Toulouse vs Marseille prediction, odds & betting tips – 07/03/2026
Carles Martinez, head coach of Toulouse - photo by IMAGO / PsnewZ
🔥 Our Hot tip

Marseille first to score

Marseille have opened the scoring in four of the last five meetings between the two sides.

Fresh from a memorable Coupe de France quarter-final clash, Toulouse and Marseille will face off again in Ligue 1 on Saturday at the Stadium de Toulouse.

View our Toulouse vs Marseille predictions below.

Toulouse vs Marseille preview: Both teams to score

Key stats

  • Toulouse are winless in their last five Ligue 1 matches.
  • Both teams have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches.
  • Fewer than 11 corners have been produced in six of Marseille's last seven games.

Correct score prediction: Toulouse 1-2 Marseille

Toulouse held their nerve to beat Marseille 4-3 on penalties to reach the Coupe de France semi-finals.

However, their league form remains a concern, as they are winless in their last five matches and sit 11th in the table following a 1-0 defeat to Rennes.

Marseille, meanwhile, returned to winning ways with a 3-2 victory over Lyon after going four league games without a win.

Neither side has kept a clean sheet in their last five meetings, and each of those matches has produced over 2.5 goals. We expect another high-scoring contest, with Marseille likely to secure back-to-back Ligue 1 wins.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Marseille backed to win

  • HOME: 19/10 (2.9) – 34.5%
  • DRAW: 23/10 (3.3) – 30.3%
  • AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Toulouse are unbeaten in their last four home games across all competitions and are priced at 19/10 (2.9), implying a 34.5% probability of victory.

However, they have not beaten Marseille at home since 2016, with the visitors priced as favourites at 23/20 (2.15), representing a 46.5% chance of winning.

Both teams have scored in their last five meetings, making BTTS – Yes at 4/6 (1.67) an appealing option.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Toulouse vs Marseille predictions.

Most recent H2Hs: Marseille have outstanding record

Historically, Toulouse have won only six times against Marseille in Ligue 1, compared to 19 victories for Les Olympiens.

Marseille are also unbeaten in their last eight visits to Toulouse and have not lost a league game against them since 2012.

France Cup 04/03/26

Marseille

Marseille

0
Toulouse

Toulouse

0

France Ligue 1 29/11/25

Marseille

Marseille

2
Toulouse

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 1 06/04/25

Marseille

Marseille

3
Toulouse

Toulouse

2

France Ligue 1 31/08/24

Toulouse

Toulouse

1
Marseille

Marseille

3

France Ligue 1 21/04/24

Toulouse

Toulouse

2
Marseille

Marseille

2

Toulouse preview: Can they break Marseille jinx?

The victory against Marseille in their previous game should give them confidence, but the question remains whether they can secure their first league win against them in over a decade.

Carles Martinez’s side have not beaten any team currently in the top four this season, which does not inspire much confidence ahead of this clash.

Abu Francis and Rasmus Nicolaisen are doubtful with leg and thigh issues, respectively, while Frank Magri is out with a knee injury. Rafik Messali and Alex Dominguez could also miss out due to ankle problems.

Predicted lineup: Restes (GK), Sidibe, Cresswell, McKenzie, Kamanzi, Vossah, Casseres, Methalie, Russell-Rowe, Gboho & Emersonn

Last five matches

  • 04/03/26: Marseille 2-2 Toulouse (Coupe de France) [Toulouse advanced 4-3 on penalties]
  • 28/02/26: Rennes 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
  • 21/02/26: Toulouse 1-1 Paris FC (Ligue 1)
  • 15/02/26: Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse (Ligue 1)
  • 08/02/26: Angers 1-0 Toulouse (Ligue 1)

Marseille preview: Need to maintain consistency

Earning a Champions League spot remains a priority for Marseille, and they need to maintain consistency.

They are winless in their last three Ligue 1 away matches and have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of them.

Amine Gouiri and Quinten Timber are doubtful for the game, while Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg is eligible to return from suspension.

Predicted lineup: Rulli (GK), Weah, Aguerd, Pavard, Medina, Nwaneri, Nadir, Greenwood, Traore, Paixao & Aubameyang

Last five matches

  • 04/03/26: Marseille 2-2 Toulouse (Coupe de France) [Toulouse advanced 4-3 on penalties]
  • 01/03/26: Marseille 3-2 Lyon (Ligue 1)
  • 20/02/26: Brest 2-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)
  • 14/02/26: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg (Ligue 1)
  • 08/02/26: PSG 5-0 Marseille (Ligue 1)

Player to watch: Mason Greenwood

The former Manchester United attacker is enjoying a terrific campaign for Marseille and is in fine scoring form at the moment.

The 24-year-old has scored 19 goals across all competitions, including 14 in Ligue 1, and registered five assists.

Toulouse vs Marseille
Mason Greenwood ahead of the Marseille match – photo by IMAGO / PsnewZ

The Jamaican scored in the Coupe de France defeat against Toulouse and will be looking to get into the scoresheet again this weekend.


Saikat is a freelance Sports Journalist with over ten years of experience covering football (and other sports) for various publications including GRV Media, Rocket Sports Network, Breaking Media, and Football Whispers. Saikat also has a keen interest in F1, cricket, and tennis and has taken face to face interviews of footballers such as Emile Heskey and Robbie Fowler.