PSG vs Toulouse prediction, odds & betting tips 12/05/2024

PSG
12/05/24 - 20:00

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Toulouse

PSG - Toulouse

France Ligue 1 - Parc des Princes

PSG vs Toulouse prediction
PSG will be hoping to end their home campaign on a high note after winning the league title – Photo by Icon Sport

PSG are already Ligue 1 champions for the 12th time in their history, but this home clash against Toulouse will also be the final one for Kylian Mbappe before he departs as a free agent in the summer. Toulouse, however, will take heart from Le Havre who managed to go there a few weeks ago and draw 3-3.

PSG vs Toulouse prediction: Tough task for the away side

PSG vs Toulouse predictions
Our pick

🔥Hot tip

Over 3.5 goals

⚽ Correct score prediction

PSG 4-1 Toulouse

⚽️ Anytime goalscorer

Goncalo Ramos

Key stats

  • PSG have lost just one home game in Ligue 1 this season
  • Toulouse have won six of their last seven away matches
  • Les Parisiens have scored in 15 consecutive home league fixtures

Pre-game odds and win probability: PSG overwhelming favourites

Home: 2/5 (1.4) – 71.4%

Draw: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%

Away: 11/2 (6.5) – 15.4%

On paper and also in terms of form, PSG are the overwhelming favourites for this clash and that should come as no surprise. While it looks to be an easy bet to land, we would advise avoiding backing the champions to win.

Instead, we believe that a -2 handicap would be the best value for money given the Parisiens are very likely to win, but by a more comfortable margin may be your best option, something we offer very often on our free betting tips page.

Last five H2Hs: Clean sheets are key

Three of the last five games have seen PSG keep a clean sheet against Toulouse, which includes a major victory in the France Super Cup earlier this year. Toulouse have only scored two goals in the last five times they've come up against PSG.

France Super Cup 03/01/24

PSG

PSG

2
Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 19/08/23

Toulouse

Toulouse

1
PSG

PSG

1

France Ligue 1 04/02/23

PSG

PSG

2
Toulouse

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 31/08/22

Toulouse

Toulouse

0
PSG

PSG

3

France Ligue 1 25/08/19

PSG

PSG

4
Toulouse

Toulouse

0

PSG preview: Routine win on the cards

Despite some midweek heartbreak in the Champions League, the PSG faithful will be keen to give Mbappe a memorable send-off before he departs – likely for Real Madrid – and that would come at the cost of Toulouse.

Predicted Lineup: Navas (GK) – Beraldo, Marquinhos, Skriniar, Hakimi – Ugarte, Zaire-Emery, Barcola, Lee, Mbappe – Ramos

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

W

Metz

Metz

0

PSG

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 15/05/24

W

Nice

Nice

1

PSG

PSG

2

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

L

Toulouse

Toulouse

3

PSG

PSG

1

UEFA Champions League 07/05/24

L

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

PSG

PSG

0

UEFA Champions League 01/05/24

L

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

PSG

PSG

0

Toulouse preview: Potential for an upset

While Toulouse's league position may make it look like an easy fixture for PSG, they have tasted defeat in just one of their last six Ligue 1 encounters. Their last away defeat was March 10th, so they will have nothing to fear going into this PSG fixture.

Predicted lineup: Restes (GK) – Diarra, Keben, Costa, Desler – Spierings, Sierro, Schmidt – Gboho, Dallinga, Babicka

France Ligue 1 19/05/24

L

Brest

Brest

3

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 12/05/24

W

PSG

PSG

1

Toulouse

Toulouse

3

France Ligue 1 03/05/24

L

Montpellier

Montpellier

2

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 28/04/24

W

Lorient

Lorient

1

Toulouse

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 1 21/04/24

D

Marseille

Marseille

2

Toulouse

Toulouse

2

PSG's Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola scored on his last home outing in Ligue 1 – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch: Bradley Barcola

Having joined from Lyon in the summer, Bradley Barcola has become one of the shining lights under Luis Enrique despite his tender age of 19 years old. The Frenchman has been entrusted to carry the pressure when more experienced stars have faltered.

Time to impress

Barcola already has 12 goal involvement in his first season with PSG and there is only far more to come. The Frenchman scored in his last appearance in the league against Le Havre and he'll be hoping to do the same in another home fixture this weekend.


Aaron is a multi-skilled sports content writer and media professional. He is a specialist in both Men's and Women's football, along with golf.