Italy vs Turkey prediction, odds & betting tips 04/06/2024

Italy vs Turkey predictions
Italy have 10 wins and three draws in 13 previous meetings between these teams. (Photo by Icon Sport)
Italy vs Turkey predictions
Italy have 10 wins and three draws in 13 previous meetings between these teams. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Turkey will make the trip to the Renato Dall’Ara in Bologna, as they take on Italy. View our free Italy vs Turkey predictions below.

Italy vs Turkey predictions: Goals expected to flow

Keeping in mind that five of Italy's last seven games featured at least three goals, we are fairly confident that this will be a high-scoring affair.

Key stats

  • Turkey have no wins against Italy since these teams first clashed in December 1962.
  • The Italians are currently on a four-match unbeaten run.
  • This is in contrast with Turkey, who have no wins in their last three games.
  • Five of the last seven meetings between these teams went north of the 2.5-goal marker.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour the hosts

  • Italy: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.5%
  • Draw: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
  • Turkey: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Italy are coming off back-to-back wins, with no losses in their last four games (W3, D1). On the other hand, Turkey have lost back-to-back games, and have no wins in their last three matches.

With that in mind, Italy are the expected winners at 3/5 (1.60). Teams with these odds generally have a 62.5% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Italy vs Turkey predictions.

Interestingly, both teams were on the scoresheet in seven of Italy's last 10 matches, three of Turkey's last four games too.

On that note, BTTS has an appealing look at 4/5 (1.80). That one has a 55.6% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Can Turkey defeat Italy for the first time in history?

It's worth mentioning that Turkey have never beaten Italy. In 13 previous skirmishes between these outfits, the Italians have 10 wins and three draws. Furthermore, Italy coach Luciano Spalletti won his last four meetings with Turkey coach Vincenzo Montella.

International Match 29/03/22

Turkey

Turkey

2
Italy

Italy

3

Euro 2021 11/06/21

Turkey

Turkey

0
Italy

Italy

3

Team news and form guide

Italy: Eyeing their third consecutive win

Italy will set their sights on a morale-boosting victory ahead of the European Championships, where they are paired alongside Spain, Croatia and Albania in Group B. There are no new absentees for Luciano Spalletti.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Dimarco, Buongiorno, Cambiasso, Di Lorenzo, Barella, Jorginho, Frattesi, Chiesa, Raspadori & Scamacca.

UEFA Nations League A 09/09/24

W

Israel

Israel

1

Italy

Italy

2

UEFA Nations League A 06/09/24

W

France

France

1

Italy

Italy

3

Euro 2024 29/06/24

L

Switzerland

Switzerland

2

Italy

Italy

0

Euro 2024 24/06/24

D

Croatia

Croatia

1

Italy

Italy

1

Euro 2024 20/06/24

L

Spain

Spain

1

Italy

Italy

0

Turkey: Hoping to get some momentum going ahead of Euro 2024

Likewise, no new players are ruled out for the visitors, who have struggled to find their best form of late. Vincenzo Montella’s troops will meet Portugal, Czech Republic and Georgia in Euro 2024.

Predicted lineup: Çakir (GK), Özkacar, Bardacki, Akaydin, Kadioğlu, Özcan, Yüksek, Aktürkoğlu, Ömür, Tosun & Yilmaz.

UEFA Nations League B 09/09/24

W

Iceland

Iceland

1

Turkey

Turkey

3

UEFA Nations League B 06/09/24

D

Wales

Wales

0

Turkey

Turkey

0

Euro 2024 06/07/24

L

Netherlands

Netherlands

2

Turkey

Turkey

1

Euro 2024 02/07/24

W

Austria

Austria

1

Turkey

Turkey

2

Euro 2024 26/06/24

W

Czech Republic

Czech Republic

1

Turkey

Turkey

2

Italy vs Turkey predictions
Gianluca Scamacca registered two goals and three assists in his last five games. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Player to watch: Gianluca Scamacca

Gianluca Scamacca is coming off the best season of his career, where he helped Atalanta win the UEFA Europa League. The 25-year-old has five direct goal involvements in his last five matches, scoring twice with three assists. Although Scamacca scored just once in 15 appearances for Italy, he'll fancy his chances against Turkey.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives