Turkey vs Italy prediction, preview & betting tips – 28/09/2026
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🔥 Our Hot tip

Italy to win to nil

Each of Italy's last five wins have been to nil.

Turkey will take on Italy on Monday, 28 September, as the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League continues.

Both sides enjoyed miserable starts to the current campaign, with Turkey losing 1-0 to France and Italy losing 2-0 to Italy. For either side to get back into the qualification picture, they must win on Monday night.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Turkey vs Italy key stats

  • Italy have won three of their last five matches.
  • Turkey have lost three of their last four matches.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of Italy's last five matches.

Turkey vs Italy preview: A narrow away win is on the cards

Turkey vs Italy — Tale of the Tape

Turkey vs Italy
3rdPosition4th
0Points0
0Goals For0
1Goals Against2
0Clean Sheets0
N/AHome / Away RankN/A

Italy's 2-0 defeat at the hands of Belgium will have felt very much like Groundhog Day for Italian fans who were hoping for more joy now that Roberto Mancini is back in charge.

However, Mancini's men put in the kind of performance that has seen Italy miss out on qualifying for two of the three major tournaments since they won Euro 2020.

The hope inside the camp will be that the defeat to Belgium was just a blip, as prior to the defeat, Italy had been in decent form, winning three of their previous four matches, with their only defeat coming to Bosnia & Herzegovina when they were down to 10 men.

As they look to respond against Turkey, Mancini will be able to call upon Alessandro Bastoni again following his suspension, but Federico Dimarco, Bryan Cristante and Manuel Locatelli are all injured.

As for Turkey, their 1-0 defeat to France perhaps wasn't as bad as Italy's loss to Belgium. For starters, Turkey were always expected to lose to France, and there is an argument they did well to keep the score down to 1-0.

This is a Turkey team that expects more of themselves, though, and after another disappointing major tournament, they would have wanted to give their supporters something to shout about.

Interestingly, Turkey are managed by former Italy striker Vincenzo Montella. This will be the second time he has faced his countrymen as a manager, and after drawing 0-0 last time, he will be keen to go one better on Monday night.

Montella is dealing with a couple of selection headaches ahead of this one. Ugurcan Cakir is out after being red-carded against France, while Hakan Calhanoglu and Kenan Yildiz are both injured.

Turkey vs Italy form guide & betting tips

Turkey vs Italy — Last 5 Form Guide
Turkey vs Italy
WLLWW
Form
WLWWL
5Goals For5
6Goals Against3
L
Nations League
L

Whispers predicts: Turkey 0-1 Italy

If Italy win, they usually do so with a clean sheet to boot. Italy to win to nil has been best priced at 4/1.

Fewer than three goals have been scored in three of the last five meetings between Turkey and Italy. Under 2.5 goals has been priced at 1/1.

Daniel Maldini has scored three goals in his last three Cagliari appearances. Maldini to score anytime has been priced at 3/1.

📈 Belgium vs France — Whispers' Tips

> Italy to win to nil at 4/1 (5.00) | Likelihood: Possible

> Under 2.5 goals at 1/1 (2.00) | Likelihood: Probable

> Daniel Maldini to score anytime at 3/1 (4.00) | Likelihood: Possible


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.