An interesting fixture is on the cards as Toulouse welcome Montpellier to Stadium de Toulouse on Sunday, 26 January 2025. View our free Toulouse vs Montpellier predictions below.
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Toulouse vs Montpellier predictions: Hosts to reign supreme
Key stats
- Toulouse won four of their last five home games in all competitions.
- Montpellier have lost eight out of eight away matches this season.
- The last 11 meetings between Toulouse and Montpellier went above the 2.5-goal threshold.
- Four of Montpellier's last six Ligue 1 matches produced goals at both ends.
Correct score prediction: Toulouse 3-1 Montpellier
Montpellier have been the worst travellers in the French top flight this season, suffering eight defeats in as many away games in Ligue 1.
In fact, Jean-Louis Gasset's men have lost 11 consecutive matches away from home across all competitions. Considering Toulouse won four of their last five home games, we are confident that the hosts will emerge victorious after 90 minutes.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Toulouse are clear favourites
- HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
- DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Montpellier came from behind to pull off a shocking 2-1 victory over Monaco last weekend, putting an end to their seven-match winless streak. However, Gasset's men are still at the bottom of the table after earning only 12 points from 18 league games.
On the other hand, Toulouse have enjoyed some fine form in recent weeks, winning four of their last six matches. They are eight in Ligue 1 with a 7-4-7 win-draw-loss record.
Ahead of this encounter, Toulouse are the expected winners at 8/13 (1.62). Teams with these odds generally have a 61.9% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Toulouse vs Montpellier predictions.
We have also established that both teams were amongst the goals in three of Montpellier's last four Ligue 1 matches. Given that five of the last seven meetings between these teams produced goals at both ends, BTTS – Yes has an appealing look at 3/5 (1.75). That one has a 57.1% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Can Toulouse complete the sweep?
Although Montpellier suffered a humiliating 3-0 defeat in the reverse fixture of this clash, they have won three of their last four skirmishes with Toulouse.
France Ligue 1 27/10/24
Montpellier
Toulouse
France Ligue 1 03/05/24
Toulouse
Montpellier
France Ligue 1 29/10/23
Montpellier
Toulouse
Europe Friendlies 15/07/23
Toulouse
Montpellier
France Ligue 1 09/04/23
Montpellier
Toulouse
Toulouse preview: No new absentees
The injury list is getting smaller for Toulouse ahead of this clash, but Rasmus Nicolaisen, Vincent Sierro and Niklas Schmidt are still expected to miss this action this weekend, as they are yet to make full recovery.
Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), McKenzie, Cresswell, Canvot, Suazo, Casseres Jr., Genreau, Donnum, Aboukhlal, Gboho & King.
France Ligue 1 12/04/25
L
Lille
2
Toulouse
1
France Ligue 1 06/04/25
L
Marseille
3
Toulouse
2
France Ligue 1 30/03/25
L
Brest
4
Toulouse
2
France Ligue 1 16/03/25
L
Strasbourg
2
Toulouse
1
France Ligue 1 07/03/25
D
Monaco
1
Toulouse
1
Montpellier preview: Sights set on their first away win of the season
Defender Yael Mouanga and forward Mousa Al-Taamari are both questionable for this game after coming off with knocks in the shocking win against Monaco last time out.
Moreover, Christopher Jullien, Lucas Davin and Glenn Ngosso are still out injured, while Jordan Ferri’s suspension continues this weekend.
Predicted lineup: Lecomte (GK), Mbiayi, Dzodic, Omeragic, Sagnan, Sylla, Savanier, Chotard, Nzingoula, Maamma & Khazri.
France Ligue 1 13/04/25
L
Angers
2
Montpellier
0
France Ligue 1 06/04/25
L
Le Havre
2
Montpellier
0
France Ligue 1 30/03/25
L
Auxerre
1
Montpellier
0
France Ligue 1 16/03/25
L
St Etienne
2
Montpellier
0
France Ligue 1 08/03/25
L
Lille
1
Montpellier
0
Player to watch: Zakaria Aboukhlal
Zakaria Aboukhlal put in a man-of-the-match performance in the reverse fixture of this clash, scoring a brace and providing an assist in Toulouse's 3-0 win. The Moroccan forward was directly involved in eight of his team's 19 goals this season. He will fancy his chances against the league's worst defence.