Toulouse vs Monaco prediction, odds & betting tips 07/03/2025
Monaco could finish as high as second with victory - Photo by Imago
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Monaco or draw

None of the last five H2Hs in Toulouse have gone in the hosts’ favour (D2, L3)

Separated by 10 points inside the top eight, Toulouse and Monaco battle it out for all three points at the Stadium de Toulouse on Friday, 7 March.

View our Toulouse vs Monaco predictions below.

Toulouse vs Monaco predictions: Can the Monegasques earn back-to-back wins?

Key stats

  • Toulouse remain winless at home since mid-December (D1, L3).
  • Eleven of their last 12 goals have come after half-time.
  • Monaco have recorded just two wins across last five games across all competitions.
  • Les Monegasques have score inside half-hour in just three of their 14 matches in 2025.

Correct score prediction: Toulouse 2-3 Monaco

Toulouse have experienced an upturn in form across their last two outings. Their dominant wins keep them in pace with the top six, as they sit just six points adrift of sixth-placed Olympique Lyonnais.

Monaco, on the other hand, enter this clash following a second victory in three league games. With their top-four position under threat from trailing Lille, who inflicted their previous defeat, expect the Monegasques to edge Toulouse by the narrowest of margins.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Monaco with the upper hand

  • HOME: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.2%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.7%
  • AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Le Tefece picked themselves up following their six-game winless run across all competitions with impressive back-to-back away successes – although against two teams struggling to find their footing in the league. Bookmakers place odds of 21/10 (3.10), indicating a 32.2% win probability.

Monaco, meanwhile, are favourites to grab all three points following their emphatic 3-0 triumph over Stade Reims, backed by a 46.5% probability of success. They have netted 11 times in three games. Expect them to edge Toulouse this time around.

One can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: A tight affair

Recent clashes have alternated in triumphs for either side across their last five meetups, with Monaco claiming bragging rights in the reverse fixture with a 2-0 win.

France Ligue 1 07/12/24

Monaco

Monaco

2
Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 18/02/24

Monaco

Monaco

1
Toulouse

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 1 20/12/23

Toulouse

Toulouse

1
Monaco

Monaco

2

France Ligue 1 03/06/23

Monaco

Monaco

1
Toulouse

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 1 06/11/22

Toulouse

Toulouse

0
Monaco

Monaco

2

Toulouse preview: Key players missing

Although Toulouse do not have the chance to overcome Strasbourg, they will give it their all against Monaco, albeit without the likes of key players in Guillaume Restes, Zakaria Aboukhlal, Niklas Schmidt, Rasmus Nicolaisen and Joshua King.

Predicted lineup: Haug (GK), Sidibe, Cresswell, McKenzie, Donnum, Casseres, Sierro, Suazo, Messail, Babicka, Magri

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

D

Lens

Lens

1

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

France Ligue 1 03/05/25

W

Rennes

Rennes

1

Toulouse

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 1 27/04/25

D

Nantes

Nantes

0

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 20/04/25

L

Reims

Reims

1

Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 12/04/25

L

Lille

Lille

2

Toulouse

Toulouse

1

Monaco preview: Keeping pace with the top four

Hutter’s men are eyeing back-to-back wins for the first time since late January. Folarin Balogun, Aleksander Golovin, Soungoutou Magassa, Jordan Teze and Dennis Zakaria are all absentees for the Toulouse clash.

Predicted lineup: Majecki (GK), Vanderson, Kehrer, Mawissa, Henrique, Al-Musrati, Camara, Akliouche, Minamino, Ben Seghir, Biereth

France Ligue 1 10/05/25

W

Lyon

Lyon

0

Monaco

Monaco

2

France Ligue 1 03/05/25

W

St Etienne

St Etienne

1

Monaco

Monaco

3

France Ligue 1 26/04/25

D

Le Havre

Le Havre

1

Monaco

Monaco

1

France Ligue 1 19/04/25

D

Strasbourg

Strasbourg

0

Monaco

Monaco

0

France Ligue 1 12/04/25

W

Marseille

Marseille

0

Monaco

Monaco

3

Player to Watch: Mika Biereth

Biereth has been Monaco’s star since signing from Sturm Graz in the winter transfer window, netting ten Ligue 1 goals in seven appearances, including three hattricks in the process.

Biereth
Biereth has netted three hattricks since joining in January. (Photo by Icon Sport)

With a passport full of stories, Akhil has journeyed across Europe and beyond, immersed in the fabric of the beautiful game. From covering thrilling Milan derby nights at San Siro as a live match analyst to uncovering hidden talents in the Benelux region as a scout, his versatile and hybrid background allows him to deliver clear, engaging narratives that capture football's essence.