitors claim their first win against Union in two years?
- 5 Player to watch: Ilyas Ansah
Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim prediction: Both teams are in search of their second victory this season
Key stats
- Three of Union's last five matches across all competitions produced at least three total goals.
- Hoffenheim's last five matches returned a minimum of three goals each.
- Three of their last five meetings recorded at least three total goals.
Correct score prediction: Union Berlin 2-2 Hoffenheim
Both sides have won one game from the two matches they played before the international break, so, in terms of form, they are on even footing. And going by that, this match would be difficult for either side to take home all three points on offer after regulation time.
The worry for coaches of the two teams will be the fact that their defences are porous, and a lapse in concentration at any point in this encounter could spell doom for either side.
Having said that, it is highly likely that this fixture could end in a 2-2 draw.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Both sides are on equal pegging
- HOME: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
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If the leanings of the bookmakers are to be relied upon, this match looks like it is destined to end in a stalemate after 90 minutes of football. The hosts have pre-game odds of 8/5 (2.60), meaning they have a 38.5% chance of winning. That slightly edges the visitors, who are priced at 13/8 (2.63), representing a 38.1% chance of claiming all three points on Saturday.
For a draw, which seems to be the most likely outcome, the odds are 13/5 (3.40), implying a probability of 29.4%.
Most recent H2Hs: Union have the upper hand
While Union Berlin are not known to score a bucket load of goals, they have been quite productive in meetings against Saturday's opponents, scoring goals with reckless abandon, a situation which helped them win three of the last five meetings between the pair.
However, Hoffenheim also have a say with two victories against the hosts in their last five meetings.
Germany Bundesliga I 08/02/25
TSG Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Germany Bundesliga I 21/09/24
Union Berlin
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 17/02/24
TSG Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Germany Bundesliga I 23/09/23
Union Berlin
TSG Hoffenheim
Germany Bundesliga I 20/05/23
TSG Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Union Berlin preview: Will the home side score for the third game running?
As earlier stated, the hosts are not famous for scoring goals, but they have found the back of the net in their opening two games of the season. That newfound potency in front of the goal will be exciting to their fans, and they will be expecting the home side to put up a show this weekend.
Meanwhile, Stanley Nsoki is still sidelined by a muscular injury, and he is unlikely to be involved in this contest.
Predicted lineup: Ronnow (GK), Rothe, Querfeld, Doekhi, Skov, Kral, Haberer, Khedira, Trimmel, Ansah & Ilic
Last five matches:
- Altglieniceke 1-1 Union Berlin (Club Friendly)
- Dortmund 3-0 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
- Union Berlin 2-1 Stuttgart (Bundesliga)
- FC Gutersloh 0-5 Union Berlin (DFB Pokal)
- Olympiakos 0-1 Union Berlin (Club Friendly)
Hoffenheim preview: Can the visitors claim their first win against Union in two years?
Hoffenheim have not won against the hosts since September 2023, meaning they will be desperate to reverse the tide this weekend when they clash. The visitors will head into this clash with a measure of confidence, given their start to the season.
Regarding injuries, Koki Machida and Wouter Burger have suffered ACL injuries, meaning they are ruled out of this match.
Predicted lineup: Baumann (GK), Coufal, Chaves, Hranac, Bernardo, Promell, Avdullahu, Kramaric, Lemperle, Asllani & Toure
Last five matches:
- Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt (Bundesliga)
- Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
- Hansa Rostock 0-4 Stuttgart (DFB Pokal)
- Hoffenheim 8-0 Metz (Club Friendly)
- Werder Bremen 0-3 Hoffenheim (Club Friendly)
Player to watch: Ilyas Ansah
German Youngster Ilyas Ansah has adapted to the Bundesliga quite well, and he seems not to be fazed by the step up to the German top flight. Union took a risk by acquiring the 20-year-old, and he has repaid their faith in him with two goals already.
The German youth international will aim to build on his impressive start to life in the German top division.