Udinese will host Fiorentina at the Bluenergy Stadium on Monday, with the home team desperate to recover from their disappointing run of games in Serie A.
The home team have suffered three straight defeats, which have dealt a major blow to their season, with the nine points lost during that stretch leaving them well off the pace in the race for European qualification.
A return to home soil may not provide much comfort, however, given they have won just two of their last eight matches there, while a poor home record against teams outside the top seven adds to the concern.
Meanwhile, Fiorentina arrive after a draining UEFA Conference League play-off against Jagiellonia Białystok, progressing in extra time after surrendering a 3-0 first-leg lead during normal time.
Consecutive Serie A victories have at least lifted La Viola clear of the relegation zone following a dismal start to the league campaign. Their improved form appears genuine, with just two defeats in their last nine league games.
Read our Udinese vs Fiorentina predictions and preview to find out, and remember to check our other Italian Serie A predictions.
Contents
Udinese vs Fiorentina prediction: Away team to nick a win
Key statistics
- Udinese and Fiorentina have both found the net in four of their last five meetings, with each of those four matches also delivering more than 2.5 total goals.
- Fiorentina have won three of their last five away meetings against Udinese.
- The first half of their last five meetings has produced over 0.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: Udinese 1-2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina are brimming with confidence heading into this game, but we expect a tightly-contested affair between the two sides. We predict a 2-1 win for the visitors for this encounter based on their recent form.
The Little Zebras have struggled for goals recently, while the visitors have become much more compact since the turn of the year. Fiorentina have gone on to win three of their last four games in all competitions, while Udinese have lost their last three.
Given the high stakes for the away side’s survival hopes, we believe that La Viola will likely extend their winning streak and get a narrow victory against the host.
Pre-match odds and win probability: Fiorentina slight favourites
- Home: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- Draw: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
- Away: 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%
*Odds provided by Ladbrokes. Subject to change.*
Udinese are priced at 3.10 odds, giving them a 32.3% implied chance of securing victory at home. Fiorentina are slight favourites at 2.30 odds, which translates to a 43.5% probability of claiming all three points on their travels.
The draw is set at 3.25 odds, indicating a 30.8% chance of the sides finishing level in what could be a competitive Serie A encounter.
Most recent head-to-head: Fiorentina dominate history
Looking at the history between these two sides, the record has shifted dramatically in favour of Fiorentina in their last five encounter. These meetings have seen La Viola claim three wins, while the Friulians have just one victory, and there has been one draw between them.
The most striking was the reverse fixture in December 2025, where Fiorentina secured a dominant 5-1 victory at the Stadio Artemio Franchi. In May 2025, the Viola also managed a 3-2 win on this very ground.
Italy Serie A 21/12/25
Fiorentina
Udinese
Italy Serie A 25/05/25
Udinese
Fiorentina
Italy Serie A 23/12/24
Fiorentina
Udinese
Italy Serie A 14/01/24
Fiorentina
Udinese
Italy Serie A 24/09/23
Udinese
Fiorentina
After reviewing our key Udinese vs Fiorentina predictions, be sure to visit our website for the remaining football betting tips today.
Udinese preview: Injury concerns persist
With top scorer Keinan Davis just returning from injury and unlikely to feature, Nicolo Zaniolo is set to be Udinese’s primary attacking threat.
Defensively, Udinese will be without key centre-back Oumar Solet and long-term absentee Alessandro Zanoli, while Hassane Kamara remains a doubt due to plantar fasciitis, leaving some uncertainty in the backline.
Predicted lineup: Okoye (GK), Kristensen, Kabasele, Bertola, Ehizibue, Ekkelenkamp, Karlstrom, Atta, Zemura, Zaniolo & Buksa
Last five fixtures
- 23.02.26 – Bologna 1–0 Udinese (Serie A)
- 15.02.26 – Udinese 1–2 Sassuolo (Serie A)
- 08.02.26 – Lecce 2–1 Udinese (Serie A)
- 02.02.26 – Udinese 1–0 AS Roma (Serie A)
- 26.01.26 – Verona 1–3 Udinese (Serie A)
Fiorentina preview: Multiple absentees for the hosts
Three injuries could impact Fiorentina’s selection, as reserve goalkeeper Luca Lezzerini (thigh), German full-back Robin Gosens (face) and winger Manor Solomon (muscular) all sustained knocks during midweek action.
In addition, Dodo must serve a suspension, limiting defensive options. On a positive note, Albert Gudmundsson returned as a late substitute against Jagiellonia and could now feature in support of Moise Kean, providing the Viola with an attacking boost.
Predicted lineup: De Gea (GK), Fortini, Comuzzo, Pongracic, Ranieri, Brescianini, Fagioli, Mandragora, Harrison, Kean & Gudmundsson
Last five fixtures
- 26.02.26 – Fiorentina 2–4 Jagiellonia (UECL)
- 23.02.26 – Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa (Serie A)
- 19.02.26 – Jagiellonia 0–3 Fiorentina (UECL)
- 14.02.26 – Como 1–2 Fiorentina (Serie A)
- 07.02.26 – Fiorentina 2–2 Torino (Serie A)
Player to watch: Moise Kean
Moise Kean is currently in the best form of his career and he has been the primary reason for the visitors' climb away from the relegation zone. He has scored three goals and one assist in his last four Serie A games.
His physical presence and renewed confidence in front of goal make him a massive threat to an Udinese defence that has looked vulnerable against high-quality strikers this season. His ability to lead the line and convert half-chances will be the deciding factor for the Viola.